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re: Looking ahead to UF/LSU
Posted on 10/6/15 at 3:42 pm to Roger Klarvin
Posted on 10/6/15 at 3:42 pm to Roger Klarvin
I'll look ahead with you Roger, because as far as I'm concerned, SC has more important things to worry about than football this weekend. Let's look at some historical perspective, regarding rushing yards between LSU and UF during Les Mile's tenure:
2005
LSU 125 FLA 95
2006
LSU 90 FLA 97
2007
LSU 247 FLA 156
2008
LSU 80 FLA 265
2009
LSU 66 FLA 193
2010
LSU 161 FLA 89
2011
LSU 238 FLA 113
2012
LSU 42 FLA 176
2013
LSU 188 FLA 159
2014
LSU 195 FLA 123
By now, you probably guessed that whoever has the most rushing yards won. Even going back to 2002, that stat held true. Now, here is where I disagree with the posters that say LF7 must be held under 175 or 150: Under Les Miles, when LSU rushes for LESS than 100 yards against UF, they lose. When he rushes for over 100, they win. So LF7 can theoretically run for 85 yards. As long as cumulatively, we rush for over 100 yards, we win. Kinda underscores the fact that a running game takes it's toll on a team's defense, more than a passing game.
Unfortunately for Gator fans, that stat is not interchangeable. There have been games when the gators have rushed for over 100 yards (in fact 4 times and twice over 150) and still did not win. Passing yards did not factor in as decisively, nether did the turnover battle.
Les has won 4 of the last 5 contests, and this year brings arguably the best running back in LSU history to the contest. Bottom line: Fla has to hold LF7 to 99 yards, and hold the rest of LSU's rushing attack to zero yards. If halftime stats do not reflect anything close to that, then the running game takes over, and really takes its toll the second half. We don't need to be balanced, we just need to run it. All day.
There is definitely a path to victory for FLA, but it's path is not just stopping LF7. It's stopping the rushing game by historical proportions, and perspective.
2005
LSU 125 FLA 95
2006
LSU 90 FLA 97
2007
LSU 247 FLA 156
2008
LSU 80 FLA 265
2009
LSU 66 FLA 193
2010
LSU 161 FLA 89
2011
LSU 238 FLA 113
2012
LSU 42 FLA 176
2013
LSU 188 FLA 159
2014
LSU 195 FLA 123
By now, you probably guessed that whoever has the most rushing yards won. Even going back to 2002, that stat held true. Now, here is where I disagree with the posters that say LF7 must be held under 175 or 150: Under Les Miles, when LSU rushes for LESS than 100 yards against UF, they lose. When he rushes for over 100, they win. So LF7 can theoretically run for 85 yards. As long as cumulatively, we rush for over 100 yards, we win. Kinda underscores the fact that a running game takes it's toll on a team's defense, more than a passing game.
Unfortunately for Gator fans, that stat is not interchangeable. There have been games when the gators have rushed for over 100 yards (in fact 4 times and twice over 150) and still did not win. Passing yards did not factor in as decisively, nether did the turnover battle.
Les has won 4 of the last 5 contests, and this year brings arguably the best running back in LSU history to the contest. Bottom line: Fla has to hold LF7 to 99 yards, and hold the rest of LSU's rushing attack to zero yards. If halftime stats do not reflect anything close to that, then the running game takes over, and really takes its toll the second half. We don't need to be balanced, we just need to run it. All day.
There is definitely a path to victory for FLA, but it's path is not just stopping LF7. It's stopping the rushing game by historical proportions, and perspective.
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