re: Which SEC team has the biggest chance to lose week 1:

I the ASU is a pretty good team. We have not done well against pretty good teams for that last two years. Until proven otherwise, I do not expect the trend to change.

I would say:
1. A&M has 50% chance of losing at best.

2. Auburn v. Petrino is very interesting. But with that talent, I give AU a 35% chance of losing.

3. USCe should soundly thrash the basketball school. 25% chance of losing.

4. Bama is the best team two deep in the nation. 20% chance of losing.