re: John's Betrayal - The Real 3rd and Chavis?

quote:

---

3rd and Chavis is a reality that cannot be denied.


Everybody keeps saying that, but the stats say the he fields teams that give up 3rd down conversions at a rate far, far less than the national average

---

He's a good coach with a solid scheme. Regarding "3rd and Chavis", it's not about overall percentages, it's when and how.

Chavis can call an entire game with tight man coverage and blitzes, but during any high-pressure situations, he seems to deeply believe the pressure of the moment will affect the opposing QB into making mistakes. He goes into a soft prevent zone, and it's like he tells the defense "just don't let them get behind you, they will panic and throw the ball away". Maybe part of the thought process is that after facing one type of defense all game, the change will confuse the QB.

It really seems like any opponent with composure who can hang close, say within 1 score, can wait out his defense. At about 3 mins (or if there is a crucial drive required), Chavis swaps over to zone and tries to play safe.

A&M fans never beat us, so they think it's a flame; but go watch LSU's losses against Clemson, Alabama, Ole Miss, etc the past few years. We had a bunch of big games where we were ahead or tied with 4 minutes to go, and teams ran textbook drives against us. Hell, A&M and Florida this year did it, but lost anyway.