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re: Everyone who thinks 2 SEC teams have a shot at getting to the playoff is wrong
Posted on 10/21/14 at 11:35 am to Pettifogger
Posted on 10/21/14 at 11:35 am to Pettifogger
Let's say, Miss St goes undefeated. Meets a 1 loss UGA in Atlanta. UGA wins. Conference champ is going for sure. FSU will be undefeated. MSU would have by far the best 1 loss resume.
There is two.
There is two.
Posted on 10/21/14 at 11:36 am to JesusQuintana
quote:
JesusQuintana
I like this guy
Posted on 10/21/14 at 11:37 am to JesusQuintana
quote:
Let's say, Miss St goes undefeated. Meets a 1 loss UGA in Atlanta. UGA wins. Conference champ is going for sure. FSU will be undefeated. MSU would have by far the best 1 loss resume.
Except MSU won't have a conf championship. Oregon/UCLA will, and ND's only loss will be to FSU. A 1 loss Baylor will get in before MSU. That's the whole point.
Posted on 10/21/14 at 12:40 pm to JesusQuintana
quote:
Let's say, Miss St [ETA "or Ole Miss"] goes undefeated. Meets a 1 loss UGA in Atlanta. UGA wins. Conference champ is going for sure. FSU will be undefeated. MSU would have by far the best 1 loss resume.
I think that's the best case scenario for the SEC getting 2...while I think it's possible the SEC can get 2 in, I tend to agree with the OP. I see the committee being very political...
In lieu of a Jameis Winston suspension, FSU probably runs the table...and the SEC champ is most likely in. That leaves 2 slots...here are the teams I think would definitely get in before a 2nd SEC team:
A 1-loss PAC-12 champion Oregon
A 1-loss Big 10 champion Michigan State
A 1-loss Notre Dame (especially if FSU runs the table)
Depending upon how much influence a conference championship has on the committee, here are some teams that might get in before another SEC team:
A 1-loss PAC-12 champ Arizona/Arizona State
A 1-loss Big 10 champ Ohio State/Nebraska
A 1-loss Big 12 champ TCU/Baylor/Kansas State
I'm not saying those teams would be better, just that I think the committee will exhaust any opportunity to deny a second team from any conference, much less the SEC. Just imagine the uproar if there are two 1-loss Power 5 champs that get left out of the play-off; I don't think the committee wants to face the media storm/controversy that would involve, especially in its first year...
The biggest threat is Oregon and a 1-loss Big 10 champ (I think ND loses on the road to either ASU or USC); got a feeling the committee will try to keep the Big 10 happy if they get the chance. Just gotta hope at least 2 of the other conference champs have a couple of losses and that could happen...
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