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re: SEC East 2014

Posted on 7/14/14 at 10:09 pm to
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37980 posts
Posted on 7/14/14 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

He's got a point and stats to back them up but I don't know if he'll come back in this thread. He doesn't post as often as he should.


His point though, is negated by the sheer statistical fact that teams that find themselves in 3rd and long fail more often than they succeed.

The money down is 2nd down ... always has been, always will be. You play with 1st down. 2nd down sets up everything. You don't want to face third and long too often ... it is a recipe for failure.

Inside the red zone is a completely different animal with completely different stats.

Red zone is where the going gets tough. You can't confuse the two.

Gurley, like Lattimore and I suspect Chubb and Williams will be .... is very good inside the twenty where those kind of backs never lose yards and can smell the end zone.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25999 posts
Posted on 7/14/14 at 10:16 pm to
The only stat I referenced with numbers is rushing TDs.
It is the best one for reasons you mentioned.

But playcalling and efficiency on third and short tell the tale as well.
UGA versus Mizzou 2013.
UGA went about 13 straight third downs with all attempts going to the air (even the short yardage).
The only attempts on the ground were late in the 4th when Mizzou was in prevent.
What does this mean? Too much pressure to win was on the OL's pass pro and Murray's ability to make plays?
Did Murray have a bad day? Or did he not get any support.
The answer is that he didn't get any support and a solid defense is going to tee off on that and create turnovers.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25999 posts
Posted on 7/14/14 at 10:18 pm to
Another example closer to home...

South Carolina driving the field on UGA.
3rd and short from the goalline.

You tell me... does South Carolina win this game?
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