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re: Lsu AD - other SEC AD's aren't being fair.

Posted on 3/20/14 at 12:20 pm to
Posted by randomways
North Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
12988 posts
Posted on 3/20/14 at 12:20 pm to
quote:


I'm not so sure. If the selection committee operates much like current AP and Coaches poll voters, extra losses actually do hurt worse than quality wins help. That's why so many schools schedule cupcakes now. If a team takes a loss, even if they have had impressive wins, and even if the squad they lost to is good, then that team usually drops below many or most of the undefeated teams. Even the undefeated teams that have played only creampuffs.

And teams that lose to ULL don't deserve to be in the picture, anyway.


But if they operate like the NCAA basketball committee, which seems likely, then the dynamic changes enormously. Instead of a bunch of harried SIDs glancing at the scores inbetween meetings, we'll have a group of people dedicated specifically to evaluating teams and schedules and, just as importantly, discussing their evaluations with others. That tends to make for detail-oriented analysis. Keep in mind that the basketball committee just kept a ranked team out of the tourney because they didn't think the RPI was good enough. There's ample reason to assume a football committee will be equally unforgiving of playing creampuffs, win or lose.
Posted by Mirthomatic
Member since Feb 2013
4113 posts
Posted on 3/20/14 at 12:55 pm to
quote:


But if they operate like the NCAA basketball committee, which seems likely, then the dynamic changes enormously. Instead of a bunch of harried SIDs glancing at the scores inbetween meetings, we'll have a group of people dedicated specifically to evaluating teams and schedules and, just as importantly, discussing their evaluations with others. That tends to make for detail-oriented analysis. Keep in mind that the basketball committee just kept a ranked team out of the tourney because they didn't think the RPI was good enough. There's ample reason to assume a football committee will be equally unforgiving of playing creampuffs, win or lose.


That would be the optimum result, but given that many of the people who are to comprise the committee have a heavy football background, I wouldn't bet against them defaulting to the anti-loss bias that they've known all their professional lives.

And even if SOS becomes the primary factor in the committee's decision, the SEC schools can still be in a comfortable position if we all just make sure to schedule at least one marquee opponent (at least another P5 conference opponent) every year. That plus the normal SEC schedule should be sufficient.
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