re: Does the SEC's bowl performance change your NC prediction?

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I conclude that that most SEC defenses were down this year largely due to attrition.

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Attrition but most importantly: A lot of them keep leaving for the NFL early and so they're not entirely focused on the game. I think Auburn will be much more focused because it's the end all be all.

Alabama lost very bad at the end of the year, to their most hated rival, and secured an otherwise meaningless bowl game compared to what was expected. I still have Auburn to win this one.