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re: Realignment...B1G going after 2 more ACC schools?
Posted on 2/20/13 at 3:14 pm to VABuckeye
Posted on 2/20/13 at 3:14 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
Do they teach math at Texas A&M? Because if you do the math you'll realize that the Big Ten pretty much has the best TV deal thing sewn up for a long time starting in 2017. It's all about the number of subscribers in the geographic region and the SEC has no chance to catch the Big Ten in that regard. The Big Ten has a MUCH larger population base.
Ultimately the B1G's business plan is to force cable subscribers to pay more for a crappy on field product. I just don't see how that's a good plan for the future. That's even assuming one buys the B1G's constant puffery about its projections and believes that the SEC isn't going to negotiate its payout upwards to reflect that market.
The SEC's plan is based on giving people something they want to see. The B1G's plan is based on getting cable providers to sneak charges into cable packages for something most of the viewers aren't going to care to watch. I like our model better.
2
Posted on 2/20/13 at 3:49 pm to BossaGator
quote:
The Big Ten has a MUCH larger population base.
Maybe I'm missing a state somewhere, but if I can do maths correctly with my Texas A&M edumacation I find that Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and New Jersey is roughly 86 million while the population of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina is 92 million with the second group of states being states that are generally growing while the first group is stagnant or slow growth.
I may need you to teach me.
Posted on 2/20/13 at 4:39 pm to BossaGator
quote:
The SEC's plan is based on giving people something they want to see. The B1G's plan is based on getting cable providers to sneak charges into cable packages for something most of the viewers aren't going to care to watch. I like our model better.
I too think that the SEC will get the most TV money in ten years but not because of ratings, or footprint or any of that. I think ESPN- who is battling Fox for control of college football- will be willing to pay the SEC (via the SEC Network or whatever) whatever it takes to keep the SEC happy.
The best leverage the SEC has is to tell ESPN "Either make us the highest paid league, or when our contract is up we are going to Fox like the B1G." ESPN can't afford to let its biggest competitor get the best college football property out there. I don't care how much smarter the B1G was in all of this, ESPN is going to subsidize our stupidity to keep us happy.
So despite our crappy TV deal (and it was crappy and short sighted), and whatever scheme the B1G has, we will make the most because the most expensive thing for ESPN would be to lose control of college ball. Then all their bowl games, and channels like ESPN U, are worth a fraction of what they are worth today. Rights for the Big 12 and ACC aren't enough to float the whole boat.
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