re: I'll go ahead and say it, Bama probably won't win in Baton Rouge

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LSU has played a MUCH tougher schedule than Alabama. It's not even close really. Don't let the Michigan game at the beginning of the year for Alabama fool you. Michigan is a good big ten team but that translates into being an average team overall. The reason I say all of this is because people assume Alabama is better because they've won by so much. People, they haven't played anyone with a pulse. Ole Miss, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Missouri are all at the absolute bottom of the SEC barrel. Alabama has played a schedule equivalent to many Conference USA teams.

A big factor is LSU has a BYE week before the game, while Alabama will be playing an undefeated Mississippi State team the week before. Mississippi State isn't that great, but they're solid and this leaves Alabama with less time to gameplan for LSU and increases the chance of having injuries and players being beat up for the LSU game. LSU will be fresh and well prepared.

I'd like to point out that in the last 3 years that LSU has had a BYE game they have won every game.

2009- Auburn - W 31-10
2010 - Alabama W - 24-21
2011 - @ Alabama W - 9-6

Another factor, and arguably the biggest, is that it is a night game in Death Valley. I think that speaks for itself.

The biggest factor, revenge. You know the LSU players will be motivated like never before after getting embarrassed in the National Title game.

Alabama might be the better team, but with the 4 main factors of LSU having a LSU BYE week, it being a night game in Death Valley, bama playing a solid team the week before, and LSU wanting revenge for January, it will be too much for Alabama to overcome.

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