Scoring stat analysis (A&M vs. LSU)

Personally, I don't think we are physical enough on both sides of the ball to win, but here's what the numbers say (factoring in +/- 5 for home field advantage and assuming Deshazor Everett and Steven Campbell still can't play, another -5/6)

I didn't think Everett would sit out La. Tech, or I would have given the bulldogs more points last week.

Texas A&M averages 47.00 points per game and allows 21.83 points per game.

LSU averages 32.00 points per game and allows 14.00 points per game.

Against its opponents, A&M scored 17 (+5.33), 48 (+11.67), 70 (+37.44), 58 (+27.00), 30 (+3.43), and 59 (+19.33).

That comes out to an average of 17.37 points more than their opponents allow.

A&M allowed 20 (-7.83), 3 (-20.00), 14 (-0.57), 10 (-17.00), 27 (-5.71), and 57 (+3.17).

That comes out to an average of 7.99 less than their opponents score.

Using that metric alone, A&M scores 31 and allows 23.

Against its opponents, LSU scored 41 (+15.17), 41 (+15.17), 63 (+25.00), 12 (-14.50), 38 (+13.83), 6 (-6.33), and 23 (+11.29)

That comes out to 8.51 more than their opponents allow.

Against its opponents, LSU allowed 14 (-5.50), 3 (-18.33), 14 (-0.29), 10 (-6.17), 22 (-8.33), 14 (-13.83), and 21 (-13.14)

That comes out to 9.37 less than their opponents score.

Using that metric alone, LSU scores 30 and allows 31.

Just using the numbers, A&M scores exactly 31 points and LSU scores between 23-30.

Add the Kyle Field factor and A&M scores 36 and allows between 18-25.

Assume Everett and Campbell are still hurt (-5/6):

A&M scores between 30-31 and LSU scores between 23-31.

This has all the makings of a very close game, but I don't think we match up well physically with LSU, so I'm calling it a loss.