re: Bubble games: February 25th edition

quote:

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I still don't know why Lunardi had State a higher seed than us going into tonight or why Arizona was in as a 12.





I'm pretty sure Lunardi's brackets are based on if the season ended today, not projections for how he thinks teams will finish.

State is out as of right now though.

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The only explanation that I can provide is that MSU is 3-3 against top 50 rpi and Bama is 2-5. But the reason for that is that MSU beat Bama (27) at the Hump and Bama beat them at Tuscaloosa (68) . We split the series but they have an advantage because their rpi sux.

Their other two wins are Vandy (23) and West VA (48). Bama's wins are Wich St (10) and Purdue (40). MSU is 1-6 in conference road games, but their one is Vandy. Bama is 3-4, but their road wins were AU 145, ARK 82 and GA 107.

There was no real rational reason to have MSU seeded higher than Bama prior to the game Sat, and Palm had Bama a #9 and MSU a #11.

Now I think Bama is a #8 and MSU #12 and may have a play-in game.

If Bama wins the next two games and 1 game in the SECT they could move down to a 7 seed. Their rpi is 28 currently.