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No Alabama fan here, but the situations where not exactly the same. When Saban left LSU for Miami (NFL), and Miles took over, there was no transfer portal. If a player transferred when Miles was hired, they had to sit out for 1 year unless they transferred down to D2.

Saban signed these players and given that the majority of Saban's roster were not Alabama HS ball players, those guys are now leaving to go somewhere else, probably one of their other top choices and maybe where they would have signed had Saban not been at Alabama.

The situation for LSU is more similar to O getting fired and BK coming in. LSU was at 39 Scholarships for the Texas Bowl (I think 41 or 42 were still on scholly but those extra 2/3 were not eligible for academic progress towards their degree if I remember correctly).

My guess is Bama is going to have to hit the portal in the spring window and bring in 10-15 players.

Spot on. The timing of this with the 30 day window has left us out to be pillaged, and is something that will become more pertinent going forward with coaching "transitions". I think the NCAA will do something about it, especially if something happens with Michigan, but I believe they will hire from within and have a much shallower cut than what we experienced.