re: Is the portal overrated?

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It seems like most QB transfer don’t hit their stride until the 2nd year of the transfer. Caleb Williams won a heisman is in his first year but he also did it with same coach he had before.

Burrow
Ewers
Nix
Penix
Daniels

All had great 2nd years.

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Yes, but even that is a VERY small sampling of the total number of QB transfers over the years.

Some tidbits:

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Since the 2020 signing class, 21 of the top 40 quarterback recruits — the top 10 in the 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023 classes — have transferred from the schools they signed with out of high school and continued their collegiate careers at at least one other school.

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Or even crazier, from this article from last year ( From The Athletic:

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We looked at the top 50 recruits in each class according to the 247Sports Composite rankings. From that group of 200 passers, let’s start by removing 22 players who moved to another position in college.

There are some talented players in that group — running backs Roschon Johnson (Texas) and Ja’Quinden Jackson (Texas/Utah), wide receivers Keytaon Thompson (Mississippi State/Virginia) and Isaiah Williams (Illinois) and tight end Jelani Woods (Oklahoma State/Virginia) — who thrived by making a change. Arkansas’ Connor Noland focused on baseball, developed into an ace pitcher and got drafted by the Chicago Cubs.

Let’s also take out 10 players who retired for medical reasons or quit football with eligibility remaining. That leaves us with 168 college quarterbacks who were top-50 recruits.

So far, 126 of the 168 quarterbacks have transferred. That’s 75 percent.

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So if you can name 5 huge successes, and being kind we'll presume triple that number that were good, that's... what? 20 QBs?

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But as JT Daniels and others have demonstrated, sometimes one transfer isn’t enough. Of these 126 top-50 QB recruits from 2017 to 2020 who ended up transferring, 39 have transferred multiple times during their career.

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