If Saban retired this year

Hypothetically, let’s say he wins the natty and decided to retire after this season. Regardless of who his replacement would be, how many kids do you think would transfer?

I’m not trying to troll but I feel like a lot of bama’s talent stems from other states and without Saban there I feel like a lot of kids especially with NIL and the portal now would transfer. Just curious what it would take to keep the majority of them there and the wheels on the wagon.