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re: Georgia "projected as 10.5 Point Favorite over Tennessee"

Posted on 10/20/22 at 7:30 am to
Posted by General4Heisman
Nashville
Member since Oct 2022
2524 posts
Posted on 10/20/22 at 7:30 am to
On paper, because of your defensive rankings and stats you should win. But so should have Bama as well.

I like the way we matchup against UGA though and believe we can force you to play our game, not your's. I also believe your secondary is big time overrated.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25883 posts
Posted on 10/20/22 at 7:33 am to
Wait. Now you aren't being consistent in your arguments.

It is almost as if you are conveniently confusing that the pitt game wasn't at home.
It is almost as if you haven't seen your offensive splits at home versus on the road.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4516 posts
Posted on 10/20/22 at 10:22 am to
quote:

On paper, because of your defensive rankings and stats you should win. But so should have Bama as well.

I like the way we matchup against UGA though and believe we can force you to play our game, not your's. I also believe your secondary is big time overrated.


I actually think UGA matches up much better with UT than Bama.

Prior to the Bama/UT game, UGA was well ahead of Bama in passing stats this year. I know in their heads people think Bama = Pass and UGA = Run, but this year it has been the opposite (until Bama faced UT's secondar).

The thing is, UGA's done this with an extremely versatile offensive attack. They use RB's, TE's and WR's all in various depth routes and all across the field. They are designed to find the pass defense's weakness and exploit it, be it LB's, CB's, S's or whatever.

UGA's also done this without Arian Smith for most of the year (got his first action against Vandy) and without AD Mitchell since the second game of the year. These are UGA's top 2 deep threats and 2 of their top 3 WR's overall. Both are expected to be back at full speed for UF, a week before UT. Because of this meaningful PT has gone to Dillon Bell and Jackson Meeks at WR... which will only help later in the year.

On the other side of the ball, UGA hasn't shown vulnerability to the pass this year. Their largest amount given up was to SC on the road, at 214 yards. A big part of that was in garbage time (76 yards by SC's backup against UGA's 3rd string)

The real issue has been the Jalen Carter injury. He was playing a bit gimpy all year then got chop blocked against Mizzou which has kept him out. UGA gets less push without him in there. Still solid against the run, but puts less pressure on the passing game.

The thing about UGA this year is that we don't have a specific game style. Our offense seeks out what your defense is weak against and does that. Sometimes that's passing to backs out of the backfield like we did against Oregon. Sometimes that's passing to TE's and running smash mouth like we eventually did in the second half to beat Mizzou. Sometimes it's mostly run focused like against Auburn. And sometimes we go mainly on WR routes like against Vandy.

UGA's offense doesn't have a style other than to take what's given. And they're capable of that regardless of what is given.

On defense, UGA is 3rd in total defense, 5th in rushing defense, 8th in passing defense and 2nd in scoring defense nationally.

They haven't really shown a weakness to be exploited to date.

The reality is to win, UT has to keep UGA to FG's in the redzone rather than TD's and be positive in turnover margin. There's not really anything matchup wise that helps them. If both teams bring their A game or their C game (or any equally graded game), UGA wins. UT has to hope UGA makes mistakes to allow them a shot.
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