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re: Hugh Freeze Hot Seat Thread

Posted on 9/23/24 at 10:22 am to
Posted by AUveritas
Member since Aug 2013
3172 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 10:22 am to
quote:

First part, and again I ask, like I have so many times, if it was that bad coming out of Harsin, why are we regressing in year 2 after 2 Freeze recruiting classes?


Losing because of turnovers is not regression. We're essentially better at every position. It just doesn't always show due to dumb turnovers. Can you show some statistical analysis of your claim that we've regressed?
Posted by wareaglepete
Lumon Industries
Member since Dec 2012
14480 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Can you show some statistical analysis of your claim that we've regressed?


Here’s all the stats I need:

2023
vs Cal. W
vs Arky. W

2024
vs Cal. L
vs Arky. L

Just absolutely throwing up on ourselves with turnovers does not show a regression from last year? That’s a heck of a take right there.


Posted by AUTubaHerd
Member since Nov 2012
2065 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Losing because of turnovers is not regression. We're essentially better at every position. It just doesn't always show due to dumb turnovers. Can you show some statistical analysis of your claim that we've regressed?


That’s generally how I see it too and there’s a lot of stats theory that would suggest AU will regress to the mean from what should be two outliers w.r.t. turnovers. With that said a few more games with that many fumbles and it becomes more likely that they’re historically bad at holding onto the ball.

It’s easier to tie the interceptions to bad execution and coaching in my opinion.
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