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re: AU BBall Thread : Trainwrecked at 18-14

Posted on 12/28/16 at 3:19 pm to
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

We should actually have the size advantage though


UGA is one of the top ~50 rebounding teams in the country. Manten alone makes them a vastly superior post team than AU


Posted by AUtigR24
Happy Hour
Member since Apr 2011
20143 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 3:21 pm to
Vandy is all over the place. They only scored 48 against MTSU

Anxious to see how Ole Miss fairs against UK tomorrow
This post was edited on 12/28/16 at 3:25 pm
Posted by marshallcotiger
Member since Dec 2009
8428 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Maten


He is going to be a huge matchup problem for us. I believe Wiley can handle him down low but he has no chance defending him on the perimeter. Purifoy can handle him outside but is physically outmatched down low. If we have a zone in the arsenal this is the type of team we would use it against.
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
13466 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 3:33 pm to
Lost by 20 to LSU, however
Posted by AU24
Toomers Corner
Member since Dec 2014
4523 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 4:02 pm to
Auburn opens -3 point fav over UGA
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 4:06 pm to
Kenpom has us 1 point favorite, 51% Win prob
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 4:14 pm to
Teamrankings gives us a 64% chance to win. I don't know how their formula works, but home court is clearly a big factor.
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Houston is a pretty good team this year. Kenpom has them around top 50


Idk I think only scoring 12 points in an entire half has more to do with UConn and their current depth issue than with how good Houston is. We're a better team than Houston IMO
Posted by Rig
BHM
Member since Aug 2011
41869 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

we get them at home between their loss to Oakland and them looking ahead to USCe.
Dude come on. UGA is not looking past us to USCe
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 7:55 pm to
I think a huge advantage for Auburn in this game will be our tempo. Both Maten/Frazier average 30+ minutes for UGA, beyond them they don't have a true scoring guard or post player to fill the void.

Posted by AUtigR24
Happy Hour
Member since Apr 2011
20143 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:04 pm to
I didn't really mean looking past us I just meant we get them at home in the middle of a tough stretch for them
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
11163 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Kenpom has us 1 point favorite, 51% Win prob



Yet Auburn is ranked 31 spots behind UGA. KenPom is a huge frickery if you ask me.
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
13466 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

I think a huge advantage for Auburn in this game will be our tempo


Home court. Full house. Home court. Full house. They'll need it, because as a team they played like shite in CT
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
13466 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Yet Auburn is ranked 31 spots behind UGA. KenPom is a huge frickery if you ask me.



Why are so many of you fixated on Kenpom? Their rankings aren't all that useful until well into conference play. Their statistics made them famous. They're not replacing the RPI or eye test any time soon.

Should I remind you how high the shite show in Tuscaloosa is ranked?
This post was edited on 12/28/16 at 10:01 pm
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
11163 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

Why are so many of you fixated on Kenpom


Not fixated, just voicing my opinion that I think it blows.
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
13466 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 10:17 pm to
Well they could disband the overall ranking formula, but like I said before, it's more accurate than the RPI every once in a while. Other times it's useless.
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 11:12 pm to
Not sure why everyone is bitching about Kenpom ranking us low. People need to stop shitting orange and blue rainbows and realize this, when grading on actual results/performance we deserve it

We have one good win TxTch and two decent wins OU/UConn, none were by large margins
Meanwhile we had very close games against vastly inferior teams, got blown out by Purdue and lost to Garbage BC


Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/28/16 at 11:15 pm to
Also Kenpom is to be used to predict matchups not a ranking of resume.

So for example, even if we blocked the BC tipin, our ranking change would microscopic. The fact that we played poorly against a cleary inferior team was evident regardless of win by 1 vs L by 1
Posted by TiggerWoods
Auburn
Member since Nov 2010
4251 posts
Posted on 12/29/16 at 11:47 am to
Somebody gets it. We look better than we have in previous years, but this team still doesn't look like an NCAA tourney team by any stretch.
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37840 posts
Posted on 12/29/16 at 11:55 am to
We definitely have shown flashes of being a quality tournament team. That's the thing though, it has just been flashes and nothing more.

To suggest we will develop consistency and continued improvement is only an optimistic opinion, not a foregone conclusion


I believe we will continue to improve, but based on objective stats/metrics you can't make that determination
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