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re: It must be getting close to Baseball Season

Posted on 12/18/12 at 5:21 pm to
Posted by FlyingRazorback
Captain, tFlagship Airways
Member since Sep 2012
727 posts
Posted on 12/18/12 at 5:21 pm to
In my last photo, you can see the Low pressure system centered right on the Oklahoma/Kansas state line (around Arkansas City) anyway, anything to the East, SE, and NE of that center of circulation is going to be rain.


As you can see, around the Fort Smith, AR area, the winds shift from the SW to the NW which indicates the dry air from the SW getting trumped by the cold front/moist air from the NW. Basically speaking, anywhere to the S, SW, W, NW, and N of that center of circulation will be frozen. Look for substantial amounts of snow in NE OK, SE KS, and W MO. Right now NWA's chances of snow are looking good, but not near the 1-2ft range as predicted by some, maybe 4-8in at best. It's too early to predict right now whether or not this thing is going to ride the jetstream further south. If that happens, look for HUGE amounts of snow, if it glides further north, all we'll see is sleet and freezing rain. Not to mention cold arse temperatures.



IF tl;dr then DWI. I was a meteorology minor in college.
Posted by Ham Malone
Member since Nov 2010
2512 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 2:00 am to
This turned into a weather thread and I'm in Van Buren for the holidays, I'd appreciate it if our resident weather guys could let me know what you think about the storm's track. I need to be in western Kansas late in the week and y'all can read the models better than I can.
Posted by FlyingRazorback
Captain, tFlagship Airways
Member since Sep 2012
727 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 3:36 am to
quote:

Ham Malone



You're screwed if you think you can get out of VB the day after Christmas, let alone up to KS.



If it makes you feel better, I'll be riding out the storm in Fort Smith...
Posted by Woopigsooie20
Me Scusi
Member since Mar 2010
57355 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 12:17 pm to
Latest show the heaviest still across EOK/WAR, 12z GFS shows widespread 5-8 inches. That's end of the world for Ft. Smith.
Posted by Ham Malone
Member since Nov 2010
2512 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 2:50 pm to
Damn. I was hoping this was a normal FSM snow where its supposed to be bad but ends up raining. Thanks though, I trust internet flagshippers over Garrett Lewis any day.
Posted by happyhappyjoyjoy
Packer/Suns fan too
Member since Apr 2011
2947 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

It's gonna be a cold bitch for days after the storm, if this hold up. Amazingly this far out all the major models agree on a monster snow storm over Arkansas and Oklahoma next Tuesday-Wednesday painting anywhere from 1-2 feet across the area.


shite, gotta drive to Heber for Christmas
Posted by Porker Face
Eden Isle
Member since Feb 2012
15337 posts
Posted on 12/22/12 at 6:36 pm to
I am planning on going from north of KC to Fay on the 26th. How difficult will this be?

Please note, I have snow driving skills considerable better than the average Arkansan

Posted by BallHawg10
On the Flagship - Fayetteville
Member since Mar 2011
3907 posts
Posted on 12/23/12 at 12:37 am to
quote:

Please note, I have snow driving skills considerable better than the average Arkansan


So what you're saying is, given a 4-wheel drive jeep, there's a chance you could make a 10 minute drive in a little less than an hour? Ya know, those great Arkansan driving skills.
Posted by Porker Face
Eden Isle
Member since Feb 2012
15337 posts
Posted on 12/23/12 at 12:41 am to
No I'm saying I have driven in NE/MN type winters for years
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