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re: tOfficial Alabama Basketball Thread | Now Accepting Transfers l #BuckleUp

Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:42 am to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:42 am to
Bracket Matrix has us as the 3rd team out behind St. Bonnie and Tulsa.

Here are their last 4 in (using # of brackets in) and first four out. Also, this is BEFORE the Florida game last night.

Last Four In
VCU (11 seed) (79 of 98 brackets)
Butler (11 seed) (72 of 98 brackets)
Temple (11 seed (67 of 98 brackets)
Florida (11 seed) (66 of 98 brackets)

First Four Out
Tulsa (52 of 98 brackets)
St. Bonnie (41 of 98 brackets)
Alabama (34 of 98 brackets)
Gonzaga (32 of 98 brackets)

Then it falls off dramatically for possible at-large teams
George Washington (7 of 98 brackets)
Stanford (3 of 98 brackets)
Clemson (2 of 98 brackets)
Florida State (2 of 98 brackets)
LSU (1 of 98 brackets)
Ohio State (1 of 98 brackets)

So, basically, there are roughly 12 or 13 teams fighting for 9 spots, and we are firmly in the group of 13 (as of right now).
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25502 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:47 am to
Obviously us winning is the most important thing, but it would behoove us for Seton Hall to beat Butler, St. Joe to beat St. Bonaventure, and Davidson to beat VCU tonight.

ETA: Does St. Mary's have any real shot at an at-large berth? Wouldn't it be better for us if Gonzaga wins their tournament?
This post was edited on 3/2/16 at 9:49 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Does St. Mary's have any real shot at an at-large berth? Wouldn't it be better for us if Gonzaga wins their tournament?



Who knows. The committee seems to love those WCC schools. They are 0-1 vs the Top 50 but 6-2 vs the Top 100. Honestly, their profile is much stronger than Gonzaga's. Gonzaga is 0-5 vs the Top 50 and 3-7 vs the Top 100.

I think if St. Mary's makes it to Gonzaga and loses they have a shot, not to mention Gonzaga is 0-2 vs SMC. I think Gonzaga is auto bid or out at this point.

This post was edited on 3/2/16 at 9:54 am
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
24298 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:56 am to
I'm not going to lie, I was so excited about next season and the potential. With Ferg leaving us high and dry my emotional status is much like Squidward's
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22584 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 9:58 am to
I agree that we would want St Mary's to win that conference tournament.

Unfortunately though we probably aren't one of 12-13 teams fighting for nine spots, it's probably 6 or 7 spots at best when you factor in some bid thieves winning conference tournaments.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:00 am to
quote:

when you factor in some bid thieves winning conference tournaments


Luckily there aren't as many sure fire mid-major teams like the past. Teams like Valpo, UA-LR, Monmouth, SDSU, Akron, Hawaii, UAB even Wichita.........they are unlikely to make the NCAAT if they don't win their bid.

So, our real fear would have to be with teams like LSU, FSU, Washington, etc.
This post was edited on 3/2/16 at 10:01 am
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22584 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:01 am to
That's also a good point.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:02 am to
I know it is silly to "feel good" when talking the bubble, but I really think if we win tonight, win @ Georgia and then win our first SECT game we will be in one of the First Four games in Dayton.

I know I'm probably setting myself up for disappointment (although I think we are going to lose @ Georgia), but I really think that's the way it will go down if we win the next 3.
Posted by Gary Busey
Member since Dec 2014
33277 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:04 am to
We're gonna win at Georgia.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25502 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:14 am to
quote:

I really think if we win tonight, win @ Georgia and then win our first SECT game we will be in one of the First Four games in Dayton.



If we do that I think we'll be a 10 seed that's not worried about the first four.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 10:18 am to
quote:

If we do that I think we'll be a 10 seed that's not worried about the first four


I just can't even get myself to the seeding lines yet.

I'm not gonna lie, assuming we don't end up with Kentucky as the 2nd game, I want these guys to make a little run in Nashville. They can play with anybody in that tournament other than Kentucky.
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 11:20 am to
Lunardi's latest update has us in the First Four out: Tulsa, St. Bonaventure, Alabama, Florida
Posted by Cobrasize
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2013
49884 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 12:04 pm to
the lady tigers of LSU just beat our women in the SEC tourney.
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6908 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 12:10 pm to
Ala can tie the all-time record with Arkansas this evening.

Although, I think we are leading them in just SEC games but can't seem to find those stats.

27-28 as of now
Posted by Cobrasize
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2013
49884 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 12:15 pm to
The Bama-Arkansas games in the early 90's were great. Seemed like every game was close
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6908 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 12:22 pm to
yes they were

I was wrong, they are up 30-28. We are down 2.
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 12:30 pm to
ESPN is showing us as 1.5 point favorites
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25502 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 1:54 pm to
Must have a lot of people taking Arkansas tonight for the line to drop 2 points.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16163 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Must have a lot of people taking Arkansas tonight for the line to drop 2 points.


As much as I hate to say it, I'd probably make Arky the favorite.

Ever since the win at LSU and the NCAA tournament bid became a legitimate possibility, Bama's seemed to play scared and tight. Before that, it was frick it let's have fun. Gotta get back to that attitude.
This post was edited on 3/2/16 at 2:23 pm
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 3/2/16 at 2:22 pm to
Anyone have a list of bubble games for tonight and who we need to pull for or against? Or any games that would help our RPI?
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