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re: Win or Lose, Bama Won't Make the Playoff

Posted on 11/29/23 at 3:59 pm to
Posted by TexasOnTop
Member since Nov 2023
1387 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 3:59 pm to
They don't go off the AP poll lol. If I am not mistaken, there are no media members on the CFP committee.
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9703 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

If they beat Georgia in a close game Georgia still gets in


No chance. If UGA loses they are out. Nobody has already punched their ticket this season. These are de facto semi final playoff games.
Posted by skipjackbama
Member since Apr 2023
1502 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

#TheBamaDecline is in full effect and will only get worse when Saban retires at the end of the season



Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
22040 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

We should've beat Texas when we played them earlier in the year.
maybe, but you definitely should have lost to Auburn last week. Does that make it a wash?

Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
5681 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:04 pm to
Sure. Consider that the current rankings are the blueprint for how the committee views each team.

Because both Pac-12 teams are currently in the top 5, one of them is in with a win. That seems like the most guaranteed spot.

Outside of a team losing, they don’t want to have huge jumps or falls that they have to defend.
Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
704 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:04 pm to
There are 8 teams who have a chance at making it (sorry Mizzou you are #9)

If any of the 7 teams playing this weekend lose they are out period end no matter how much wishcasting and dipshittery Ole Marge is doing down in C-Stat

Case for each team to make it

Teams that control their own destiny:

Georgia win
Washington win
FSU win
Michigan win
Oregon win

Teams that need help:

Texas win + one upset (Alabama, Louisville, or Iowa)
Alabama win + one upset (Louisville, Oklahoma State, or Iowa)
Ohio State need Georgia, Washington, Michigan to win + one upset (Oklahoma State or Louisville)

You can debate all the rest you want but you would be wrong.
Posted by TexasOnTop
Member since Nov 2023
1387 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:05 pm to
I love watching Bama fans do mental gymnastics to justify them being in the playoffs.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16533 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

If they beat Georgia in a close game Georgia still gets in


Based on what? If UGA loses they are in a worse spot than Bama considering UGA would not be a conference champ. If it's going to take upsets for 12-1 SEC champ Bama to get in, it's definitely going to take upsets for 12-1 non champ UGA to get in.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
5681 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:10 pm to
Ohio State is the most likely to get jumped because they don’t get a chance at any impressive wins.

Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
704 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:11 pm to
Ohio State is a bitchass piece of shite.

They won 2 games over teams with 8 wins (Notre Dumb & Pedo State)

The CFP should get punched in the nuts for putting them anywhere but #8
Posted by Bird_Hunter
Chicago
Member since Nov 2023
655 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:12 pm to
It’s commendable I will say. I’m impressed.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16533 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

I love watching Bama fans do mental gymnastics to justify them being in the playoffs.


Beating UGA and having one of the other potential candidates lose a conference championship game isn't exactly mental gymnastics

Winning your conference championship game pretty much always needs to happen, and it's not exactly unprecedented for the favorite to lose their conference championship game.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18222 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Texas loss
or FSu. That and a UGA win puts them in
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
5681 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:16 pm to
I know, it’s weird. The committee seems to really emphasize losses, with some losses being better than others, based on the opponent.

Kind of like how the NCAA basketball committee does it…
Posted by TexasOnTop
Member since Nov 2023
1387 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:21 pm to
I'm not just talking about this post in particular. It's a combination of the debates on this post and the season long "Bama should be in before Texas" justifications they've push. They are relentless, i'll give them that.
Posted by Bird_Hunter
Chicago
Member since Nov 2023
655 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:29 pm to
Has a team ever gone from #8 to #4 with a conference win and made playoffs? I genuinely don't know.
Posted by TexasOnTop
Member since Nov 2023
1387 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:31 pm to
No team ranked higher than #6 going into conference championship week has made the playoffs.
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15402 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:32 pm to
Thanks for the update
Posted by BFANLC
The Beach
Member since Oct 2007
18119 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

I would've called you a dumbass.


You can still do that
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
19711 posts
Posted on 11/29/23 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

agree. Alabama desperately needs a Texas loss. Assuming Alabama beats Georgia
Bama needs an FSU loss
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