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re: So Russia might have just invaded the Ukraine, kind of

Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:11 pm to
Posted by rb
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
5633 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

we will tell putin we are giving him a red line, Putin will get on his bear and strut across the line as obama lectures him for not wearing a helmet while riding the bear.



Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105407 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

You know a lot of people gave Romney shite for saying Russia is our biggest geopolitical enemy. The last year has shown him to be correct.


Yep
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Except Ukraine loses sovereignty and independence when they accept a deal with the west. The banking machine will own them.


They're already lost sovereignty. Their past presidents have made them nothing more than a vassal state run by oligarchs who've exploited Ukraine's national resources for their own profit and placed Ukraine in the hands of the Kremlin. Sure a western alliance means complying with monetary policies of any IMF based loans -- loans they need more of because those previous governments robbed the treasury with Russian backing -- but being tied to an IMF deal that imposes austerity measures (which I personally think are BS) is arguably far better than having no control over your country at all.

However, the sad reality is that Ukraine is a nation that is as close to a failed state as you can get. It is and has been dysfunctional since its independence and they won't be a fully functional nation free of jumping at IMF rules on budgetary issue in exchange for bailouts until they gain functionality but Russian aid comes at the price of Kremlin rule. The choice? An overly zealous banker telling you what you can and can't do in terms of your national spending (imposing austerity measures if necessary to restrain spending - assuming Ukraine actually has any real social services to cut) but otherwise allowing your country to actually rule itself versus another nation with wholly different views and ideals than the western views and ideals you aspire to owning you completely.

In a dream world they could simply become independent and free without strings but that world doesn't exist. Ukraine will have outside influence until their economy and nation-state is strong enough not to need aid.
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:38 pm to
I actually agree with Sleepy on this one...when the great war happens, 5, 10, 30 or more years from now, I'm not sure.

But make no mistake that another world war will occur. In fact...many more will occur. Human nature.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

I actually agree with Sleepy on this one...when the great war happens, 5, 10, 30 or more years from now, I'm not sure.

But make no mistake that another world war will occur. In fact...many more will occur. Human nature.


I don't know how a great war can occur with nuclear weapons on the table. We'd all be gone in an instant. I think that's why we fight these proxy wars and have been constantly fighting them since the end of WWII and the start of the Korean War.
Posted by Three-n-Snout
Member since Nov 2012
1773 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

we will tell putin we are giving him a red line, Putin will get on his bear and strut across the line as obama lectures him for not wearing a helmet while riding the bear.


Well done sir
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 4:54 pm to
Blah Blah Blah

1. Obama and his cronies need to keep their fricking mouths shut. We're not doing shite in this little dispute so why make ourselves look like hypocritical pussies in the process?

2. Who gives a frick about the money side of this? What do we have to gain from fricking Ukraine? If Western Europe wants to take on their debt, so what?

3. What exactly has Russia done wrong? Nothing. Crimea was part of Russia for a long time. Most of the people there are Russian. Russia has two airfields and two naval bases there. (I don't really understand why Russia insists on this stronghold in Crimea because they already have their own coast on the Black Sea.) Crimea is the only place "rumored" to have Russian soldiers.


At the end of the day, the Ukrainian people ousted their president that was backed by Russia, so to expect no push back from Russia would be ignorant on their part if they didn't expect it. Let Russia and Ukraine hash this out. If some EU countries get involved then tell them to have fun. This has nothing to do with us and these "stern warnings" that we're issuing is comedy gold that Putin watches when he wants a good laugh.

ETA: TL;DR See below

This post was edited on 2/28/14 at 4:58 pm
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

So Russia might have just invaded the Ukraine, kind of
Blah Blah Blah


2. Who gives a frick about the money side of this? What do we have to gain from fricking Ukraine?


I'm glad you're not in charge of foreign policy.
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:16 pm to
I disagree that we need military bases in Ukraine bad enough to get into it with Russia because we have a quite large one right across the Black Sea in Turkey. What's so

Also, what exactly has Russia done that's so egregious?
This post was edited on 2/28/14 at 5:17 pm
Posted by CrimsonChin
the gutter.
Member since Feb 2010
5857 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

My question is what will the EU and America do when Russia jumps in militarily?



We'll do nothing but hold talks and that's the way it should be handled on our end. Russia didn't really do anything when Bill Clinton done billions of dollars worth of damage to Yugoslavia with air strikes.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90598 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

The 1980's called, they want their foreign policy back.


Obama can't hold a candle to Reagan when it comes to foreign policy
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90598 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

You know a lot of people gave Romney shite for saying Russia is our biggest geopolitical enemy.


A lot of things Romney said have come to fruiting. The man wasn't an idiot, people just didn't like the truth. Our current voting populace would rather hear feel good stories about rainbows and unicorns instead of real issues that we need to address.
Posted by heartbreakTiger
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
138974 posts
Posted on 2/28/14 at 5:53 pm to
its too bad mittens lost on purpose. He had a ton of momentum and then he just went to complete shite. I don't understand how a man of his genius and wealth could have such an incompetent campaign team. I understand the major media was hounding them but a good team would have smoked that shite and got him elected. Plus the guy has the look of a real president
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 3/1/14 at 8:05 am to
quote:

Obama can't hold a candle to Reagan when it comes to foreign policy



Two very opposite ends of the spectrum.

Reagan was a complete badass.

Obama is not.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 3/1/14 at 3:14 pm to
Putin has now launched what is looking more and more like a full scale invasion of Crimea. Troops, warships, the whole shebang. It's a redux of the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008 in terms of the blueprint he's using (escalate, send in a little bit, look at the West to see how they react, then send more) but could be far worse than that since in Georgia he was in and out and I don't think that will be the case here if nothing is done.

Our hand is weak unless we want to go to war with Russia which is typically an out of the question scenario. It will be very interesting to see how this resolves itself. Right now, I don't think Ukraine will take this lying down, especially if Putin is trying to pull an annexation of Crimea which very much looks to be the case. If nothing is done we'll have a pretty bloody war of ethnic cleansing that destabilizes all of Eastern Europe on our hands and from there it can spread West to Western Europe as well as down into Afghanistan and into the Middle East.

Someone is going to have to come up with a solution to prevent that from happening and right now every step has a landmine right beside it.
Posted by greygatch
Member since Sep 2013
1159 posts
Posted on 3/1/14 at 7:06 pm to
"derp derp Obama weak Reagan strong derrrrrr."

First, Obama is projecting weakness by not doing enough. Now he's meddling in Russian affairs?

Ukraine fought and died to gain independence from a puppet president in Yanukovich. Now Putin is sending thousands of troops to Crimea to protect Russian citizens in the Ukraine? Top frickin' lulz.

If you don't support Ukraine's independence, you better not call yourself an American.

inb4 "America shouldn't intervene"

This isn't just the United States. It's NATO, as well.

quote:

A treaty signed in 1994 by the US and Britain could pull both countries into a war to protect Ukraine if Putin’s troops intervene.

The Budapest Memorandum was signed by Bill Clinton, John Major, Boris Yeltsin and Leonid Kuchma – the then-rulers of the USA, UK, Russia and Ukraine – as part of the denuclearization of former Soviet republics after the dissolution of the Soviet Union

Technically it means that if Russia has invaded Ukraine then it would be difficult for the US and Britain to avoid going to war.

Sir Tony Brenton, who served as British Ambassador from 2004 to 2008, said that war could be an option ‘if we do conclude the [Budapest] Memorandum is legally binding.’

It promises to protect Ukraine’s borders, in return for Ukraine giving up its nuclear weapons.

Today Kiev has demanded the agreement is activated after insisting their borders had been violated.

In response Mr Brenton said in a BBC radio interview: ‘If indeed this is a Russian invasion of Crimea and if we do conclude the [Budapest] Memorandum is legally binding then it’s very difficult to avoid the conclusion that we’re going to go to war with Russia’.
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 3/1/14 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Putin has now launched what is looking more and more like a full scale invasion of Crimea. Troops, warships, the whole shebang. It's a redux of the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008 in terms of the blueprint he's using (escalate, send in a little bit, look at the West to see how they react, then send more)


Dude, Russia has had troops and warships in Crimea for years and years. It's not like they just showed up once the President got overthrown.

quote:

Right now, I don't think Ukraine will take this lying down, especially if Putin is trying to pull an annexation of Crimea which very much looks to be the case.


LULZ, not take it? What exactly are they going to to about it?

Crimea was once a part of Russia. I really don't see what the big deal would be if the people of Crimea wanted to be a part of Russia again. They overthrew their government because they didn't want him, why can't they decide if they'd rather be a part if Russia. The prime minister of Crimea has already stated that they are making their decisions based on what's best for Crimea and separate of Kiev. Sounds like they are handling themselves fine.
This post was edited on 3/1/14 at 8:17 pm
Posted by The_Joker
Winter Park, Fl
Member since Jan 2013
16317 posts
Posted on 3/1/14 at 11:14 pm to
quote:

A treaty signed in 1994 by the US and Britain could pull both countries into a war to protect Ukraine if Putin’s troops intervene.


So many things about this are wrong
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 3/2/14 at 12:00 am to
quote:

LULZ, not take it? What exactly are they going to to about it?


Ukraine has 144,000 standing troops. ~4,000 tanks, 2,000 various artillery pieces (self-propelled and towed), 100 combat helicopters, separate AF, supersonic aircraft, to name a few things. Ukraine's standing troops are larger than BOTH the UK's and France.

quote:


Crimea was once a part of Russia. I really don't see what the big deal would be if the people of Crimea wanted to be a part of Russia again. They overthrew their government because they didn't want him, why can't they decide if they'd rather be a part if Russia. The prime minister of Crimea has already stated that they are making their decisions based on what's best for Crimea and separate of Kiev. Sounds like they are handling themselves fine.


And the Rhineland was once a part of Germany, what's the big deal if that guy flying that weird flag wants to take it?

However, the idiotic suggestion that Crimea is Russian is just that: idiotic. Crimea isn't Russian. So who are the Crimeans 'historically'? How bout you read up on that and get back to us. LINK

As to what Crimea's saying now? Well, you do realize that Russia showed up a few days ago, sent armed troops into their local parliament and with GUNS POINTED at the heads of those officials had those officials pass a law saying they'd consider the question of Crimean independence in May -- a question that didn't exist as Crimea did NOT want to break away until Russia showed up and pointed guns at their politicians?

That Crimean PM you're talking about? His name is Sergey Aksyonov. He was just installed by those Russian forces pointing guns - you know the armed guys who seized government buildings on Thursday. He belongs to the Russian Unity Party. Guess how much support they had in Crimea last election in 2012? 4 percent. I'm sure he's doing just fine personally being installed at gunpoint by the Russians and all.

ETA: Is Russia welcome to send its troops into Kharkov as well? Because as I type, Russian armored personnel carriers have entered Kharkov which is certainly NOT Crimea.
This post was edited on 3/2/14 at 1:53 am
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42621 posts
Posted on 3/2/14 at 12:03 am to
Canada has recalled its ambassador and we're now condemning this as an invasion and occupation. Russia's senators have 'requested' to Putin that he recalls the Russian Ambassador to the US because Obama hurt their feelings. According to them Obama's speech was "aggressive" and "crossed the red line and insulted the Russian people" and his words a "direct threat" to precious President Pooty-poot inalienable right to annex whatever neighboring country's land he wants when he wants:

Kremlin Mouthpiece News
This post was edited on 3/2/14 at 12:34 am
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