astonvilla
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | New Jersey |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 3547 |
| Registered on: | 12/27/2005 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: aibottlenecks.app
Posted by astonvilla on 6/18/26 at 10:13 pm to bayoubengals88
So many of these have already run up. You had mentioned ADEA in another thread. Does it fit in any in of the layers
re: aibottlenecks.app
Posted by astonvilla on 6/18/26 at 9:36 pm to bayoubengals88
Thanks man. Is there any layer which is still undiscovered by market. I wish I had this a year ago.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/17/26 at 6:09 am to bayoubengals88
Rumours that Softbank or another big name might make strategic investment in Nebius :pimp:
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/12/26 at 4:35 pm to bayoubengals88
I heard SpaceX is building data centers in Space as soon as 2027. any concerns from that angel?
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/11/26 at 7:29 pm to TigerFanatic99
NEBIUS ADDED TO NASDAQ 100. lets fricking go. :dude:
re: New ST play (5/21 11:41AM) - $CRNC
Posted by astonvilla on 6/11/26 at 2:58 pm to bayoubengals88
he calls himself a deep research high conviction guy but has been selling quite a bit of his portfolio with less than one month of holding.
re: New ST play (5/21 11:41AM) - $CRNC
Posted by astonvilla on 6/11/26 at 2:25 pm to CheesyF
he also bought TE today. just in case you all are interested
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/8/26 at 6:44 am to bayoubengals88
thanks, hoping this comes to fruition
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/8/26 at 6:26 am to bayoubengals88
wow, how realistic are these predictions. is this group well respected. This is retire type of money for me if it reaches that price point
re: VLN - 40% crash. Halted. Crazy options premium.
Posted by astonvilla on 6/7/26 at 3:57 pm to bayoubengals88
STW is piece of shite. He makes his subscribers feel like shite all the time they ask a question. also he said he is a long term investor with conviction but started selling first sign of trouble.
re: ADEA - Adeia Inc. Intellectual Property Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/4/26 at 3:57 pm to damnlambert
TACTICAL TRADE: OPEN $ARRY $9C Aug 21 $1.54 avg. @ 1.5% weighting
I really like the setup on solar right now. It has been politically suppressed, but evidence across the power capacity buildout, including the image I shared (here: LINK a few days ago regarding Texas ERCOT capacity adds, which were basically half storage and half solar.
Array Technologies sells the equipment that makes large solar farms more productive. Instead of installing solar panels on fixed metal racks, a utility-scale solar project can install panels on ARRY’s solar trackers, which rotate panels during the day so they follow the sun. That increases energy production and can lower the cost per unit of electricity. 81% of their revenue comes from the U.S.
The company has debt, which is manageable, but they are currently sitting on a $2.4 billion orderbook with a $2.4 billion EV (which includes debt, obv). Trades at a P/E of 7 and a forward P/E of 6 at 1x sales.
Perhaps the most interesting component? The stock's **short interest is 20%**
I think the daily AND weekly charts are at a high risk-reward entry point with all the moving averages stacked tightly below price. The entire sector is setting up. All the solar charts look nice (including our initial position in $SHLS).
The vast majority of ideas I share are medium-term to long-term. This is a shorter-term tactical trade into the summer, based mostly on A) the technical setup, B) the short-interest, and C) the thematic relevance. <@&933985135391547462>
I really like the setup on solar right now. It has been politically suppressed, but evidence across the power capacity buildout, including the image I shared (here: LINK a few days ago regarding Texas ERCOT capacity adds, which were basically half storage and half solar.
Array Technologies sells the equipment that makes large solar farms more productive. Instead of installing solar panels on fixed metal racks, a utility-scale solar project can install panels on ARRY’s solar trackers, which rotate panels during the day so they follow the sun. That increases energy production and can lower the cost per unit of electricity. 81% of their revenue comes from the U.S.
The company has debt, which is manageable, but they are currently sitting on a $2.4 billion orderbook with a $2.4 billion EV (which includes debt, obv). Trades at a P/E of 7 and a forward P/E of 6 at 1x sales.
Perhaps the most interesting component? The stock's **short interest is 20%**
I think the daily AND weekly charts are at a high risk-reward entry point with all the moving averages stacked tightly below price. The entire sector is setting up. All the solar charts look nice (including our initial position in $SHLS).
The vast majority of ideas I share are medium-term to long-term. This is a shorter-term tactical trade into the summer, based mostly on A) the technical setup, B) the short-interest, and C) the thematic relevance. <@&933985135391547462>
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/1/26 at 6:43 pm to JetsetNuggs
is this new announcement or one from before? wouldnt market react positively to this. i didnt see much reaction today on it.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 6/1/26 at 4:50 am to The Boat
Nvidia CEO apparently gave a shoutout to NBIS in Asia and thus the premarket rally
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 5/28/26 at 6:36 am to The Boat
Arete Research bumps the share price target to 380
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 5/28/26 at 6:05 am to bayoubengals88
the timing sucks for today as it may be a sell off day due to Iran US escalation. but long term this hopefully rips.
re: New ST play (5/21 11:41AM) - $CRNC
Posted by astonvilla on 5/26/26 at 1:06 pm to bayoubengals88
THE GOOD, THE BAD, THE UGLY -- THE FORGOTTEN SEMICONDUCTORS
HIGH RISK, HIGH-VOLATILITY, SMALL-CAP -- SIZE APPROPRIATELY
A lot of former SPACs have seen their return to fame in the last few years, many rallying from $1-3 per share to double digits in short-order. Some are shitcos, some aren't. For the most part, they have been narrative-driven. Some have been value-driven. But, there are some are *BOTH* interesting thematically and fundamentally.
I think Valen Semiconductor $VLN is one of those stocks.
THEMATIC RELEVANCE: Valen fits into the Edge AI + Robotics basket we are building, VLN is a sensor-data connectivity company for edge-AI systems. In robotics, that means it can help move high-resolution camera data from the robot’s “eyes” to the robot’s “brain”.
I would view it as *complementary* to SYNA / OSS / VPG / CTS, and not redundant. $SYNA is closer to edge processors, wireless connectivity & human-machine interface. $OSS is rugged edge compute. $VPG and $CTS are physical-world sensing, measurement & actuation. $VLN would add the high-bandwidth “nervous system” layer *between sensors and compute*, so it almost fits seamlessly.
VLN’s key edge-AI/robotics asset is VA7000, its MIPI A-PHY-compliant SerDes chipset family. A-PHY is a long-reach serializer/deserializer physical-layer interface originally developed for automotive ADAS/ADS and surround-sensor applications. It supports high-speed unidirectional data, embedded bidirectional control data & optional power delivery. It has potential applications in advanced robotics as robotics is moving from simple automation toward perception-heavy automation. Robots increasingly need to understand their surroundings. That requires cameras and sensors feeding AI models.
FUNDAMENTAL VALUE: The stock, although burning cash, is *extremely cheap*. It trades at **1.7x CASH, 1.5x book, and 1.0x EV/sales**... *Any* positive news of *any* kind could force an immediate rerating. This is a basement valuation that is pricing zero optimism and zero expectations. That presents a compelling risk-reward.
NO IMMEDIATE SOLVENCY RISK: Yes, the company is burning some cash. Operating cash flow was negative $12.7 million in FY2025. Nonetheless, solvency & bankruptcy risk are extremely low. The company has too much cash relative to current liabilities, no traditional debt, no maturity wall, and disclosed liquidity sufficient for at least twelve months. On the latest numbers, it has roughly $92.6 million of cash/deposits against $22.9 million of current liabilities with current assets of $118.7 million, and shareholders’ equity of $105.0 million.
Layman's logic tree:
1. Edge-AI systems need more cameras and sensors.
2. More cameras create more high-bandwidth data transport problems.
3. Centralized compute architectures make long, robust sensor links more valuable.
4. Robotics, industrial vehicles, medical imaging, and ADAS all need reliable low-latency video.
5. VLN has relevant standards leadership through HDBaseT and MIPI A-PHY.
6. VA7000 can be repurposed beyond automotive into industrial vision, medical, video conferencing, and robotics.
7. If A-PHY becomes broadly adopted, VLN could benefit from early technical credibility and ecosystem position.
The chart since inception is obviously not pretty at first glance. It's been beaten down for years. But, that's precisely what presents an interesting risk-reward profile. There are signs of bottoming. On the daily chart, the stock has reclaimed its 9/21EMAs and is tucked underneath the 200-day. On the weekly, the stock has also reclaimed the 9/21EMAs and is tucked underneath the 50-week. This is the moving average "pinch" that I discuss on many of my live streams <#1441560421822627860>
Because of the great cushion I've built so far this year by more than doubling the portfolio, I am going to take some risk here. This name will join the EDGE AI + ROBOTICS basket. I'm taking a 5.5% position in *all shares* in $VLN @1.57 <@&933985135391547462>
HIGH RISK, HIGH-VOLATILITY, SMALL-CAP -- SIZE APPROPRIATELY
A lot of former SPACs have seen their return to fame in the last few years, many rallying from $1-3 per share to double digits in short-order. Some are shitcos, some aren't. For the most part, they have been narrative-driven. Some have been value-driven. But, there are some are *BOTH* interesting thematically and fundamentally.
I think Valen Semiconductor $VLN is one of those stocks.
THEMATIC RELEVANCE: Valen fits into the Edge AI + Robotics basket we are building, VLN is a sensor-data connectivity company for edge-AI systems. In robotics, that means it can help move high-resolution camera data from the robot’s “eyes” to the robot’s “brain”.
I would view it as *complementary* to SYNA / OSS / VPG / CTS, and not redundant. $SYNA is closer to edge processors, wireless connectivity & human-machine interface. $OSS is rugged edge compute. $VPG and $CTS are physical-world sensing, measurement & actuation. $VLN would add the high-bandwidth “nervous system” layer *between sensors and compute*, so it almost fits seamlessly.
VLN’s key edge-AI/robotics asset is VA7000, its MIPI A-PHY-compliant SerDes chipset family. A-PHY is a long-reach serializer/deserializer physical-layer interface originally developed for automotive ADAS/ADS and surround-sensor applications. It supports high-speed unidirectional data, embedded bidirectional control data & optional power delivery. It has potential applications in advanced robotics as robotics is moving from simple automation toward perception-heavy automation. Robots increasingly need to understand their surroundings. That requires cameras and sensors feeding AI models.
FUNDAMENTAL VALUE: The stock, although burning cash, is *extremely cheap*. It trades at **1.7x CASH, 1.5x book, and 1.0x EV/sales**... *Any* positive news of *any* kind could force an immediate rerating. This is a basement valuation that is pricing zero optimism and zero expectations. That presents a compelling risk-reward.
NO IMMEDIATE SOLVENCY RISK: Yes, the company is burning some cash. Operating cash flow was negative $12.7 million in FY2025. Nonetheless, solvency & bankruptcy risk are extremely low. The company has too much cash relative to current liabilities, no traditional debt, no maturity wall, and disclosed liquidity sufficient for at least twelve months. On the latest numbers, it has roughly $92.6 million of cash/deposits against $22.9 million of current liabilities with current assets of $118.7 million, and shareholders’ equity of $105.0 million.
Layman's logic tree:
1. Edge-AI systems need more cameras and sensors.
2. More cameras create more high-bandwidth data transport problems.
3. Centralized compute architectures make long, robust sensor links more valuable.
4. Robotics, industrial vehicles, medical imaging, and ADAS all need reliable low-latency video.
5. VLN has relevant standards leadership through HDBaseT and MIPI A-PHY.
6. VA7000 can be repurposed beyond automotive into industrial vision, medical, video conferencing, and robotics.
7. If A-PHY becomes broadly adopted, VLN could benefit from early technical credibility and ecosystem position.
The chart since inception is obviously not pretty at first glance. It's been beaten down for years. But, that's precisely what presents an interesting risk-reward profile. There are signs of bottoming. On the daily chart, the stock has reclaimed its 9/21EMAs and is tucked underneath the 200-day. On the weekly, the stock has also reclaimed the 9/21EMAs and is tucked underneath the 50-week. This is the moving average "pinch" that I discuss on many of my live streams <#1441560421822627860>
Because of the great cushion I've built so far this year by more than doubling the portfolio, I am going to take some risk here. This name will join the EDGE AI + ROBOTICS basket. I'm taking a 5.5% position in *all shares* in $VLN @1.57 <@&933985135391547462>
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 5/26/26 at 11:50 am to sonoma8
true true, not the right reference from my side. just disappointed that it was up 8 points before market and went downhill right after that in spite of tech space being up.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted by astonvilla on 5/26/26 at 10:43 am to tigerfoot
good market day but NBIS tanking. still heavily invested on this.
re: New ST play (5/21 11:41AM) - $CRNC
Posted by astonvilla on 5/23/26 at 11:46 am to Upperdecker
Thank you
re: New ST play (5/21 11:41AM) - $CRNC
Posted by astonvilla on 5/23/26 at 10:48 am to Upperdecker
Why do you prefer SOUND. Would be great to hear your input
re: OUST - LiDAR for Physical AI and Smart Infrastructure
Posted by astonvilla on 5/21/26 at 11:54 am to bayoubengals88
i dont see anything in news which makes NBIS go up today. not complaining.
Popular
1









