MarcusQuinn

Expect 10. Us 2 other Pels fans headed to Rusty Nail. Go Pels! Woot!

A “Per Code” note?

“On the structural plans I just put the note “Build Good.”

Right. But the NFL has pretty well established pay ranges for position salaries, starters, etc. They have agents, the union and collective bargaining. And nobody is playing for free.

People with different work ethics and abilities live different lives, etc. etc. No kidding. But for college football it’s going to be the Wild West, navigated by some pretty simple 18-year-olds being advised by Uncle Slim. To think the kids and families making less or nothing, for whatever reason, won’t be potentially disruptive is naive. Would they demand money, sit out, transfer, quit? Nobody knows how the dominos will fall at this point.

Life isn’t fair. I’m sure every player will be wise, understanding, accepting and will just try their darn best in spite of it.

Mono is potentially so much worse than people realize. A couple of weeks of being in bed sick with fatigue, enlarged spleen and other after effects for months. Covid, at that age, is just a virus. From that point... time contagious, how contagious, asymptomatic spread, etc is a wildcard. Depends on which people and which studies you look at. Mono sucks. Any really sick person should respectfully stay home from work or school regardless.

It sounds as though you are leaning towards a notable level of immunity existing and, due to that, the virus eventually burning out. And pretty soon. If that’s the case, the state will continue to get better from this point on until we reach a low plateau, like we have seen in Orleans. It’s not two spikes, but different timing of various spikes.

This seems to be confirmed with a little more certainty every week. If this was not the case, New York would have needed the 40,000 ventilators they asked for and the field hospitals in the Javits center and Morial Convention Center would have been filled. Those were legitimate numbers based on an assumed “one-size-fits-all” outlook for susceptibility to exposure, infection and exponential growth.

Recall that the virus has been shown to live in the air for hours and on surfaces for days. It’s out there and it’s highly contagious. A substantial percentage of people in the state will get it or have gotten it. Currently the R is down and the number of hosts is dropping. IF this is all true, then we will be out of the woods much sooner than most expect.

We could see a huge second spike in the fall. Who knows? This may be a roller coaster for a long time. But there is enough science pointing towards it burning out, that I’m on board with this being the eventual outcome. It also keeps me sane to think that this may be nearing an end. Even if it is true, it’s not going to be a pleasant descent between now and then.

Until we know, I’m going to wear my mask, socially distance and be part of what conventional science and society dictates. We will know soon enough. And much more in, say, two weeks.

Of course. The people on the beaches are also eating, drinking, peeing, staying in hotels, etc. The beaches themselves are probably pretty safe.

But people have latched onto a recently published study that says antibodies are no longer present after two months. This is being interpreted as meaning there is also no longer any immunity. That’s not necessarily true. It’s much more complicated than that.

I think opening bars, on campus in particular, is about to result in a notable increase in cases. There’s a growing buzz. If so, it will be interesting to see how newer cases correlate with hospitalizations. The early spread included a notable percentage of elderly patients. Id assume those congregating in bars right now are a younger, healthier demographic.

There have been five similar one day spikes since May 1. The previous five times, the days following were notably lower. That may not be the case in the coming days, but so far these high case days have been anomalies.

Fear of a second wave and the possible consequences is entirely different than fear of personal infection and death.