Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Central New Hampshire
Biography:LSU Alumnus - Vietnam Vet - MENSA member (23 yrs)
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Registered on:11/20/2003
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re: Who do you want to draft JD5?

Posted by NHTIGER on 12/14/23 at 12:04 pm
"A sportswriter who covers the Patriots said he expects New England to pick Marvin Harrison first then Jaden Daniels. They have two first round picks."

The Patriots DO NOT have two first round picks in the 2024 NFL draft.

Most Boston area media, and many fans, are clamoring for Drake Maye as the Pats are looking (as of now) at likely having the 2nd pick. Maye got a lot of preseason hype but I'm not sold on him at all. His passer rating for this past season was 35th (we know who was first). The pre-season Top 3 in virtually all media were Caleb Williams, Maye and Harrison, and the locals up this way, who don't follow college football that much, just go with the popular names. So they debate among themselves and never mention anyone else other than those three guys.
First, the number of voters who left the top 3 finishers off their ballot completely:

JD 122
Penix 152
Nix 350

EDIT: The above numbers are based upon the expected 928 ballots, but because 37 ballots were either not submitted or were disqualified, the above numbers are slightly overstated for each.


Points By Region: (Each region is allocated 870 voting points in total, but there were 37 ballots either not returned or disqualified, lessening that number a bit)

Northeast:
Daniels 334, Penix 272, Nix 142, Harrison 54

Mid_Atlantic:
Daniels 318, Penix 272, Nix 121, Harrison 88

South:
Daniels 433, Penix 251, Nix 148, Harrison 25

Southwest:
Daniels 379, Penix 292, Nix 145, Harrison 40

Midwest:
Penix 287, Daniels 286, Nix 129, Harrison 106

Far West:
Penix 327, Daniels 279, Nix 200, Harrison 39




Not choosing 1st, 2nd and 3rd place means the ballot is disqualified, per the Heisman page.
Last season when Caleb Williams won by a larger margin than this, 152 voters left him off their ballot completely.
"10% of voters didn't have Jayden top 4"

Voters only could choose 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

re: Nabers got robbed!

Posted by NHTIGER on 12/9/23 at 4:08 pm
"Can you find out who voted and for who?"

Here they are, all 650+, with their media affiliation:

LINK /

Also, -
"Secret and Secure Ballot and Voting Integrity:
The Foundation does not reveal the vote of any individual selection committee member; however, any selection committee member may reveal his or her own vote. All votes will be submitted electronically via a secure online ballot voting system supervised by a prominent CPA firm.

The Foundation does not publicly comment on specific voting results regarding any receiver beyond reporting the identity of the semi-finalists, the finalists, and the winner."

re: Let's ride for Malik!!! Suspect #1

Posted by NHTIGER on 12/9/23 at 12:07 pm
Has The Advocate's Sheldon Mickles revealed his ballot yet?
"Has there ever been a Heisman winner that did not have the most 1st place votes ?"

They didn't start having points allocated for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place votes until 1995.

The answer is no - but in 2009, winner. Mark Ingram received only 5 more 1st place votes than runner-up Toby Gerhart, 227 to 222.

Ingram won the Heisman by 28 points.
"If Harrison is #4 than that means people voted before the Ohio St Michigan game"

That game was played on November 25th.

The Heisman ballots were not distributed until two days later, on November 27th.

"Burrow received 3 third-place votes and was left off of 42 ballots."

And Caleb Williams, despite an easy win last year, was left off 154 ballots.
Omissions could come into play in a very close final tally, which hopefully this one will not be.

re: Penix will finish second per Corso

Posted by NHTIGER on 12/2/23 at 3:32 pm
An FYI, Lee Corso is the 2023 Heisman Sectional Representative for the South Region. He is responsible for the appointment of the Heisman state representatives for AL, FL, GA, KY, LA, MS, and TN. Those state reps select the Heisman voters from within their respective states.

re: West coast heisman bias

Posted by NHTIGER on 12/1/23 at 12:35 pm
I'm guessing one-third or more of the 927 non-Nissan voters will omit Daniels or Nix as either their 1st or 2nd choice. Because it's all about total points and not 1st place votes, these 1 point and 0 point ballots for one or the other will prove to be the difference makers, for better or worse, in the end. Fingers crossed for JD.
"So if he wins Best QB in the country, and the Heisman race is between 2 QB's, that should be a dead giveaway right?"

Problem is in 2022, Max Duggan won this award and QB Caleb Williams won the Heisman. In 2021, QB Kenny Pickett won this award and QB Bryce Young won the Heisman. In 2020, Mack Jones won this award and only placed 3rd for the Heisman, while QB Trevor Lawrence placed 2nd for the Heisman. In 2018, Gardner Minshew won this award and finished 5th in the Heisman, behind four QB's.

Joe B. in 2019 went against the grain; let's hope JD does the same this year.
"Big Ten vote is going to decide who wins."

You can bet there will be votes for both Harrison, Jr. and McCarthy coming out of the Midwest group of voters. That's just the reality of it.

The group that has no dog in the hunt - the 145 voters from the Northeast (NY state and New England) - may end up having the final say.
Caleb Williams had an easy win in last year's Heisman.

153 voters didn't even list him on their ballots.

Even when Joe B. had that crushing Heisman win in 2019, 41 voters left him off their ballots completely.

Neither race was affected by this, not even close.

However, in a neck-and-neck contest like this year could very well be, ballot omissions could determine the winner.
"JD is the only viable candidate from the south. He’ll get the vast majority of media votes from the southeast. Nix and Penix will split the west coast votes."

That still leaves two-thirds of the total 870 media votes that are more difficult to predict.

The ideal ballot for us is 1.) JD - 2.)Harrison, Jr. - 3.) someone else not named Nix or Penix.

As I discussed in the other thread, it's possible that if Nix has a tough go of it this weekend, that either he or JD gets the most 1st place votes and the other one wins the Heisman.
Because the winner is determined by total points and not 1st place votes, a tight finish could easily come down to 3rd place votes and/or being left off some ballots.

Last year, despite a relatively easy win for Caleb Williams (544 1st place votes to Max Duggan's 188), there were 153 ballots that did not list Williams at all. Was he really not considered one of the top three candidates by 153 voters? Not likely. There could be any number of reasons for the omission. Duggan was left off 241 ballots. Williams won by a margin of 611 points.

But what about a year where the vote is expected to be quite bit closer, like this year? (Or 2009, when Ingram got only 5 more 1st place votes and beat Toby Gerhart by 28 points.) Ingram was left off an astounding 290 ballots while still eking out a close win. Gerhart was left off 297 ballots - which means that if just 29 (exactly 10%) of the non-Gerhart voters had given him 3rd place votes, he would have won the Heisman!

The point is that if Nix has a sub-standard game this week, either he or Daniels could get the most 1st place votes and easily lose the Heisman.
How many voters out there will omit one of them from their ballot, for whatever reason? Or vote for both, but list one of them as their 3rd choice, resulting in a 2-point spread for that voter?

Longshot, sure. Possible, very, in an anticipated very close race. IF LSU fans could vote, how many would list JD 1st and omit Nix, to help JD? If Oregon fans could vote, how many would list Nix 1st, and leave Daniels off entirely?

In the end, it could be just about the points. Just like, well, a football game.
The list is not only 10 years old, but the website that created the list closed down one year later - on December 8, 2014.
"Many voters have decided to give their vote to either Bo Nix or Michael Penix. "


The ballots are being distributed today. The four finalists who will get the trip to NYC will be announced next Monday.

It's not simply a matter of who a voter gives his first place vote. Because it's a points system, each voter's 2nd and 3rd place choice may prove to be pivotal this year when a close race is possible. But maybe even more critical, which of the most likely top 4 (Daniels, Nix, Penix, Harrison, Jr.) is which player(s) will be left off their top 3 choices entirely, which means 0 points.

Since every vote has to list 3 players, those voters who have a strong preference for either Daniels or Nix could easily omit the other player from their choices and , in effect, amplify their vote for whichever one they do want to win.
He won't get any 1st place votes, even from the 145 media voters in the Mid-Atlantic (ACC) region; but 3rd pace votes are oftentimes treated as "throwaway" symbolic votes in Heisman voting. Maye and Jordan Travis were the only two guys likely to get some 3rds from that region, but with Travis' injury, Maye will be the beneficiary. Just 29 more 3rd place votes for Gerhart from the 400 or so that left him off their ballots completely would have given him the 2009 Heisman.