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Registered on:9/29/2010
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re: Company Stock - Keep or Sell??

Posted by Negatiger1986 on 5/14/25 at 9:52 pm
Expand and EOG are also in that price range.

If commodity prices are strong when the stock vests, sell and diversify. Your entire livelihood is tied to that company/industry (salary, benefits, possibly even your home if O&G is the primary industry in your city). If commodity prices are weak, hold and sell during the next up cycle.

The odds that you’re selling the next Google or Nvidia are very low in my opinion because of the leverage to oil prices. I supposed it’s possible oil could go to $1,000/bbl and I’m proved wrong but there’s too much oil that can be economically brought online at even $100 that the supply side won’t allow prices to go crazy high for any extended period of time.
Probably because people stopped having heart attacks and started living long enough for their minds to fail instead.

re: Paul Skenes secret to success

Posted by Negatiger1986 on 6/23/24 at 9:29 pm
I’ve seen (many) better tri-toons at the prop stop.
Haha we have 2 of the “same” car but different colors and 7 years difference in model year so completely different body style.
I buy most of my wine online from Casemates and de Négoce. Sometimes you get a dud but in general you get well made wines at <$20 bottle that beat anything you’d get off the shelf at the grocery store in the sub-$40 range.

Casemates is a daily deal site that sends bottles ahead to the community so there are unbiased tasting notes/reviews on the message board for whatever wine is on sale that day. The catch is that you usually have to at least 3-6 bottles at a time, or a case to get the best price.

Négoce is Cameron Hughes, he simply buys wine from oversupplied producers and sells it under his own label. He under NDA so can’t say where the wine is from - but he tells you varietal, location, vintage, and oak program, which once you know your tastes is all that you need to know anyway. So it’s a bit of a mystery. As one poster alluded to, many producers are willing to sell him their extra wine on the cheap to maintain the illusion of scarcity and continue to sell their wine at premium prices. Also as Cameron would say, wine is not expensive to make, it is expensive to sell.
Ping hoofer, sun mountain 2.5, Titleist stand bag all good options. Plenty of room for two sleeves of balls, a handful of tees, a light jacket, and a couple cans of zyn. It’s lost on me why some of you nerds need a golf bag that can accommodate a family of 4. But please don’t stop bc it’s helpful for the rest of us to know that you are a hack.
No. Sometimes there are fees associated with buying mutual funds but my intent wasn’t to say ETFs are better than mutual funds. Just a suggestion for this kid. As long as you’re not trying to stock pick and are in quality diversified funds with low fees then you’re good. But I suspect you knew that.
You don’t need a financial advisor. This is the playbook for you, each subsequent step pending there’s still extra money to put into each one:

- Contribute to 401k to the extent your employer matches
- Max out Roth IRA
- Contribute to taxable brokerage account

In each account put funds into low-cost diversified ETFs. Vanguard has many good options, VOO (SP500 index) and VIG (dividend growth) are 2 I personally like.

If you want to minimize your tax bill, you can lean into the 401k. If you want to build some after tax money, potentially for a down payment on a home, then you can lean in to that account. But be sure you’re contributing enough to 401k to get full employer match.

When you’ve accumulated some wealth, you can consider going to an advisor to develop a more robust strategy. The key for you at this point is to remain disciplined about saving. At 24 you are ahead of the game.
The stuff that rots and dies has to be in sufficient accumulations, at a sufficient depth and temperature to cook into oil and gas and trapped in a geologic formation such that it is recoverable. Typically this occurs where shallow oceans used to exist - all the organisms in the shallow water die and accumulate in sandstones, which over geologic time (hundreds of millions of years) become oil and gas reservoirs. I guess once we deplete what is recoverable today we can wait another 300 million years for the processes to repeat.

I agree we are unlikely to run out. At high enough oil prices we will continue to develop more and more marginal reservoirs.
Anyone else getting constant crowd noise on the audio? It never stops. Driving me nuts like the constant whine of the vuvu-whatevers at a soccer game.

re: SBLOC for new home

Posted by Negatiger1986 on 12/31/23 at 9:50 am
The main difference is that a margin loan may be used to buy securities while an SBLOC can not be. The interest rates on a margin loans are approaching credit card levels - 10+%. SBLOC will be more in line with mortgage rates.

re: SBLOC for new home

Posted by Negatiger1986 on 12/31/23 at 9:42 am
I shopped for one of these this year. I think it’s possible you’re misreading the interest rates - that is likely SOFR plus 2-3% which puts you in the 7.5% range. We ultimately opted to pay cash for the home improvement project we are now working on.
No crumbs but most likely your house smells like dog and you’re nose blind to it.

re: Zelle money

Posted by Negatiger1986 on 8/9/23 at 11:00 am
I posted a “looking to buy” thread on Craigslist for a concert ticket. Trying to get something last minute for less than face value. Had success doing this for years but when ticket transfers went digital, a scammer responds saying he has ticket but you Zelle the money first. I said I would Zelle half and then he send tickets and then I’d Zelle the other half. Of course the ticket never came. I think I got scammed for $40, worst part is that I’ve been giving money to Ticketmaster ever since.
I think SPYs market share is driven by the depth of liquidity in the associated options. It is the highest vol on options contracts of any ticker on any given day. I think long-only investors are smart enough to realize that there are substantially identical alternatives with lower fee.
That’s a single weekend of travel ball.
Yes, the leaderboard at golf a tournament changes as golfers play more golf.
Good point. I’d probably change the channel if they sprinkled in a few shots from WGR #1.
And there’s Scottie finally. With birdie to get to -6.