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Vances parting comment regards best offer, we'll see. So tomorrow a lot of ship traffic, if Iran does not fire on them, maybe peace forward. If Iran does fire on them, hell to pay in Iran. that's negotiating


If Iran is non-committal on giving up pursuit of a nuclear weapon at this point, that’s way bigger than any worries about ship traffic.
This may have been a rope a dope strategy by Trump. Give in to a 2 week ceasefire so United States can continue to move troops and materiel into the region and allow the airmen to regroup, etc.
Vance sounds exasperated and I’m sure he’s exhausted but this doesn’t sound good. Now we know why all of the troop movements continue towards the Middle East.
Starting to feel like “the agreement” Trump claimed is just a rope a dope to drop the hammer but we shall see.
Sadly I don’t think any of that is going to happen. I’m holding out hope this ceasefire can lead to a permanent deal but we’re not negotiating with rational actors.
So Trump can try to speak a ceasefire into existence but Iran hasn’t said anything. What’s really happening?
If this agreement is subject to the Strait re-opening, have we heard any official confirmation from anyone with power or influence in Iran who can make that call?

re: 2 weeks cease fire

Posted by TakingStock on 4/7/26 at 5:40 pm to
So vessel traffic through the Strait needs to go back to how it was pre-war for this to mean anything.

re: 2 week extension is official

Posted by TakingStock on 4/7/26 at 5:39 pm to
Now the IRGC gets to regroup and get ready for 2 weeks from now.
What's to prevent Iran from using the 2 week extension and ceasefire "on both sides" to re-group IRGC forces, etc. Seems like a bad idea.
And then 2 weeks from now there will be another 2 week deadline until the U.S. has been in Iran for 2 years.
Here we go. Things are about to get real and not in a good way…
Trump didn’t mention any further details about talks or negotiations. I thought that was a fairly big tell.
Stock and oil markets are reacting negatively to the speech, clearly expecting a definitive exit timeline to be announced when it wasn’t.
Once the United States leaves, Iran will still control the Strait and will wield an inordinate amount of power and influence over the global economy.
Not putting a true timeline to exit - “very shortly” - “will hit them very hard over the next 2-3 weeks”
Stock market jumped on unconfirmed reports that Iranian President Pezeshkian is "open to ending the war". Is anyone else seeing this report anywhere?
He really doesn’t have a plan and that’s pretty scary against an adversary that clearly has nothing to lose anymore.
So apparently Witkoff and Kushner “spoke throughout the night” to “whoever is in charge” in Iran and “they want to make a deal” but it’s “not the Supreme Leader”. So who is making a deal on behalf of Iran if that’s true?
This may be all part of the strategy to reduce pressure on the oil and stock markets without any real talks having been held.