IMSA_Fan

Realistically right now -

Tilt Blue:
Maine
NC

Tossups:
Alaska
Ohio
Michigan
New Hampshire

Lean Red:
Texas

First of, rest in piece Kyle.

Also, this seems like a credible story of what happened to Kyle

LINK

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Double pneumonia. Blood filled lungs. From RCR guy. Passed out on the sim. Couldn’t get a pulse back. Terrible

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What turbo 4s explode at 60k miles?

Also - we must solve the underlying issue which is the American car industry is so broken that it has to do everything it can to limit competition and the record high prices of new cars is significantly hurting American consumers.

Am I allowed to say that the bulk of the inflation that occurred in the Biden years was driven by the massive cash handouts the Trump admin signed off on during Covid - or is that totally poo poo’ed on this forum

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Energy is often the 2nd leading driver of inflation, right behind housing.

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Though energy rapidly rising with the Iran War has pushed up the 10Y significantly which has a major impact on housing (and everything else).

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New Mexico will slowly shift more red over the next 5 years. It will in my opinion follow Nevadas path that took place toward that Red category

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It’s purely going to depend on how the Hispanic vote trends

He’s pandering to populist MAGA voters to pull them into his tent for a 2028 presidential run. My read on his calculus: Trump is going to anoint Vance, Rubio, or Don Jr. as the MAGA successor, which closes off the GOP primary as a real contest. With nothing to vote for on their side, Fetterman wants those voters crossing over into the Dem primary — for him.

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4% in 2024 vs 4.1% 2026. (Unemployment).

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Labor force participation rate
Jan-25: 62.6
Mar-26: 61.9

There has been no job growth anywhere except healthcare

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Inflation in 2026 is 3.3%. It was 3% when he was elected. That .3% hurting you?

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I’m a lot more worried about the fact that there’s been almost no job growth over the last year

LINK

We have a year’s worth of economic data since Liberation Day, when President Trump announced much higher tariffs on most imported goods and countries, and the data are definitive; the tariffs have done significant damage to the economy. Since that day, job growth has come to a standstill, with only the non-traded healthcare industry adding meaningfully to payrolls. Also, since that day, inflation has accelerated, with the consumer expenditure deflator increasing at a 3% year-over-year pace, up from 2.5% before the tariffs and well above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. And the trend lines don’t look good, especially as the economic fallout from the Iran War hits with full force. The higher energy and other commodity prices caused by the war threaten to do even more economic damage than the tariffs, further undermining growth and pushing inflation higher. The U.S. economy is resilient, but just how resilient is set to be tested.