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Patriots OUTRIGHT, and the over. 27-21. Stefon Diggs and Mack Hollins TDs.

Diggs first TD at +1400
I totally get why they have a bye week in between the conf champ games and Super Bowl. For the purposes of the game itself, I’m all in favor of giving the teams a bye to try to get to full health for the Big Game. Some years a team makes the Super Bowl and hasn’t had a bye since October.

But holy frick, there’s nothing I hate more than these two weeks. So many ridiculous takes, there’s only so much you can say about one game. I feel like all the angles and storylines are exhausted before you even get to the true Super Bowl week. Then there’s the nothing burger that is “Super Bowl opening night” next Monday night (media day.) Radio Row. NBA is meh. College baseball still yet to come. MLB far away. Sometimes I wish it was just one week in between games. Get football behind us quicker and move on to NFL draft season. Only so much you can say about one game. At least there’s still some coaching stuff to sort out I guess
Also, the fake outrage over skipping the Poptarts Bowl is hilarious. In what world is it right for fans to spend 15-20 years calling all non BCS/NY6 bowls “meaningless” and then get mad when the teams start to view them the same way?
In reality, nobody has a clue how hard or easy ND’s schedule will be. This is just people getting their excuses warmed up because they know ND is usually pretty good and this past year might have been an anomaly. Even if their schedule ends up a lot harder than it looks people will still stand by the “easy schedule” narrative because they simply refuse to give Notre Dame any credit whatsoever.

Notre Dame Derangement Syndrome is real. “Haven’t won anything since 1988” and yet people hate them like they’re the Bama dynasty.
Let me be clear, we all know that Nix is a better TALENT than Stidham. But QB is about 20% physical and 80% mental. And on the mental side, if Stidham beats New England, Bo Nix will suffer a huge blow to his ego/confidence. No way around it.

There’s two weeks in between the conf champ and SB, media beats the Super Bowl talk to death. There will be so many of these takes out there: “Super Bowl Stiddy!” “Stidham has more AFC title game wins than Nix” “This proves that Nix is a system QB” “I don’t know man, something about this Stidham guy, he’s just clutch, I don’t think Nix would have won that game.” Just like how they did with Golding/Kiffin after the Sugar Bowl.

We saw it with Carson Wentz and Nick Foles. Yes Wentz won the job back when healthy, but he was never the same player mentally. Foles was basically a God in Philly after the SB win, Big Dick Nick, etc, while Wentz was completely tossed aside and forgotten. Wentz was pressing too hard, too much of a chip on his shoulder, like he was trying to say, “Hey fans, forget about Foles already, I could’ve won that Super Bowl too.”

I’m sure Nix will still be their long-term plan for QB no matter what happens with Stidham in the AFC title game/Super Bowl, but you just know that if Denver wins this week and Nix starts to play poorly in September, the boo birds will come out and say “Put Super Bowl Stiddy in!”

Is Nix secretly rooting against his guys this week for this reason? So the narrative will be “they would’ve won with Nix?”
Bad news for the “natty should be on a weekend” crowd. Guarantee a Friday/Saturday night natty would not get this many viewers because casual fans wanna go out on weekends. Everybody at home doing nothing on Monday night = largest possible audience
Who started this “easy schedule” narrative about the Patriots? No they don’t have an easy schedule, they’re making their schedule LOOK easy because they’re that good. I mean Drake Maye is probably gonna finish second in MVP voting, and with what weapons to throw to? An over the hill Stefon Diggs and a bunch of JAGs at WR.

Other than that, they’re just so damn well coached and so good at the fundamentals. No superstars outside of Maye, just so good at execution and the little things that matter, in all three phases of the game. You would think people would love that and yet they get relentlessly hated on.

I mean they’re about to be 16-3 on the year and 2 of those losses were in September before they really started to find themselves. That’s exactly what’s wrong with sports media these days and Twitter makes it worse. People just care about the sexiness, the QBs, the superstars, the drama, every game has to be 45-40 and won in the last minute. Absolutely no appreciation for good coaching or good team execution
“With Bo Nix out and Jarrett Stidham at QB, the Bills would be favored over the Broncos by double digits on a neutral field. Also, think of the crazy amount of eyeballs Josh Allen would draw next week. Despite the outcome on the field today we will be substituting the Bills in the Broncos place.”

The “NFL rigged” crowd

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 1/17/26 at 7:37 pm
To them it’s rigged no matter who wins. If Bills would have won “They want to give Josh Allen a Super Bowl and make him a bigger star, bigger market, fanbase, blah blah blah”

Broncos win and it’s “Vegas, everybody bet on the Bills and they rugpulled us.”

Also, hilarious concept that they would rig it in favor of Sean Payton. The NFL fricking HATES Sean Payton.

Eric Reid vs Bama 2011!!

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 1/17/26 at 7:20 pm
Please tell me I’m not the only one who thought of that play on that big Broncos pick. Took the ball right out of his hands
Bracket image wouldn’t work.

But my full picks, Rams, Bears, Bills, 49ers, Patriots, and Steelers win this weekend

Divisional: Seahawks over Niners, Bills over Broncos, Bears over Rams, Patriots over Steelers

Bills beat Patriots in AFCCG, Bears beat Seahawks in NFCCG


First of all - I’m willing to be wrong on this. If this doesn’t happen I can take the heat. But I really think this is what the NFL wants.

Reasoning? Where do I start? Josh Allen “finally” winning the big one much like Peyton did in ‘06. NFL wants Mahomes vs Allen to be the new Brady vs Manning. So they need Allen to win a title to keep the rivalry alive and not have it be so one-sided.

Two starved, crazy, loyal fan bases. This matchup guarantees a long drought will end, just like Cubs vs Indians in 2016. Bills have never won a SB. Bears haven’t in 40 years. Btw it’s the 40-year anniversary of the famous ‘85 Bears, what better year to have the Bears in the Big Game?

Hot young QB. Hot young head coach. Big market. Big fanbase. The Bears are a sleeping giant that the league would love to wake up.

It’s been said over and over how this generation of QBs isn’t as good as the last, well the league needs to elevate new stars to build up the young generation of QBs, and Caleb is the perfect guy to give a big push to, just like Burrow was 4 years ago. Much more exciting, in terms of “a new star is born” than guys like Darnold or Stafford. He has lots of supporters and lots of haters, he’s a great option to take to the next level, he’s provocative, he’ll get the people talking.

Finally, both of these teams are making huge investments in the league with new stadiums, and this Super Bowl will be a “Thank You Gift” to these two franchises. Just like the two Rams Super Bowls in recent years.

The AFC East and NFC North are paired up next year, so the Bears and Bills will play in the regular season, in Buffalo, according to the NFL schedule rotation. If my SB prediction is right this likely means that the Week 1 opening night game next year, on the Thursday after Labor Day, will be a Super Bowl rematch between the Bears and Bills, in the first game in the Bills new stadium.
Jim Schlossnagle leaving for Texas. Media slandered the heck out of him. Staff followed him to Texas. Some Texas fans expected to get Laviolette and other studs to follow him, but A&M made a desperation move and hired Michael Earley to “keep the band together” and keep their best players from going to the Longhorns. Much like Ole Miss giving Golding a VERY swift promotion to permanent head coach. When Earley was hired and kept the roster intact, the media did lots of dunking on Texas. Aggies were riding good vibes with a preseason number 1 ranking…

And it was all Longhorns from then on. SEC title while A&M had an epic failure of a season. Needless to say there’s no more media slandering of Schlossnagle. Because winning fixes everything.
I absolutely agree with the no committee part, just use the AP poll or something like that, don’t try to manufacture storylines or matchups, just straight seed the teams by their ranking.

Frick the BS weekly rankings shows. They’re just a manufactured TV product. Absolutely no need for them other than to generate more ratings/ad revenue.

I think what most people are missing about Notre Dame’s big gripe this year, the first committee rankings this year, in early November, both ND and Miami had two losses, ND was 10 and Miami, fresh off a loss to unranked SMU, was 18. The AP poll had the exact same thing. Miami then proceeded to jump 8 spots over the next month, while ND fell a spot behind Miami, despite the fact that ND rolled through November playing their best ball of the season, despite the fact that the AP had ND higher on selection day. Notre Dame seemed safely in until there was this big push by ESPN in the final week before selection day for there to be a ND-Miami debate, when for weeks it didn’t seem like there was one. Seemingly the committee’s decision had more to do with ACC politics or caving to pressures from the many ND haters. Or maybe the fact that Miami resides in the ACC, which has an ESPN deal, while Notre Dame is an NBC product.

Countless examples of things like this over the years, the committee making decisions for TV purposes, political purposes, serving ESPN’s agenda, satisfying the conferences, whatever. Anything but just ranking the teams.
I was thinking the exact same thing. Unbelievable play after play. Had McElroy giving him the Collinsworth treatment in the booth. Looked exactly like Burrow in the AFC title game in Kansas City 4 years ago. Team of destiny

Delete

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 1/1/26 at 10:52 pm
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BUMP after yet another bye team looks totally dysfunctional

HAMMER Ole Miss and Bama ML

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 12/31/25 at 10:14 pm
Or spreads if you’re not feeling that aggressive. We just saw how much of a disadvantage the bye teams are at. OSU 9.5 point favorites and yet lost by 10. Vegas isn’t accounting for the rust from a long bye, that’s an edge to exploit.

Also ESPN wants to expand to a 16-team playoff, 4 more playoff games means 4 more big games worth of ad revenue. They will use the poor performance of the bye teams as justification for expanding next year. Look for refs to be crazy biased against Georgia and Indiana

7 standalone NFL games this week

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 12/23/25 at 8:44 pm
Christmas Day falls on Thursday, so it’s basically a Thanksgiving style slate, 3 games, noon 3:30 and 7:15.

2 games Saturday, 3:30 and 7. Then SNF and MNF

Even with no teams on bye, 7 standalone games means only 9 games in the “RedZone window.” And only 2 of those 9 fall in the 3 PM slot. Kind of a watered down football Sunday this week.

What are y’all’s thoughts on this? Prefer more standalone games or fewer so the Sunday afternoon slate can be packed?

ESPN Football Power Index

Posted by YoungSteele830 on 12/20/25 at 7:56 pm
6-6 Penn State, 5-7 Auburn, and 7-5 LSU all fired their coaches this season.

They also are all ranked above James Madison and Tulane in the FPI. And people tried to tell us that Tulane and JMU were among the 12 best teams??

LSU played Ole Miss close. Tulane had TWO shots at Ole Miss - and got blown out in both.
Bump. Tried to tell y’all but nobody wanted to listen. Wouldn’t y’all rather be watching Notre Dame or Texas, hell, maybe even BYU against this Ole Miss team right now, instead of this September tune-up game?

Can’t wait to be proven right again in a couple hours when Oregon routs JMU.