ragincajun03
| Favorite team: | LA-Lafayette  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 29799 |
| Registered on: | 11/20/2007 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: Trump on declaring natl security emergency for elections 'Stranger things have happened'
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/11/26 at 8:39 pm to uggabugga
Ever since at least 2000, the party not in the White House has always spread fearmongering that the party in power would cancel elections.
Democrats claimed Bush would do it.
Republicans claimed Obama would do it.
Democrats claimed Trump would do it.
Republicans claimed Biden would do it.
Now here we are…
Democrats claimed Bush would do it.
Republicans claimed Obama would do it.
Democrats claimed Trump would do it.
Republicans claimed Biden would do it.
Now here we are…
1
re: Secretary of Iran Security Council: Hormuz Will Stay Closed Until U.S. Meets Its Condition
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/11/26 at 3:20 pm to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
The insurance companies are the issue.
Well that just sounds like a reoccurring theme. Insurance and trial lawyers, from hurricanes and truck wrecks to mullahs and the Strait of Hormuz.
Secretary of Iran Security Council: Hormuz Will Stay Closed Until U.S. Meets Its Condition
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/11/26 at 1:18 pm
quote:
Iran said Tuesday that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the United States ends the war and meets Tehran’s conditions, raising the bar for a deal that would restore more oil traffic through the key waterway.
Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, said Washington must end the conflict and unfreeze Iranian funds held overseas before Tehran will agree to reopen the strait.
Iran has also delivered additional conditions to the United States through mediators, Rezaei said in comments carried by the semi-official Tasnim news agency. He did not publicly identify those demands.
The comments complicate expectations that a shipping agreement could be reached quickly. U.S. officials had suggested last week that negotiations involving Iran and Oman were making progress toward allowing more vessels through Hormuz.
quote:
The market has spent weeks reacting to every suggestion that Persian Gulf shipping could normalize, even as actual tanker traffic has remained constrained and commercial vessels have continued to face security risks.
quote:
The latest demands make clear that Iran is tying the shipping issue directly to the broader war rather than treating Hormuz as a separate maritime problem.
Rezaei’s comments leave the next move with Washington. Ending the war and releasing frozen Iranian funds are substantially bigger concessions than simply agreeing on shipping rules, and Tehran says Hormuz stays closed until those demands are addressed.
LINK
Of course all this could change 17 times before next Tuesday.
re: Rep. Julia Letlow bought Meta stock after signing an NDA with the company
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/11/26 at 10:06 am to jbgleason
Martha Stewart even went to jail for this shite.
re: What Was the Toughest Football Drill You Participated In?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 6:41 pm to AlwysATgr
Bull in the ring.
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 6:18 pm to G2160
quote:
Good guy?
I’ve seen enough…OPEN THE BORDERS NOW
I’m not sure I’ve seen the dude/dudette you’re directing this response to advocating for folks to vote for Talarico.
All he/she is saying is that based on their personal interaction, Talarico seems to be a good person.
Now…I’ll disagree with him/her based on what Talarico seems to advocate, but you don’t need to ASSume such a person will vote for the Dem candidate. Stop behaving like the blue haired septum pierced freaks.
re: Space City, LA - space X proposing a whole city in Vermillion Parish
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 3:22 pm to jizzle6609
quote:
Ford needs to build a plant next door and sell truck nuts.
I heard this morning the world's largest truck nut manufacturer is having boardroom discussions on relocating its headquarters from Bawcomville to Boston....Louisiana.
Erath and Gueydan officials are apparently jealous that little ole Boston could land that new facility.
re: Iran wants war reparations to reopen the strait
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 3:05 pm to tigeraddict
quote:
The US only gets a fraction of their oil from the ME.
Ok. And?
re: Braves ace Chris Sale ejected by umpire Dan Merzel before start of game against Yankees
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 12:22 pm to StansberryRules
President Trump Facing Growing Pressure to Restrict U.S. Oil Exports
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 12:10 pm
quote:
The U.S. oil industry got a scare last week. News reports claimed that the Trump administration may be considering an export ban on crude oil and refined petroleum products such as gasoline and diesel in order to bring those prices down—prices which have been elevated considerably by the reduction of oil supplies worldwide in the wake of the Iran war. But a Trump administration spokesperson said the administration has no plans to ban exports of oil or natural gas products.
It's important to note that there is an old adage in Washington, D.C.: "Nothing is true until it is officially denied." The administration has probably discussed such a ban. Whether it will implement one is the question. With exports of distillate fuels (which include diesel and fuel oil) hitting the highest on record and gasoline exports bouncing between about 750,000 and 1 million barrels per day, American consumers may be wondering why the administration doesn't act now.
quote:
The oil industry has always enjoyed the right to export refined products such as gasoline and diesel. The U.S. has refinery capacity in excess of its needs, and so the industry has sold the excess abroad. Only more recently did the industry gain the unfettered right to export crude oil and natural gas, arguing that nearly every other American industry has the right to sell its products to the highest bidder across the world. Why should the oil and gas industry be singled out? Well, it no longer is, and it's been that way for more than a decade.
quote:
To implement an export ban, the president would have to declare an emergency. It's not hard to see how the closing of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran would be seen as an emergency. But it's not clear how much such a ban would lower prices. It depends on whether such a ban included refined products such as gasoline and diesel and not just crude oil. As it turns out, not all oil is the same. The United States produces more than it needs of what is called light sweet crude ("sweet" because it is low in sulfur content, a pollutant that must be removed) and less than it needs of what is called heavy sour crude (which, not surprisingly, has higher sulfur content).
U.S. refineries are set up to use a certain mix of light and heavy crude; hence we export some light crude and import some heavy crude to get the right supply of both. Therefore, restricting exports of light crude won't help refineries make more finished products since the key to that is having the aforementioned right balance of light and heavy crude.
My guess is that unless gasoline and diesel prices remain elevated for months more, export controls will remain off the table. But if the high prices don't dissipate by then, the American public will be clamoring for a solution. Don't be surprised if the opposition party starts pounding the table for some type of export restrictions in order to score some points with the public and against the president.
LINK
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 11:50 am to supatigah
quote:
moderates dont poll
I think there's some truth to that. Those who are politically "active" or very interested in politics are probably the most enthusiastic to take political polls.
I do believe, though, that even the politically active on the right over the past years have become less willing to answer campaign polling calls or take surveys. I know I have. 10-15 years ago, I would jump at the opportunity "to be heard". Now...I hang up on them, or when it's a text, I choose "Report as Spam and Delete". So I think there's some numbers in that segment not being accounted for.
All the folks in this thread that keep saying "I remember when all the polls showed Beto/Allred beating Cruz and Davis beating Abbott", if giving them the doubt, are probably more remembering the media trying their best to push ANY narrative they may point at even the slightest possibility of one of those folks winning. People in the mainstream media as a whole tend to lean left, and then when you consider media outlets like the Houston Chronicle and Texas Monthly, those folks overall are probably to the left of even your usual Democrat voter in Texas.
Those two outlets were trying to pump up Beto as the Texas version of Barack Obama, this rising star to turn Texas blue! They were scraping and clawing for anything they could to make it seem like Beto was about to "free Texas from Cruz and Trump". Idiots.
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 11:37 am to jimmy the leg
One random internet poll. That's it.
And in the same article that was linked, was also this:
quote:
Ipsos online polls do not have margins of error; instead, the poll’s precision is measured using a “credibility interval.” This poll’s credibility interval was +/-3.5 percentage points among likely voters.
A Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday put Cruz 9 percentage points ahead of O’Rourke among likely voters. That poll was based on phone interviews, while the Ipsos poll used an online survey. But it’s trying to predict who will show up on Election Day that shifts the numbers, said Ipsos Vice President Chris Jackson.
The polls with known names that "insiders" and the campaigns themselves actually give credibility to had Cruz winning the race. Quinnipac, which tends to be left-leaning, was showing Cruz up by 9 when this random internet poll group that most have never heard of was trying to promote Beto up by 2.
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 11:02 am to Dawgsontop34
quote:
quote:
I remember when the polls said Wendy Davis was going to beat Abbott
I’ll take things that never happened for $600 Alex.
Come on, man! For sure it happened. All sort of polls had Wendy Davis and her cushy sneakers beating Abbott. :lol:
Final Results
— 59.3 38.9
Abbott
+20.4
RCP Average
9/22 - 10/23 52.7 35.7
Abbott
+17.0
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
10/16 - 10/23 57 37
Abbott
+20
UT/Texas Tribune*
10/10 - 10/19 54 38
Abbott
+16
KHOU/Houston Public Media
9/22 - 10/16 47 32
Abbott
+15
Rasmussen
10/1 - 10/2 51 40
Abbott
+11
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
9/20 - 10/1 54 40
Abbott
+14
Texas Lyceum*
9/11 - 9/25 49 40
Abbott
+9
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
8/18 - 9/2 56 38
Abbott
+18
Rasmussen
8/4 - 8/5 48 40
Abbott
+8
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
7/5 - 7/24 54 37
Abbott
+17
UT/Texas Tribune*
5/30 - 6/8 44 32
Abbott
+12
PPP
4/10 - 4/13 51 37
Abbott
+14
Rasmussen
3/3 - 3/4 53 41
Abbott
+12
UT/ TX Tribune
2/7 - 2/17 47 36
Abbott
+11
PPP
11/1 - 11/4 50 35
Abbott
+15
UT/ TX Tribune
10/18 - 10/27 40 34
Abbott
+6
Texas Lyceum
9/6 - 9/20 29 21
Abbott
+8
PPP
6/28 - 7/1 48 40
Abbott
+8
PPP
1/24 - 1/27 46 34
Abbott
+12
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 10:01 am to CovingtonCrooner
quote:
I’m in the Houston heights and it’s certainly “Talarico Country.”
Not shocking.
I don't think I've seen a single Paxton sign in anyone's yard, whether in Houston city limits or in the burbs. Haven't really been looking that hard, but I'm in and out of both, and have started looking around during my runs.
But honestly, also very few Talarico signs, especially compared to Beto ones when he was running vs. Cruz then again vs. Abbott. In fact, one house in my hood around the corner from us had a Talarico sign when he first won the primary vs. Crockett, but I noticed it gone a few weeks ago, and it (or a replacement) hasn't returned to that yard.
Being Paxton is such a POS, I wouldn't count on seeing a bunch of his signs in residential yards, but traditional values suburban voters are still going to quietly pull the lever for him.
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 9:33 am to tarzana
quote:
This is an attempted smear on an accomplished Texas Legislator and on a Christian man and a scholar, with a law degree from UT and a master's degree in education from Harvard.
quote:
Before earning his Bachelor of Arts degree in government from the University of Texas at Austin, he organized students for tuition relief.[7][8] Talarico later earned a Master of Education degree in education policy from the Harvard Graduate School of Education[9] and went on to receive a Master of Arts in theological studies at Austin Presbyterian Theological Seminary
LINK
Dude is only 37 years old and has already been a professional, career politician for most of his post-higher ed studies life.
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 9:28 am to stelly1025
quote:
OMG, the polls show Beto/Allred/Talarico insert whatever Dem, is leading in the polls
POLLSTER DATE
CRUZ (R)
*
O'ROURKE (D)
SPREAD
Final Results
— 50.9 48.3
Cruz
+2.6
RCP Average
10/22 - 11/5 51.3 44.5
Cruz
+6.8
Trafalgar Group (R)
11/3 - 11/5 52 43
Cruz
+9
Emerson*
10/28 - 10/30 50 47
Cruz
+3
Dixie Strategies
10/25 - 10/26 52 42
Cruz
+10
Quinnipiac
10/22 - 10/28 51 46
Cruz
+5
UT/Texas Tribune*
10/15 - 10/21 51 45
Cruz
+6
CNN
10/9 - 10/13 52 45
Cruz
+7
NYT/Siena
10/8 - 10/11 51 43
Cruz
+8
Quinnipiac
10/3 - 10/9 54 45
Cruz
+9
CBS News
10/2 - 10/5 50 44
Cruz
+6
Emerson*
10/1 - 10/5 47 42
Cruz
+5
Quinnipiac
9/11 - 9/17 54 45
Cruz
+9
Dixie Strategies
9/6 - 9/7 46 42
Cruz
+4
Emerson
8/22 - 8/25 39 38
Cruz
+1
NBC/Marist
8/12 - 8/16 49 45
Cruz
+4
Quinnipiac
7/26 - 7/31 49 43
Cruz
+6
Texas Lyceum*
7/9 - 7/26 41 39
Cruz
+2
Gravis
7/3 - 7/7 51 42
Cruz
+9
CBS News
6/19 - 6/22 50 40
Cruz
+10
UT/Texas Tribune*
6/8 - 6/17 41 36
Cruz
+5
Quinnipiac
5/23 - 5/29 50 39
Cruz
+11
JMC Analytics
5/19 - 5/21 47 40
Cruz
+7
Quinnipiac
4/12 - 4/17 47 44
Cruz
+3
Nov 1 – 4
2,434 LV
AtlasIntel
52.5%
Cruz
45.5%
Allred
+7 Cruz
Oct 26 – 28
600 LV
Cygnal
49.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 21 – 27
400 LV
ActiVote
52.4%
Cruz
47.6%
Allred
+5 Cruz
Oct 23 – 26
1,180 RV
Siena College Poll/N...
49.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Oct 23 – 26
1,180 LV
Siena College Poll/N...
50.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 24 – 25
1,002 LV
Rasmussen Reports/Am...
47.0%
Cruz
43.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 18 – 23
800 LV
GBAO/Colin Allred
46.0%
Allred
46.0%
Cruz
TIE
Oct 18 – 21
815 LV
Emerson College Poll...
48.3%
Cruz
46.8%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Oct 14 – 21
955 LV
University of Texas ...
47.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Oct 7 – 17
1,018 RV
YouGov/Claremont McK...
49.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 1 – 16
400 LV
ActiVote
52.8%
Cruz
47.2%
Allred
+6 Cruz
Oct 2 – 10
1,091 LV
Texas Politics Proje...
51.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+7 Cruz
Sep 26 – Oct 10
1,329 LV
YouGov/University of...
50.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 3 – 7
1,186 LV
Marist College Poll
50.0%
Cruz
47.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Oct 2 – 6
811 RV
Florida Atlantic Uni...
47.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 29 – Oct 4
617 LV
Siena College Poll/N...
48.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Sep 29 – Oct 4
617 RV
Siena College Poll/N...
45.0%
Cruz
43.0%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Sep 5 – 30
400 LV
ActiVote
52.4%
Cruz
47.6%
Allred
+5 Cruz
Sep 25 – 27
779 LV
RMG Research/Napolit...
50.0%
Cruz
47.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 25 – 26
759 RV
Public Policy Pollin...
47.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+1 Cruz
Sep 22 – 24
860 LV
Emerson College Poll...
48.9%
Cruz
44.9%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Sep 13 – 18
1,200 LV
Texas Hispanic Polic...
48.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 9 – 18
2,716 LV
Morning Consult
45.0%
Allred
44.0%
Cruz
+1 Allred
re: How is Roger Craig just now getting in the Hall of Fame?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 9:16 am to Pimphand
I agree with you.
re: Hurricane Season - First MDR Action 92L 80% & Next AEW 20% - NATL TS Cristobal
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 9:11 am to Cosmo
quote:
Of note models have the Gulf of America clear through late August
The Gulf of Mexico was weak and consistently allowed hurricanes to penetrate its borders.
Gulf of America has been much more effective at deterring this storms and protecting Americans along the Gulf Coast. :USA:
re: Space City, LA - space X proposing a whole city in Vermillion Parish
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 9:01 am to racknreel
quote:
When is someone gonna tell Elon we got hurricanes on the gulf coast that will wipe out his investment(s) in a single 24 hr period
Just like Port Fourchon was wiped out.
Wait...
re: On the subject of grocery prices
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 8:35 am to SallysHuman
quote:
It’s hard to know when to give it up and buy new.
Especially when the current vehicle has been good, and you're worried the next one could have issues.
Supposedly Ford had been having some customer complaints and issues with that 10 speed transmission, at least the first few years it was out. That's what my 2018 F-150 has. A couple years ago, I was talking with a guy who worked at the body shop at our local Ford dealership. He asked me how my truck was running, and I told him thus far it had been great. He advised I hang on to it as long as I can, because I evidently "got one of the good ones".
I would hope they've worked all those kinks out by now in 2026, though.
re: How is Roger Craig just now getting in the Hall of Fame?
Posted by ragincajun03 on 8/10/26 at 8:29 am to Pimphand
quote:
if you are going to make John Riggins a first ballot hall of famer I don't think Roger Craig should have to wait 33 years that was my only real point.
I'm guessing Riggins got in so quickly because it seemed he carried those Redskins teams from '82-'84. We was SB XVII MVP, setting a single SB game rushing record, and had that memorable run towards the end of the game of 4th &1 that is still shown in highlight reels to this day. The following season, he helped lead the Redskins back to the SB, scoring a then NFL record 24 TDs and being named league MVP.
It is interesting to look at his career, and something I didn't quit realize till just now. That stretch of three seasons where he was so key for Washington, with '83 & '84 being arguably the two best seasons of his career, he was 33, 34 and 35 years old. That is crazy when you consider running backs tend to fall off ALOT when they turn 30/31 years old. The greats Emmitt Smith, Adrian Peterson, Franco Harris and many others. Walter Payton seemed to be one of the very few who still killed it after 30 years old.
Riggins ran for over 1,400 yards and scored 24 TDs at the age of 34. Then followed up the next season with over 1,200 and 14 TDs. That's pretty amazing.
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