bayoubengals88
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| Location: | LA |
| Biography: | Formerly a fan of this website |
| Interests: | Conifers |
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| Number of Posts: | 23478 |
| Registered on: | 9/10/2007 |
| Online Status: | Online |
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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/13/25 at 9:00 am to Jax-Tiger
quote:No, still have shares, but roth is 3/20 $90 calls. Far fewer than it ever should have been.
Are you giving up on NBIS?
quote:Probably. I need to refocus.
For good?
So long :cheers:
2
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/13/25 at 8:52 am to LChama
Gentlemen, It's been really something.
I'm signing off.
Best of luck to you all. :cheers:
I'm signing off.
Best of luck to you all. :cheers:
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/12/25 at 2:27 pm to AUTimbo
Let's pump some sunshine in here.
D.A. Davidson's Alexander Platt:
Nebius’ updated guidance, including 2.5GW of contracted power and up to 1GW of connected power by the end of 2026, suggests prior expectations of 1GW were conservative, D.A. Davidson said. Assuming favorable market conditions, the firm sees potential medium-term revenue exceeding $20 billion.
The analyst believes additional capacity, an incremental 400MW, could be achieved via expansion at the New Jersey site, which can support up to 1GW, also expects the company to secure two more mega-deals, potentially an expansion of the Meta contract and a new hyperscaler agreement, each roughly the size of the Microsoft deal.
D.A. Davidson said Nebius is positioned to generate double-digit returns on capital, citing its use of an ODM (original design manufacturer) model for NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) racks, which reduces compute costs by 15-20% compared with OEM alternatives. Compute hardware accounts for roughly 80% of total capital expenditures.
Combined with operational efficiencies in data center management, this structure could yield significantly higher returns than peers such as CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV), which currently posts a 4% return on capital.
D.A. Davidson reaffirmed its Buy rating and $150 price forecast on Nebius Group, valuing the stock at 7x projected 2026 revenue. The firm called Nebius one of its top AI picks and its favorite neocloud player.
Nebius Group’s financial outlook points to explosive growth, with revenue projected to surge from $571.8 million in 2025 to $5.38 billion in 2026. The company is also expected to swing to profitability, with GAAP earnings per share rising from $1.00 in 2025 to $6.11 in 2026.
D.A. Davidson's Alexander Platt:
Nebius’ updated guidance, including 2.5GW of contracted power and up to 1GW of connected power by the end of 2026, suggests prior expectations of 1GW were conservative, D.A. Davidson said. Assuming favorable market conditions, the firm sees potential medium-term revenue exceeding $20 billion.
The analyst believes additional capacity, an incremental 400MW, could be achieved via expansion at the New Jersey site, which can support up to 1GW, also expects the company to secure two more mega-deals, potentially an expansion of the Meta contract and a new hyperscaler agreement, each roughly the size of the Microsoft deal.
D.A. Davidson said Nebius is positioned to generate double-digit returns on capital, citing its use of an ODM (original design manufacturer) model for NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) racks, which reduces compute costs by 15-20% compared with OEM alternatives. Compute hardware accounts for roughly 80% of total capital expenditures.
Combined with operational efficiencies in data center management, this structure could yield significantly higher returns than peers such as CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV), which currently posts a 4% return on capital.
D.A. Davidson reaffirmed its Buy rating and $150 price forecast on Nebius Group, valuing the stock at 7x projected 2026 revenue. The firm called Nebius one of its top AI picks and its favorite neocloud player.
Nebius Group’s financial outlook points to explosive growth, with revenue projected to surge from $571.8 million in 2025 to $5.38 billion in 2026. The company is also expected to swing to profitability, with GAAP earnings per share rising from $1.00 in 2025 to $6.11 in 2026.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/12/25 at 9:56 am to sonoma8
quote:We either just hit it for a double bottom or it will be ~86 dating back to mid September.
Wheres the next support line?
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/12/25 at 8:28 am to bayoubengals88
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 6:38 pm to LSUcam7
Here’s hoping some $165 price targets move the needle.
We’ve invested all we reasonably can in shares.
We’ve invested all we reasonably can in shares.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 6:29 pm to LSUcam7
Means a lot coming from you.
If only I had converted to shares last Monday :wah:
If only I had converted to shares last Monday :wah:
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 4:25 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:Yup. I like Mark.
Good write up on X
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 4:11 pm to bayoubengals88
Analyst upgrade estimates from Grok.
To be read as 60% chance of bullish upgrades:
Bullish Upgrade (60%):
PT rises 15–25% to $180–195; Meta’s $3B deal and $7–9B ARR guidance by 2026 overshadow Q3 revenue miss, reinforcing Nebius as a top AI infrastructure play.
Hold/Neutral (30%):
PT stays flat ±5%; heavy $5B capex guidance raises execution risks, balancing explosive growth with cash burn and potential dilution concerns.
Downgrade (10%):
PT drops 10% to $140; Q3 revenue miss (6% below consensus) amplifies fears over scaling costs and new ATM share issuance risks.
To be read as 60% chance of bullish upgrades:
Bullish Upgrade (60%):
PT rises 15–25% to $180–195; Meta’s $3B deal and $7–9B ARR guidance by 2026 overshadow Q3 revenue miss, reinforcing Nebius as a top AI infrastructure play.
Hold/Neutral (30%):
PT stays flat ±5%; heavy $5B capex guidance raises execution risks, balancing explosive growth with cash burn and potential dilution concerns.
Downgrade (10%):
PT drops 10% to $140; Q3 revenue miss (6% below consensus) amplifies fears over scaling costs and new ATM share issuance risks.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 3:58 pm to bayoubengals88
Daaaaam...
Same firm slapped a $150 on NBIS
Same firm slapped a $150 on NBIS
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Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 3:55 pm to reds on reds on reds
quote:Check it out.
$150 is feeling more and more like a pipe dream that’s going to take years to reach.
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Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 3:53 pm to reds on reds on reds
quote:In April, $50 truly felt like it was beyond a pipe dream :dunno:
$150 is feeling more and more like a pipe dream that’s going to take years to reach.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 3:50 pm to PlanoPrivateer
All I need is 150-170 and I'm golden!!
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 12:49 pm to Jax-Tiger
quote:Someone fricking up Michael Burry.
What does getting out of this pattern look like?
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 12:46 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:I'm seeing $143. We'll take every dollar.
CICC (China International Capital Corporation ) initiated coverages with Outperform, sets $140 PT
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 12:43 pm to Jax-Tiger
quote:Forming a short term double bottom at $102 and then ultimately breaking out above $135.
What does getting out of this pattern look like?
But first on the list is holding $115
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 12:15 pm to Jax-Tiger
I think it's a bit more orchestrated than that.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 11:51 am to IT_Dawg
They let it run and now they're holding it back for more shares.
All good in time.
All good in time.
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company [Q3 EARNINGS 11/11]
Posted by bayoubengals88 on 11/11/25 at 11:31 am to IT_Dawg
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