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re: Deboer = Mark Richt

Posted by Crimson77 on 11/15/25 at 6:15 pm to
When it comes to following up the greatest coach of all time, we could do a lot worse than a Mark Richt equivalent. Richt was a solid coach for UGA even if he never got over the hump. 2 SEC titles, six appearances, 7 top 10 finishes, 9 seasons with 10+ wins.

Not every coach we hire is going to win championships. In fact the majority have not. Look at other programs after legends retire or leave, they often crater. A Richt-level successor would be well above the norm.

I think DeBoer is better than Richt. But even if he’s just the same, and we eventually move on for the right hire, that’s a win for getting somebody to follow Saban.

That’s not to say people shouldn’t be upset at today’s results. I certainly am. But I’m not exactly eager to fire what looks to be a pretty high level (even if not elite) coach and risk getting the next Mike DuBose. If Kirby or Ryan Day gives our AD a call? Sure, pull the trigger. Until then, let’s give our guy some time.
quote:

That is not why they're stealing them.

They steal to resell, not for personal use.


Yeah man I'm sure they're stealing the 4 bottles of dove body wash that get stocked on a shelf at a time to resell on the black market. They must be making a killing on that $16 of street resell value.
quote:

After November, you can extrapolate between September and November numbers to some success can't you?


Ha! You think we're getting November numbers? We won't get another jobs report while this administration is in charge if they can help it. They will just continue to tell us the economy is great. Meanwhile the local Walgreens (in a nice area of town) puts more and more items behind locked glass because folks feel compelled to steal basic necessities that keep getting more and more expensive.

The standard name brand stick of deodorant I've been buying for 25 years cost $3.99 in 2020. It's currently $9.99. Absurd.

re: Trump’s words vs Trump’s moves

Posted by Crimson77 on 11/12/25 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

You prefer foreign dignitaries be hosted in an event tent that hits the taxpayers in the wallet for $1M every time it's pitched?


That tent is a better use of my money than the extraordinary cost of security arrangements for our president to spend every other day having his caddy toss balls up onto the green for him so that he can lie about his handicap to reporters on Air Force One afterwards.
Trump's only move is to knock down half the whitehouse and build a giant golden diaper changing room in its place.

All the actual decision making is coming from the Project 2025 folks running the country now.
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This is a corporate talking point. There are enough talented Americans to do these jobs.


Yes, but then you would have to pay the Americans a decent wage to do it. Why would a company pay an American $24/hour to work a factory line, when Trump will let them pay a minimal fee to import a guy from Malaysia who will be thrilled to do it for $8/hour for years on end.

They want the benefits of working in America without having to actually employ and pay American workers a reasonable wage.
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They have to fire him.

He's done.


They will wait until a week before the Bama game so that the players are max-motivated to rally around Durkin against us.
Part of the problem (definitely not all), is the disappearance of work that these folks could do.

Some of these dumbasses forty years ago could get a job at a factory. Hey, slap a sticker on every one of these boxes as they come down the line. You can act like a monkey and manage to do that. But so much of that work has been automated or off-shored.

A much larger percentage of the jobs in our economy now require either intelligence or social skills. Which these types of people don't have.
Playoff eliminator game. I'll take UT but turnovers under pressure could undo them.
Bray will depend on testing numbers. There will always be athleticism concerns for a white DB.

re: Thoughts on Tennessee

Posted by Crimson77 on 10/13/25 at 1:41 pm to
quote:


I think if Alabama gets through this game it’s smooth sailing until the SEC championship which will inevitably be a huge challenge vs. Lane Kiffin.


I don't think any of what you said is accurate.

LSU will give us their best game of the year coming off a bye. We'll get a healthier version of Nuss and their defense is good.

Oklahoma DL is elite and Mateer is exactly the type of QB that will give us the game of his life as he starts to get healthy again.

Auburn @ JHS is always a nightmare, just look at how close they came to going up 17-0 on UGA before they crapped down their own leg. We know JA can give our defense problems with the right gameplan.


And it's far from certain that Ole Miss will make the title game. Lots of uncertainty still in the schedule. TAMU has as good a shot to make it as anyone.

re: Thoughts on Tennessee

Posted by Crimson77 on 10/13/25 at 1:35 pm to
Turnovers and limiting long-touchdowns are going to be the keys.

We are going to give up yards, likely in several significant chunks. But are those chunk plays by Tennessee touchdowns? Even if they can complete a 40 yard pass, it's a bigger deal in this game to tackle the guy after the completion, even if it's down on the 5, than in any other on the schedule.

Tennessee's offense is much easier to defend in the red zone as the field compresses. Great effort and angles in pursuit matter.

Tennessee has turned the ball over 9 times this year. Aguilar throws a lot of prayers downfield (which they come up with a decent amount of the time). DB's have to get their heads around and play the ball.

If we can force them to execute in the red zone (likely forcing FGs more often than not), turn them over 2-3 times, and take care of the ball, we will likely have a comfortable victory.

If Tennessee has multiple scores of 25+ yards and the turnover margin is equal, we're in trouble.

We will very likely score on these guys through the air. Hopefully with a more health Ryan Williams. Tennessee has given up 250+ yards passing 4 times already this year against a group of QBs who are all fine, but not great. Don't count on much of a run game without Jam, though I'm sure we will still give out enough carries to keep them somewhat honest. It will likely take 30+ to win.
Models are having a hard time with Vandy for a few reasons:

1) Vandy is taking the Indiana scorched approach of last year. They leave all their starters in and run the score up late in blowouts. Probably to help overcome the Vandy perception and for Pavia's heisman hopes. This makes their wins look more dominant than they really are. The models can't differentiate competitive TD drives in the 1st quarter from BS TDs against backups late in the 4th when the game is over and the other team has given up.

2) They beat up on a Virginia Tech team that had completely given up on its head coach. That win looks better in the models because Tech now beat a competent NC State team. But Tech team that NC State played is very different than the Tech team that Vandy played.

3) They beat what is otherwise is a good SC team. But Sellers got hurt and ruled out early in the game. SC's offense is entirely dependent on Sellers - they have ZERO run game, and no backup QB. Their backup QB is a guy that failed at QB and converted to WR. If he was a starter we'd say he's probably the worst starter in FBS, I doubt he could even win a job in D2. God bless him, I live in Columbia and root for SC as a 2nd team after Bama. Great kid. But if he's in the game, and you can't run the ball, you are not going to score more than 10 points in a game without trick plays or D/ST scores. But the models can't account for this. They just think Vandy got a convincing win against a solid SEC team.


All that being said, Vandy is LEGIT GOOD. But, they are overrated by computer models. They have great coaching and veteran experience, but we have a decisive talent advantage. We *should* win and with a fair amount of comfort if we play disciplined and up to our capability. But as we saw last year coming off of a big win in this kind of spot, that's a huge if.

re: Piped in artificial noise ?

Posted by Crimson77 on 9/27/25 at 11:32 pm to
Have you been to a game before? The stadium is allowed to play loud music/sounds up until the offense gets in its set.
Everyone is making good points but I think the most important thing that he’s shown us this past month is he’s not to stubborn to change, grow, and learn.

If you watch him in interviews and on the field, if you listen to the players, it’s very clear that he’s changed how he coaches this team. How he communicates with them, how he runs practice, how he handles them in game. He’s willing to go outside his comfort zone and do something different in order to find what works.

I think that’s so important. It’s what Saban was great at for so long. Every time the game changed, the players changed, recruiting changed… he changed with it. And he found new ways to keep dominating. Compare that to somebody like Dabo who has been slow at best, and unwilling at worst, to change.

Now I think the next test of change will be if he’s willing to step outside his comfort zone on staff issues.

re: Bama by the Numbers - Bye Week

Posted by Crimson77 on 9/17/25 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

I wonder is that because they’re scared of secondary or is it because we have been so bad at stopping run.


Yes.

re: UGA is going to run right at us

Posted by Crimson77 on 9/15/25 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

RT Michael Uini: 48 snaps, 0.0 Pass Blocking (didn't even know that was remotely possible), 49.3 Run Blocking


You want to see how it was possible? Watch the guy on this 4-play sequence from the 4th quarter starting at 2:09:25

UGA v. Tenn

1. Totally whiffs picking up a rusher from the nickel spot

2. Get's pancaked on a bull rush by an OLB probably 60 pounds lighter than him.

3. Is barely more than a traffic cone against an OLB speed rush around the edge.

4. Holds the shite out of the same OLB while Stockton fumbles after the LT gets beat.
quote:

Have you accounted for garbage time? Definitely looks like Wisky had better success later in the 2nd half once the game was out of hand. I had to listen to the 2nd half on and off. I don't know how many backups we played, but I am pretty sure W kept their starters out there the whole 2nd.


Not sure what you'd consider garbage time, but our starters were out there for the most part through the end of the 3rd quarter.

If we take out 4th quarter stats, still ignoring lost yardage from sacks, Wisconsin had 16 carriers for 71 yards at the end of the 3rd quarter. That's 4.44 YPC.

In the 4th quarter they ran 14 times for 54 yards. That's 3.86 YPC.

So in terms of the game when it was their 1s vs our 1s, they were actually better in the run game at that point, than they were later during garbage time.

re: UGA is going to run right at us

Posted by Crimson77 on 9/15/25 at 10:26 am to
quote:

You have a very loose definition of "successfully" if you think Wisconsin successfully ran on our DL. They averaged 2.7 yards per carry and their longest gain was 11 yards.


Dig a little deeper into the stat sheet. That 2.7 average is including 4 sacks on passing plays. Taking sacks out they had 30 carries for 125 yards. Their RBs had 17 carries for 72 yards. Either way, that's 4.2 YPC.

We did a really nice job rallying to the ball and preventing long runs (big turnaround from FSU game). But, we had zero TFLs in the run game. Wisconsin consistently got push on the OL and was able to run some version of "3 yards and a cloud of dust" against us.

Wisconsin was 7 of 12 on 3rd and 4th down conversions against us - a good number for them, because of their ability to convert short yardage against us with the run game.

Here's another deeper stat for you: in situations with less than 3 yards to go, Wisconsin went for 5 for 5 on converting with the run (2 for 3 with passes).


All that is to say, the run defense was not bad against Wisconsin by any measure. But it was not a strength of our team Saturday either. It was ok. It will need to be better for us to have a good shot at beating UGA, who has more talented backs and, at certain spots, better OL. We will have to be more successful in short yardage run defense, get some negative plays, and continue to limit explosives.
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People act like Stockon didn't throw for 300 yards with 75% completion percentage and average a first down per attempt.

Tennessee dared him to beat them and he did...


While true, go back and watch the tape. Those were not always a pretty 300 yards.

First throw of the game at 12:30 int he 1st for 30 yards was under thrown to the boundary but DB was beat so bad it didn't matter.

DPI call on a sideline throw at 6:05 in the 2nd was a miss by 5 yards.

Interception called back on a flag at 0:15 in the 2nd was a miserable decision. 25 yard throw to the sideline carried the receiver out of bounds and was under thrown by probably 4 yards.

Sideline throw 20 yards downfield to the boundary at 6:33 in the 4th was 4 yards out of bounds with a wide open receiver standing still.

These are just what I saw from the highlights package. Which doesn't include most incompletions. But the theme is that he's very accurate in short to intermediate range. He made some risky throws on quick outs to the boundary that didn't bite him against Tennessee, but were very close to being pick-6'd. And the real struggles are deeper throws to the boundary. He made a couple beautiful deep passes to the outside, but more often than not they were pretty inaccurate. Those jump balls downfield are what we have to win on.