90proofprofessional

see JOLTS survey

:usa:

no mexico paid

keep everyone posted

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suddenly concerned

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of all the pitiful deflections that loser trumpkins reflexively employ, this is my favorite

upvoted

no really, what nonsense are you on about now

do you even know

upvoted your only good post ever

good point about context. has someone yet pointed out that these numbers are annualized?

the economy didn't literally shrink by a third in Q2, nor did it grow by a third in Q3

the quarterlies are more like -9% for Q2 and +7.4% for Q3

(same is true for Q1: it didn't actually shrink by 5%- that's an annualized rate. it was more like -1.3%)

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All the CDC did is use their own existing data in TigerDoc’s post. It’s no surprise that it matched up. How many excess deaths not due to Covid? Subtract our current Covid counts from excess total deaths. Presto.

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I was getting at something broader than that. Haven't read the thread except the last few posts, and maybe I read too much into Doc mentioning a principled belief of overestimation into another administration. I took it to mean a more general position, than simply a position on a single study that y'all seem to be talking about.

ETA: guess I'll try to go back and pin down exactly what's being talked about. I'm guessing the reason this thread has lasted so long is bc of some debate over what is and what isn't an actual "COVID death"?