MidWestGuy
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| Location: | Illinois |
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| Number of Posts: | 1995 |
| Registered on: | 11/5/2018 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: SCOTUS rules on Callais
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/29/26 at 8:28 pm to laxtonto
quote:+1 But we need some sort of 'open source' neutral system in place to design the map.
Run on forcing “gerrymandering-free” districts across the entire nation
quote:Sounds good, but they seem to be OK opposing the Voter ID bill, so I'm not feeling so confident here.
and force the dems on voting against it and have them explain why they are against the idea or embrace it and provide more competitive R races in the blue states.
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re: SCOTUS rules on Callais
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/29/26 at 8:12 pm to SlickRick55
quote:
Ok it’s getting confusing to me. Can some one explain how a districting map is supposed to be properly drawn? Is population based and then so many parishes out from an epicenter? Do the shapes of the districts have certain shapes or boundary guidelines to follow?
Well, as I understand it, it is confusing, from a "what it should be and what it is" view. I'm certain the intent was always that the districts should represent a cross section of the State. But if politicians are involved in the map, they are going to try to game it to their advantage. That's what they do. And if the laws allow it, there you are.
Last time I researched it, there is an 'open maps' group, and they have developed algorithms for it. As you say, start from the population centers, work outwards until you hit geographical or municipal boundaries, and reiterate until you have an equal population in each of the districts for that State.
re: SCOTUS rules on Callais
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/29/26 at 4:43 pm to SoggyCerealClub
Oh, district # 2 of the six. I just read it wrong, brain-fart on my part, thanks.
re: SCOTUS rules on Callais
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/29/26 at 2:53 pm to SoggyCerealClub
quote:What is this talk about a '2nd District" :confused: The number of districts is based on the latest census, and that puts LA at six.
I do believe Louisiana has enough minority residents to justify a 2nd district, ...
Are you talking about something else?
re: North Carolina just found 34,000 dead people on their voter rolls
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/29/26 at 2:38 pm to BHS78
quote:
They way it should work is the hospital/funeral home/coroner should be required to inform the federal govt of a death.
They already do. They inform the Social Security Administration. SS checks are stopped, and banks are informed and those accounts (if in single name) are frozen.
quote:
That agency should be REQUIRED to inform all other agencies of said death.
Yep, that's what's needed. And all State agencies as well, but there might be some legal issues there? But since those voters can vote in Fed elections, there should be a pathway.
re: United HealthCare social media mgr. Alison King fired after assassination attempt comments
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/28/26 at 1:23 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Lives in an echo chamber, gets her news from an echo chamber. Her job is social media manager and she thought that was a perfectly acceptable thing to put on social media. Brainwashed and dumb is not a good combination.
That must be the case to explain some of this. But she must still be outright STUPID to think posting this to social media would be OK. That's some intense brainwashing - I mean, to the point that they must be completely BLIND to the fact that ~ half the country voted for Trump. It may seem like 99.99% inside her bubble, but just how clueless can one be to not be aware of the overall numbers.
It is mind boggling to me.
re: Jimmy Kimmel gives sorry excuse for Melania 'widow' joke Blames Trump for Rhetoric
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/28/26 at 10:19 am to Flats
quote:Gimme a break. There had already been two assassination attempts on him, and many, many calls for violence against him. If you can't connect those dots, it's because you don't want to.
There is. And had Kimmel made this joke the day after the assassination attempt ...
re: "Look at her, so beautiful. Mrs. Trump, you have a glow like an expected widow.”
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 9:51 pm to greygoose
The saddest part is that even a single American watches him. He shouldn't even be able to fill the studio audience. He's just awful, and not funny. A really bad combination.
re: Melania opens fire on Jimmy Kimmel…
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 11:23 am to The Pirate King
quote:
Pretty rare statement like this from her. She's pissed, as she should be. She lets a lot of stuff run off her BEAUTIFUL shoulders.
Took the liberty of fixing it for you. I'm sure it was implied, but subtly doesn't work so well on this forum :)
re: Melania opens fire on Jimmy Kimmel…
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 11:21 am to RollTide1987
I hate Jimmy Kimmel, so I never watch his show. Can someone explain/link to what specifically he said that got Melania to post this?
re: Gov. Gavin Newsom is under criminal review for signing up illegal aliens to vote
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 11:09 am to trinidadtiger
quote:I am no lawyer, but that would seem to be the group that had "standing". Their votes are being invalidated by (likely) Democrat party votes.
Ive often wondered these cases that impact all Americans, why cant they be tried in any federal court in the US.
Like this one, perhaps we could set up a temporary fed court in Winston County, Alabama. Its a rural unbiased county.....that voted 90.0% for Trump
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 11:05 am to AlterEd
quote:
So yes, it would seem that this account was indeed referencing the Cole Allen that tried to shoot the POTUS. This should put to bed all of the people saying, "but there's lots of Cole Allens out there" as if that makes it any less odd.
It *is* odd that a one time poster mentions a name, and no follow up, nothing else.
It might actually be *less* odd, that the name mentioned was someone who did something crazy 3 years later. As I wrote above, maybe the one-time poster was aware at the time (3 years ago) that Cole Allen was trouble, started to write a post about it to warn others, and either got distracted, or just stopped there for whatever reason (fear of retribution?). The one post might be because he wanted to remain anonymous, because he knew the guy was trouble.
Odd, but that's all. Not mystical, there are several rational explanations.
re: Is Cole Allen a DEI product?
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 9:51 am to LordSaintly
PVC pipe is not a structural material. It is not UV stable. It gets soft in the kinds of temperatures found in a car on a summer day. It's generally a drain pipe, not used for pressure and not rated for hot water.
A brake for a wheelchair needs to be designed with a significant margin of safety. OK, it was just a prototype, but watch the video @ 1:33. I'm not even a mechanical engineer, and I don't have a degree from a prestigious university, and I would be embarrassed to show that to anyone, even as a 'prototype'. I certainly would not have allowed it to be filmed. And a prototype is meant to be used, to test things out. This is more 'proof of concept' than 'prototype'.
It might be OK just to test the fit at home in my workshop, but I wouldn't be showing it off to anyone. Heck, in this day and age I'd expect a CalTech Senior (he graduated that year, 2017) to whip up a 3-d model for that purpose. It really does look like a middle school project.
I looked again, it doesn't even seem to have any form of actuator handle, he just kind of shoves it in place, sitting behind it and reaching under, and the 'brake' part if appears to have fallen off?
A brake for a wheelchair needs to be designed with a significant margin of safety. OK, it was just a prototype, but watch the video @ 1:33. I'm not even a mechanical engineer, and I don't have a degree from a prestigious university, and I would be embarrassed to show that to anyone, even as a 'prototype'. I certainly would not have allowed it to be filmed. And a prototype is meant to be used, to test things out. This is more 'proof of concept' than 'prototype'.
It might be OK just to test the fit at home in my workshop, but I wouldn't be showing it off to anyone. Heck, in this day and age I'd expect a CalTech Senior (he graduated that year, 2017) to whip up a 3-d model for that purpose. It really does look like a middle school project.
I looked again, it doesn't even seem to have any form of actuator handle, he just kind of shoves it in place, sitting behind it and reaching under, and the 'brake' part if appears to have fallen off?
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/27/26 at 8:51 am to AlterEd
quote:But that doesn't mean any frickin thing is relevant to the odds. Made up example:
You can calculate odds for any frickin thing you want. And yes, those are the odds of such an event happening.
I got in a car crash at a specific intersection, guy ran a red light on mm/dd/yy @ 2:43 PM.
I was on my way to a job interview. I got the interview because I mentioned to the guy that cuts my hair I had a car for sale. He knew someone who wanted that specific year/model. So I met that guy, and and as we talked, I learned his cousin was in the same industry as me, and his cousin had some job openings. So I contacted him, and got this interview. And got in the car crash.
So what are the odds I decided I needed a hair cut on that day, got that barber, talked about the car, etc, etc, etc..... Sure you can calculate those odds if you want. But it's meaningless compared to "What are my odds of getting in a car crash this year, assuming I drive 12,000 miles a year in this area?"
You are adding all these specific details to it to make the odds look to be something they are not.
quote:And I didn't respond to your OP. OK, it's odd. But that doesn't mean it is or isn't relevant to anything at all. I only jumped in to agree with another poster that there are way more than one Cole Allen alive 3 years ago.
I have no idea why people are trying to, what, explain this away as something that isn't odd? I didn't even make any claims here in the OP.
re: Obama: We don't know the details behind the motives of the shooter
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 10:25 pm to stout
The problem is, his followers will read that and *believe* that we don't know the motive. They won't go any further to read the manifesto, they'll say anything about that is right wing propaganda.
I don't think he is dumb enough to not be aware of the manifesto, he just thinks enough of his followers are that dumb. And he's probably right.
I don't think he is dumb enough to not be aware of the manifesto, he just thinks enough of his followers are that dumb. And he's probably right.
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 6:13 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
I'm not even saying my contrived scenario is likely, just that it's one of an infinite number of possible associations between that post and last night's shooter. Even if the twitter post is naming Cole Allen from Torrance as an aspiring assassin, that doesn't automatically mean it was posted by someone with foreknowledge of a specific event.
Right. Here's another scenario - maybe that one-time mystery poster("OTMP") was actually posting about this specific Cole Allen. Maybe the OTMP knew this Cole Allen, and realized this Cole Allen was ranting and seemed possibly dangerous. Maybe OTMP started a post to warn others, then decided he was putting himself at risk, or some other reason to not post any more info, and just hit return and walked away.
Any number of possibilities. Occom is not a fan of the 'time traveler' explanation.
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 9:57 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:
The same account could have literally posted anything but he didnt. He posted the name of this dude with a picture from time travel as his background image.
But anyone could have posted anything, and someone will create a tenuous link to 'connect' them.
Someone else might have posted that date, thinking about commenting on a future anniversary (like their planned retirement date?), then stopped. Maybe some background image could be seen as having some connection to something/anything regarding this event. And then someone would try to say the post was 'connected' to this event. These 'connections' are made after the fact. It doesn't mean anything.
What would be the point of posting a name years ago, connected to an event that would have been unknown at the time? If it was a time traveler(!) rather than just some odd random posting, why would they do that?
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 9:37 am to Kjnstkmn
Hah! Pepe, in a tux, is drinking wine. Trump doesn't drink wine.
Busted!!!!! :lol:
Busted!!!!! :lol:
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 9:34 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:
No one makes a Twitter account, post a singular name, then never logs in again to said Twitter account.
How do you know that? Apparently one person did. And we don't know why, do we.
People look for patterns:
LINK
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 9:28 am to AlterEd
quote:
Ask an AI to calculate the odds that a person would open an X account, only make one tweet ever, which is a name that happens to match the name of someone who tries to kill the POTUS 3 years later.
That's not how probabilities work. It's how loony conspiracy theorists *think* probabilities work.
re: This X Account's One and Only Post Named the Shooter 3 Years Ago
Posted by MidWestGuy on 4/26/26 at 9:25 am to AlterEd
quote:
quote:
I mean there are probably thousands of Cole Allen's out there
I've already given y'all the numbers on it.
You gave *a* number ("375 approximately)", with no explanation of how you came by that.
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