Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Baton Rouge, LA
Biography:LSU Alumni
Interests:Anything to do with LSU
Occupation:Civil Engineer
Number of Posts:1933
Registered on:2/18/2004
Online Status:Not Online

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Its flow,flow,flow, that triggers the opening. Not stage, not length of time, not some politician, not the general public getting worried. It's congressional law that when the flow reaches 1.5 million cfs at Red River Landing they open the Morganza.

Wow its amazing that people can't understand this and then come on here and facebook and spew outright wrong info.

We haven't reached 1.5 million cfs at Morganza. Hell the river is lower today then it was 3 months ago.

It's not that damn hard to understand.

Don't believe me, fine, but I work for USGS, I've been working floods for 20 years giving the CORPS the flow data so they can make the decision to open or not open Bonnet Carre/Morganza. I've been coming on here telling everyone the same thing every flood fr years.

Now that I got that out the way. The relationship of stage to discharge is changing. Its a natural process. So in 2011 the water was getting really close to overtopping the Morganza gates and the trigger wasn't reached yet. But it was close and was going to happen within days so they opened it. They adjusted the language to say that if overtopping was risk and the forecast called for the trigger to be reached they could open before the trigger was reached.

This year it is not the case. There is still freeboard by the gates and the forecast has it close but not exceeding the trigger so they will not open it.

Now to the issue of the length of time in flood. Yes it is a record and yes it is concerning, but the CORPS has real human beings that drive the river road on both sides of the river from Venice to Old River inspecting the levee daily. DAILY!! Yes there is seepage but there always is. The levees are preforming as they were designed to do. They are not close to being overtopped and they will not be tested by rapid rising water like the levees up north.

So everyone calm down. BR isn't going to flood give it 3 weeks and all the water will be long gone. By not opening Morganza they are saving houses and businesses from flooding in areas near the Atchafalaya.

End rant!!
28 day forecast has river above 44 ft in BR on Jun 21. Bonnet Carre usually closes when it get to around 41ft.

So maybe mid to late July.

LINK
Morganza will not be opened for this rise. The river will crest at Red River Landing on Tuesday at 61.5ft. It is currently 61.2 ft. It will stay at 61.5ft for 3 day then begin falling.

Now will another rise come down once snow melt starts that could cause the river to rise higher in May/June? We will see. But for now no Morganza.

BTW..Bonnet Carre is not even open to capacity.
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They mention towards the end of the article that neither Davis Pond nor the Caernarvon diversions will be opened because salinity levels are already too low. I know the salinity level has a huge impact on oysters, but is that the driving for here? It seems a shame to miss out on the sediment laden flow. (I'm assuming high volume flow carries a correspondingly high volume of sediment.


Davis Pond and Caernarvon are not sediment diversions they are freshwater diversions. They were never designed or intended to carry sediment, just nutrient rich freshwater to stop saltwater intrusion and provide nutrients for marsh growth.

The driving force for both diversions is salinity levels. There are predetermined lines on salinity (think of a topo line on a map) that both diversions are run on. There is a 5 part line and a 15 part line (as in parts per thousand, ppt) that they try to maintain when the diversions are open. they do not want levels getting lower than these lower limits. Because the river has been so high for so long the guidelines are being met so they do not open the structures.


Hope that answers your question.
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I know this will come as news to you, but the shut down started just before Christmas. Lots of folks get a little over-extended buying stuff for Christmas. So the timing of the shutdown exacerbated the financial effect it had.



I'm sure this is the case for some but certainly not all.

Let me start by saying I am one of the 800,000 federal employees that hasn't gotten a pay check in almost a month. All my bills are paid and I groceries in the fridge. Not getting your normal paycheck suck but I am in a position where I can miss a few and still be ok especially knowing that eventually we will eventually get paid.


With that said, yeah there are really good hard working federal employees that are hurting right now. Our office has about 50 people in it and I would say that 80-90% are in the same situation as me, but the other 5-10 employees aren't. Some are just out of college and just started working with us 3 months ago, some are young parents with small kids whose wives quit working to raise the kids instead of paying $15000-20000 a year in daycare, some just lost everything they owned in the 2016 flood and have used every penny of savings to rebuild their house. Obviously I cant speak for everyone and nor do I know every ones financial situation pre shutdown but I know I have coworkers who are in a serious bind because of one missed check. Maybe not to the point of having to sell plasma but to the point where they are hustling any side job they can to support their family until they can return to work.

Finally, yeah there is abuse. I've been hearing stories on the news of people not being able to pay rent or having no grocery money on Jan 1st. This I don't get. The first missed check was somewhere around the 11-15th. How can you not have money on the 1st. Were you worried about money, sure, but at that point you shouldnt be without.

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The real answer OP is a great plumber will use something like 95% pex and 5% copper. As said above there are certainly places like stub outs for shut off valves behind toilets and sinks, mixers in your bath/ shower, etc. where your top plumbers will still use some copper.


My old man was a plumber, and a damn good one at that. Old school. Took pride in his work. When he built his new house post Katrina he used pex. (He also used a tank water heater, but that's a different subject) Its way easier to run and the connections are easier then copper. But like baldona said you need a good plumber to take the time to cut blocks and strap the pex securely to the studs and joists. Also a good plumber will run pex in the attic and wall and stub out the wall with copper. Actually there are prefabbed copper stub outs that connect to the pex without any soldering.


To the OP...use the pex and don't worry.
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Their pay has been taken from my paycheck for decades.


Their pay has been taken from their check too. Last I checked federal employees pay taxes too.
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Not all are free baw


Every single one of the ones currently sitting at home are. Along with most of the ones being forced to work without a check. Don't think those TSA agents calling in sick aren't working other jobs. Cause many are.
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Maybe if the shutdown went on for a 6 month and we hit 50% quit rate at 3 months we save one quarter of back pay


Let me ask you...You know you got backpay coming and you are still free to get a second job, you quitting the first one before you get your backpay?

Bunch of private sector geniuses we got on the board tonight!!
quote:

Most are probably not mentally able to attain jobs in the private sector that they FEEL are good enough for them.


Funny half of my crew has already gotten temporary second jobs in the private sector to pay the bills even after being assured we will receive back pay. Getting 2 checks and only working 1 job. Pretty good for a bunch of mentally challenged dumbasses. Go frick yourself!!
quote:

The people who are really screwed are all of the contractors that won’t get back pay.


Yeah I really feel for those guys. Their money is lost. We don't have any contractors at our office, but I know many offices do.
As a fed employee currently on furlough I can just say it sucks. Luckily I'm in a position where I can pay my bills for a few months with out a check, but I have a number of guys I work with that for various reasons can not. These are good hard working people and through no fault of their own are really in a bind. These guys live paycheck to paycheck and don't live beyond their means. In a perfect world they would have some emergency funds but some just do not.


With that said its not that easy to just go get a job. Many people that pay well will not touch you cause they know in a week or 2 you will go back to the government job. Its winter so the lawn and pressure wash crews really aren't busy and looking for help. And like someone else said it takes time to get on and then more time to get paid. A few guys are delivering pizza or doing uber to make a few bucks. I haven't started looking myself but have began thinking what I would do if this lasts a few more weeks. Im use to working, being home and doing honey do's is getting old. and its not like I can go spend a ton on money on fishing trips or other outings.

Knowing we will get back pay takes off some of the pressure but dealing with the now is tough. But their are way better options then payday loans.

re: recommend me a veterinarian

Posted by ScottieP on 1/18/19 at 10:24 pm
quote:

I've used Folsom Animal Hospital for the last 10 years. Dr Jenna and Dr Aubre are both awesome. You can tell they love what they do.


This
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Rules that only say they have to issue a second notice.. there are no other rules, this is a shutdown furlough not an administrative furlough. they are really struggling to understand this


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What difference, at this point, does it make?


Because boy wonder thinks that after 30 days of furlough the government has to institute a RIF even though he's been told that RIFs will not occur due to it being a shutdown furlough.
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Just in time for the 30 day administrative furlough rules to kick in.


Rules that only say they have to issue a second notice.. there are no other rules, this is a shutdown furlough not an administrative furlough.

See an email I just received from Department of the Interior.

Next week, the partial government shutdown that has affected our Department will enter its second month. When a shutdown furlough goes beyond 30 days, agencies are required to issue a second furlough notice covering the next 30 days. Supervisors should send each of their employees the furlough notice. Employees can remotely receive their furlough notification from their supervisors.
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Engineers, architects, etc don’t make anywhere near what the private sector makes.


This!!
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Pretty much every single federal government job pays better than private sector.



:lol: :lol: :lol:


Our health insurance is cheaper and we get more paid vacation, but that's about all that's better than the private sector.
quote:

Threads like this make me wish we would actually shut the whole thing down, without any of this essential/nonessential crap. The reason the inconvenience on the public has been so limited is almost half a million people are just showing up to work for free right now.


Exactly, I'm one of the "non-essential" furloughed employees that has been sitting at home for 3 weeks.

But 2 weeks ago when South Louisiana got 3 inches of rain and everyone started looking at the river gages and wanted to know why "X" gage wasn't fixed, why is "Y" gage reading wrong, or is my house gonna flood, my non-essential arse got really popular with parish and local officials emails.

Funny how that works, I'm a spoiled unneeded government worker until you're shits about to flood.
Funny how no one cared that our office was closed and I was one of the ones furloughed until it rained 4 inches last week. All of a sudden my phones ringing non stop with people wondering why the river gage is down or if the forecast is right cause the river is rising and water is getting really close to their house.
I supervise 10 guys. I have gotten calls everyday about "When we gonna go back to work?" We don't want to be furloughed we have a job to do and want to do it.
Will we get back pay...probably, and we should, We all have commitments to fulfill and didn't ask to be sent home. We want to work. The dumbest thing ever is to send us home then still pay us. So let us work. No we have to have a dick measuring contest in Washington because someone made a campaign promise that half the country wants and the other half will do anything not to fulfill.
The problem isn't with the federal employees around the nation..it's with the federal employees in Washington. Who by the way haven't done their job in years and are still getting paid during the shutdown.

re: Miss River will continue to rise

Posted by ScottieP on 12/30/18 at 10:28 pm
quote:

Any word on them maybe opening the Spillway?


River has been high this fall and early winter but the 28 day forecast doesn't have it getting to flood stage in BR so talks of a spillway opening are way premature.

Get a bunch of rain in the Ohio Valley in January and that may change.