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Number of Posts:303
Registered on:9/4/2017
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Alright folks

El Paso -->
Drone defense -->
???
Why? Because no one can do their own research?
They all move on the same factor which is industry agnostic.

Ex. "profitless volatile small caps" is a factor

Google "factor exposure" for more
Working til 5pm is for boomers

re: Austin to Houston

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 1/25/26 at 10:13 am to
I have two little kids man. No need to be an a-hole when people are just asking for help.

Austin to Houston

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 1/25/26 at 9:17 am
Random shot - any intel on making this drive today?

Thanks very much in advance.
The only way for this to beat the S&P is to get meaningful home price appreciation. That doesn't seem likely but what do I know.
At $150/bbl oil the TMS really starts paying out

re: XOM Stock

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 1/14/26 at 9:55 am to
I mean if you're looking for $150, I'm not sure that extra 15% from $130 is worth the 200%+ you've already gained. Most of the time, selling a portion of the position when you have these internal questions is prudent.
Whatever is 30,000-31,000 ft.. they just reached 30,000 ft and filed a permit to go another 1,000 ft. Would imagine production doesn't come for another 6-9 months at the earliest.
It became too cool, too popular. Attracts the worst of the worst.

Denver, Austin, Nashville soon
Because the only way you can financially thrive in LC is being from family money.

Generally speaking, and of course there are outliers (a doctor here, a lawyer there, a business owner, etc), but a college grad simply cannot make that much money there on your own, there's just not enough going on. And that's the way they like it!
There is an incredibly large shallow water gas well being drilled right now in the swamp.

TMS / Austin Chalk takes $100+ oil

AI will not have any significant impact on this

Edit: TigerV knows ball
We are living in an absolute banana republic

re: Venture Global NYSE Release

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 12/18/25 at 10:09 am to
I work in finance and have covered LNG stocks in the past you dunce. When knowledgeable and experienced people are telling you something about a subject you know little about, it's best to listen, take the info, and make your own decisions. But go on and lose more money - that's your prerogative
Legal overhang is not the bear case though. The bear case is that these guys generally have no integrity and the fundamentals of their business are completely breaking down while they suffocate w/ debt.

re: Venture Global NYSE Release

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 12/17/25 at 11:08 am to
Google

The big issue is that these freaking guys, for years, said their facilities were not commercially complete. When an LNG export facility reaches completion, the contracts kick in. Before being fully commissioned, it can still produce some LNG and those are all equity volumes for the company (e.g. they own them, they buy the domestic gas and sell it internationally at an international price). Spreads were huge, so they made a ton of money. They essentially stole this money from their customers. The customers' contracts should have kicked in leaving VG with a lot less equity volumes to market.

Hope that helps mr "examples please"


BP (Lost): In October 2025, BP won a significant arbitration, with tribunals finding Venture Global failed to act as a "reasonable and prudent operator" by delaying commercial operations to sell at higher spot prices, potentially costing BP over $1 billion.
Shell (Won): Venture Global won its case against Shell in August 2025, though the reasons for contrasting outcomes with BP are unclear.
Others (Ongoing): Repsol, Galp, and Orlen have similar claims against Venture Global, with arbitration ongoing.

Securities Fraud (IPO): Class actions filed after Venture Global's January 2025 IPO allege false statements about project viability and legal challenges, according to firms like Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP and Rosen Legal.
Employee Stock Options: Lawsuits filed by former advisors (Muller, Ruggirello) and former General Counsel (Dillbeck) claim the company blocked them from exercising stock options, reports Bloomberg.com.

re: Venture Global NYSE Release

Posted by Texas Tea 123 on 12/16/25 at 10:16 am to
Not to mention the amount of debt they have levered the company up with..