Seeing Grey
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| Number of Posts: | 755 |
| Registered on: | 9/30/2015 |
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re: Most notable "flash in the pan" athletes
Posted by Seeing Grey on 5/10/25 at 11:04 pm
Robert Griffin
1
re: In April FHA paid 203,000 missed mortgage payments for 34,400 borrowers for $314,000,000
Posted by Seeing Grey on 5/10/25 at 11:31 am
quote:
I don't have to. He is a trusted source, and I know where his data comes from and have linked the sources for you. Others have verified and checked his data in the past as he summarizes these reports every month.
Its such a dumb argument, there's a lot of things that go into converting raw data to usable analysis. Sure there's an element of trust that goes into using others analysis, but that still doesn't mean others analysis isnt usable or that you can't draw conclusions.
Especially with the extra context you've provided, seems more than sufficient.
re: US Housing inventory is at 959k and growing
Posted by Seeing Grey on 5/2/25 at 1:41 pm
quote:
So serious question, if I live in the DFW area (people constantly moving here), and I'm looking to upgrade houses in the near future (say a year or two); should I wait for housing prices to come down?
The "experts" are generally no better than chimpanzees throwing darts at a dart board. Attempts to time the market are generally futile.
re: Zurich extends sponsorship of its PGA Tournament until 2030
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/27/25 at 12:06 pm
quote:
On that golf course? It's Putt Putt for PGA Pro's
It is pretty wild how easy they score on that course.
However, I do think it has the "bones" to be a difficult setup if they wanted to make it that way.
Lengthen the rough, firm up the greens, make 2/7/16 a bit more difficult.
re: The 89th Edition of the Masters Tournament Thread - Thursday Round
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/9/25 at 11:51 pm
quote:
I’m putting it on the first page, Rory isn’t winning this year, next year, or any year after that
Dude is 35 years old, he legit has 10-15 more chances and he won't break down like tiger.
Give me even odds he eventually breaks through all day.
re: Yes China - that is what we are doing
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/7/25 at 5:00 pm
quote:
Wait, is your point that game theory is only applied to literal games?
Lol, not close.
Game Theory != Nash equilibrium
Its that Nash equilibrium realistically only applies to a small subset of "games".
Literally in your quoted text
quote:
The fact that a country’s payoff does not respond monotonically to increases in a competitor’s tariff rate, shows that the standard condition in the literature for payoff comparisons across Nash equilibria fails in our model. We then show that the participation of at most two countries in negotiated tariff changes suffices to induce a Pareto improving allocation relative to a Nash equilibrium.
quote:
My point is that Trump's entire premise is that we are converging on some global minimization of trade-offs for world trade, at the expense of the U.S. who is stuck at some local minimum, despite being a larger, more capable agent than the others. He's flipping the table over and resetting the board.
Cool, no qualms there.
re: Yes China - that is what we are doing
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/7/25 at 3:15 pm
quote:
John Nash received the Nobel prize in Economics for the formalization of this concept.
Whelp, that solves it. Solutions to a narrow subset of games is applicable to all areas of an industry in which an award was presented I guess.
quote:
It is generalized to an arbitrary number of players.
Final derail, Nash equilibrium can theoretically apply to multiplayer games, however, you will never get a true equilibrium convergence due to the presence of collusion (such as in the case of international trade).
Only in 2 player zero sum games can you guarantee that you will actually converge to a nash equilibrium.
By all means though, keep throwing around terms that you have little grasp of and keep digging deeper when questioned about them. Its not even clear what point you were trying to make.
re: Yes China - that is what we are doing
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/7/25 at 2:29 pm
quote:
Group self interest. At the expense of pure competition.
Nash equilibrium is only applicable to two player zero sum games, which in turn is pure competition. Doesn't seem like the proper usage in this situation.
re: Yes China - that is what we are doing
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/7/25 at 1:47 pm
quote:
frick this Nash equilibrium bullshite
Nash equilibrium is literally predicated on maximizing self interest.
re: 2025 Formula 1 Season Thread
Posted by Seeing Grey on 4/5/25 at 1:34 am
quote:
Fire is everywhere lol
re: AI Speculation Related Market Crash Incoming?
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/31/25 at 7:58 pm
quote:
I won’t bother paraphrasing. here is an article from Apple researchers on the matter.
Lol, leaving out mathematical in mathematical reasoning is pretty damn significant.
Yeah they struggle with hard maths, but again thats a very narrow definition of reasoning.
re: AI Speculation Related Market Crash Incoming?
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/31/25 at 7:38 pm
quote:
Large language models cannot reason, so they are not suited to replace large swathes of knowledge workers.
Only a very narrow, human centric definition of reason would make this true. So I ask you to define reason.
re: "We're gonna make sure that we inflict as much pain as possible to the American people"
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/27/25 at 1:43 pm
quote:
I thought this dude died of a cocaine overdose like 10-15 years ago.
I thought the same, but it was his brother Rob, the Toronto mayor who was on video smoking crack.
re: So if the JFK files aren’t worth a shite…..
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/19/25 at 4:44 pm
quote:
So if the JFK files aren’t worth a shite
I haven't been following super closely, but why would anyone say the JFK files aren't worth a shite? Because they only emphasize what was already largely believed?
Regardless of what are in the files, after 70 years, at least there's a record of the government's view of what happened. If they release bullshite, then they can be held accountable for that bullshite.
The importance of the JFK documents is about 15 administrations could've done the same, only 1 has had the balls to be on the record.
re: Grok's analysis of JFK files.
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/19/25 at 12:27 pm
quote:
amazing what Grok can process and spit out tbh
Absolutely, although I mean, it's literally what it's optimized for. Consume a ton of info and pull out the relevant details.
re: New Rule: Guilt By Civilization | Real Time with Bill Maher
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/8/25 at 12:44 am
quote:
The video is funny and true. That's all
Sure, his smug, a-hole delivery hasn't gone away though even if he's correct in this instance.
re: Why is Trump playing hardball with Z but not Putin?
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/5/25 at 8:12 pm
quote:
We're not finding Russia's war effort and Russia wants to end the war.
And Russia is in a strategically stronger position.
Not rocket science
re: Hyundai executive says DEI ‘drives the bottom line’ as other companies ditch it
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/5/25 at 2:16 pm
quote:
Using marketing campaigns targeted specifically at gays, blacks, etc.
Seems more along of the lines, that the appearance of DEI sells more vehicles.
Doubt there's much diversity on the factory floor actually producing vehicles.
re: Trump announces tariffs on imported shrimp from china
Posted by Seeing Grey on 3/4/25 at 1:09 am
quote:
We still get seafood from likely slaveships from Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, ect.
The tariff also includes Mexico and Canada...
Those two will likely be the likeliest importers of third party seafood. Otherwise, any significant importer would have been targeted.
No one is asking for perfection, most are just asking for transparency. If you want to pay cheaper for Chinese farm raised shrimp eating the things that comes with that, cool.
Just should be out in the open, hopefully some of the advancements in supply chain and specifically seafood traceability comes through.
The problem is most consumers think a shrimp is a shrimp and don't care otherwise.
re: Progs have doxxed Datarepublican is appears
Posted by Seeing Grey on 2/25/25 at 8:37 pm
quote:
Is this real?
Feels about as real as Harry Bollz, but could be the simulation fricking with us.
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