LARancher1991

Please tell me how anything I said is not accurate

True, but we have heard since the beginning of this thing that the Iranian people are going to rise up and it hasn't happened yet. Honestly, I've lost trust in that happening anytime soon. Will it happen eventually? Possibly, but who knows when it will be.

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Their National Oil Company just had their assets frozen. That's hurting the top.

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These assets were frozen by a state owned bank. Seems like Iranian leadership has stepped in and ordered the unfreezing of those accounts. Of course that's based on information from google's AI so I guess it could potentially be false.

True , another thing that might be keeping them from negotiating is their other avenues of export. Iran has increased exports out of the Caspian Sea by 181% over the last several months. Now, that offsets less than 10% of what was going out of the strait but could possibly be enough to allow their leaders to ride this out for quite some time. But like you said that part is speculation cause we most likely don't have all the information.

I think we will see a slow exit from this. None of the major news outlets are really reporting on it anymore. What will most likely happen is it will slowly stop being talked about and we will get out of it by just letting it fade away.

We aren't even acting like we are serious about reaching a deal anymore :lol: :lol:. This is hopefully just Trump throwing a jab at the Iranians but who really knows anymore.

Because he was either given bad intelligence on Iran's military capabilities (missiles, drones, ect.) or vastly underestimated the resolve of the regime to endure suffering and not be willing to negotiate. This was never supposed to take this long. The thought from the beginning was that this would last a couple of weeks or a month tops and Iran would cave. That didn't happen and here we are.

All true, but unfortunately today's politicians as well as the American people don't have the stomach to do something like this. That's why this thing was almost destined for failure to begin with. We constantly make the mistake of looking at things from a western civilized point of view. Not our fault because we actually value human life. However, you are dealing with a regime that doesn't think that way. They are willing to pay whatever the cost and let their people suffer however much is needed just to say we defeated and embarrassed the US. You will never defeat an enemy like that by limiting the damage you inflict on them.

Guess we will see how much weight that mutual defense pact has.

I don't think any country in Europe will do anything. NK troops have been part of this war in the past mostly in defensing the kursk region but I don't think them actually moving into Ukraine would trigger any type of European response.

LINK

If this didn't trigger a European response I don't think much will.