
doubleb
Favorite team: | LSU ![]() |
Location: | Baton Rouge |
Biography: | |
Interests: | |
Occupation: | |
Number of Posts: | 40004 |
Registered on: | 8/22/2006 |
Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: What's up with this dumpster fire over at St. George Fire Department?
Posted by doubleb on 4/30/25 at 11:57 am
People see fire dept, and vote for the tax. No one scrutinizes their operation they just assume the taxes are necessary.
FWIW, I am happy with the service SGFD provides.
FWIW, I am happy with the service SGFD provides.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/30/25 at 10:48 am
quote:
All that to say, when the end in WWI came, it came suddenly. In summer 1918, it looked as though the war would drag on for at least two more years or longer. Tens of thousands were dying monthly on both sides. Then, in the fall of 1918, the German lines finally started to crack and rapidly began to crumble all together. The Germans had reached their breaking point. That’s how a stalemated war ends. One moment appears that it will go on for the foreseeable future, until it doesn’t. And when that point comes, the losing side degenerates rapidly.
Getting back to WWI. The German lines did not suddenly crack. There were major issues going on that caused the German collapse.
First the US declared war on Germany in April of 1916. US troops were slated to be deployed in spring of 1918.
Second, Russia exited the war in March of 1918. The Russians and Germans signed a treaty giving Germany land in Eastern Europe.
Germany believed that they had to defeat the allies in the West before American forces would tilt the balance of power against them. Consequently, Germany launched a huge spring offensive with troops from the East. The offensive included multiple attacks and was initially successful, but the Germans couldn’t take advantage of their successes due to heavy casualties and poor logistics.
Subsequently the allies launched massive counterattacks against thexwedd as kneed Germans bolstered by arriving Americans.
The point is in 1918 the situation was not static. Conditions had changed with Russia leaving the war and the US entering the war.
Ukraine v Russia isn’t the same dynamics. Yes N Korea did send about 10,000 troops, but itdd Sax not like they threw their entire military apparatus into the fray.
Maybe you can equate Ukraine’s expedition into Kursk with the huge German offensives in 1918, but right now it doesn’t appear to have been a go for broke operation,
Germany also faced extreme economic hardships. They were having a difficult time feeding their people and their troops. That was a huge factor too. I mention that because as best I can tell feeding the troops for Ukraine is not an issue.
Yes, there are dug in frontlines, and yes it’s a stalemate right now, but I don’t see the overall situation changing that would cause the existing dynamics to change suddenly any time soon.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/30/25 at 8:36 am
quote:
Which agreements?
Helsinki accords
Budapest Memorandum
Instanbul Document
Chemical Weapons Convention
Minsk deals
The UN Charter
The list could go on and on
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/30/25 at 8:26 am
]
Yes
Yes
Exactly how could Ukraine pull off a good surrender? Somehow the notion that Ukraine could have negotiated a good deal and that Russia would have taken the Donbas and Crimea anbd ghen everything would have been honkey dorry has become prevalent. I don’t agree. Russia has not proven that they would honor agreements and that they would leave their neighbors alone.
The fact as I see it is that any nation bordering Russia is vulnerable unless they have a strong alliance to protect them. The UN won’t.
quote:
1. Ukraine has fought admirably
Yes
quote:
2. Ukraine with all of the help they received is a far more formidable force than they get credit for
Yes
quote:
3. If this war drags on they will be forced into a bad surrender if they don't totally collapse
Exactly how could Ukraine pull off a good surrender? Somehow the notion that Ukraine could have negotiated a good deal and that Russia would have taken the Donbas and Crimea anbd ghen everything would have been honkey dorry has become prevalent. I don’t agree. Russia has not proven that they would honor agreements and that they would leave their neighbors alone.
The fact as I see it is that any nation bordering Russia is vulnerable unless they have a strong alliance to protect them. The UN won’t.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/30/25 at 7:54 am
quote:
If, in 2022, ukraine knew they would still be fighting this war in 2025, would they have opted to fight back?
Boom
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 10:18 pm
I understand all that, but consider this.
One side is attacking a fortified front recklessly with minor successes. These attacks have to be costing more troops than ghd defense is losing, right?
These troops being used are not good fighting men. They rushed through training to the front lines. Again there is an enormous waste.
I’ve read that Russia is not getting the numbers of volunteers that they were getting previously. That is having an impact.
I believe Russia should eventually force Ukraine to surrender, but because of the inefficient use of troops and the lack of elite units and the lack of motorized units the Russian superiority in numbers is not presenting a decisive force against Ukraine. Consequently, when they eventually gain a tactical advantage they are unable to act decisively to take full advantage.
One side is attacking a fortified front recklessly with minor successes. These attacks have to be costing more troops than ghd defense is losing, right?
These troops being used are not good fighting men. They rushed through training to the front lines. Again there is an enormous waste.
I’ve read that Russia is not getting the numbers of volunteers that they were getting previously. That is having an impact.
I believe Russia should eventually force Ukraine to surrender, but because of the inefficient use of troops and the lack of elite units and the lack of motorized units the Russian superiority in numbers is not presenting a decisive force against Ukraine. Consequently, when they eventually gain a tactical advantage they are unable to act decisively to take full advantage.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 8:53 pm
So five months ago Ukraine reached a crisis stage as far as manpower goes. Russia is getting a record number of soldiers signing up.
Ukraine’s are dying at a 22:1 clip. Russian artillery is dominating Ukraine at a 12:1 clop. Air defenses in Ukraine are being canavalized.
My question to you is why aren’t we seeing the results on the battlefield?
Ukraine’s are dying at a 22:1 clip. Russian artillery is dominating Ukraine at a 12:1 clop. Air defenses in Ukraine are being canavalized.
My question to you is why aren’t we seeing the results on the battlefield?
re: Mainieri says he underestimated the strength of the conference these days
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 7:13 pm
quote:
He took over a program that players should be migrating to. If they aren't, whose fault is that?
The coach obviously.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 7:04 pm
22:1
Still can’t best Ukraine.
Still can’t best Ukraine.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 6:57 pm
Breaking ? That was a week ago!
re: Mainieri says he underestimated the strength of the conference these days
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 4:07 pm
quote:
@LSUHas the league changed that drastically in 3 years?
Yes college baseball and all of college athletics has changed greatly.
Because of the new transfer rules and NIL more players are going college, players are migrating to the larger programs and the top programs are flush with talent.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 3:08 pm
Vance-
If millions more die and a million or so has fied already, then while Ukraine is losing so is Russia. Russia is losing a lot.
The author/
So the US is the bad guy here? What about the billions Russia is pouring in? Oh, and why are the Europeans spending more in NATO and why are they donating billions to Ukraine.
The author asserts that people are dying because the US supported Ukraine and prevented a Russian takeover. But the real reason people are dying is because Putin wants to revive the Soviet Union.
The author-
I submit that Russia has way more to lose than we do. In fact they have already lost hundreds of thousand of young men and billions of dollars. They have already lost respect from their poor performance and every day the war continued they lose more and more. Putin sees all this, but he can’t quit. If he does he might not last very long.
quote:
He says Ukraine isn't winning the war — fair enough. But in the next breath, he warns that this means millions more will die, the war could go nuclear, and invokes concerns about "nightmare demographics" in "these countries."
If millions more die and a million or so has fied already, then while Ukraine is losing so is Russia. Russia is losing a lot.
The author/
quote:
But it's not about any of that. It's about the US pouring in billions while Ukraine keeps losing. If the US stops, Ukraine collapses, the war ends — and no one else has to die.
So the US is the bad guy here? What about the billions Russia is pouring in? Oh, and why are the Europeans spending more in NATO and why are they donating billions to Ukraine.
The author asserts that people are dying because the US supported Ukraine and prevented a Russian takeover. But the real reason people are dying is because Putin wants to revive the Soviet Union.
The author-
quote:
But. America can't afford to take a massive L — not with its ego and power projection at stake in the region.
I submit that Russia has way more to lose than we do. In fact they have already lost hundreds of thousand of young men and billions of dollars. They have already lost respect from their poor performance and every day the war continued they lose more and more. Putin sees all this, but he can’t quit. If he does he might not last very long.
re: Saints might have very tough draft decision next year !!
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 1:50 pm
quote:
quote:Let Rattler take the helm and then you can see what you actually have in him.
Rattler is a 5th round pick drafted by a different coaching staff. He’s a backup.
I’d bet the new staff had seen enough of Rattler to know we needed a QB; thus they chose one in the draft.
re: EBR Residents- May 3 Please Go Vote (property tax on the ballot)
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 10:40 am
EBR schools are closing. Student numbers are way down too and test scores aren’t improving.
I do believe it’s in everyone’s best interest to educate all of our kids; however, despite our best efforts and our hood money thdcdydtrm us failing us.
The new supt. is pushing for some good things. We have too many schools . However, I have no faith in the school hierarchy. Years of promises have big been kept.
Thd DA thing irks me not because we don’t need a strong DA’s office, but because our DA llet things get this bad. We need law and order in the worst way; however, Moore had been DA since 2009 and he remained quiet as the parish decayed.
I have said this before. We pay enough taxes now. Our taxes aren’t being distributed properly. BREC gets too much money and it appears now that the schools do also. The Library did, but measured we’re done to correct that.
The parish and city would rather fund NGOs, consulting contracts and social programs rather than public safety. That’s the other issue. The fact that the cops and the DA are shortchanged speaks volumes.
I do believe it’s in everyone’s best interest to educate all of our kids; however, despite our best efforts and our hood money thdcdydtrm us failing us.
The new supt. is pushing for some good things. We have too many schools . However, I have no faith in the school hierarchy. Years of promises have big been kept.
Thd DA thing irks me not because we don’t need a strong DA’s office, but because our DA llet things get this bad. We need law and order in the worst way; however, Moore had been DA since 2009 and he remained quiet as the parish decayed.
I have said this before. We pay enough taxes now. Our taxes aren’t being distributed properly. BREC gets too much money and it appears now that the schools do also. The Library did, but measured we’re done to correct that.
The parish and city would rather fund NGOs, consulting contracts and social programs rather than public safety. That’s the other issue. The fact that the cops and the DA are shortchanged speaks volumes.
re: Pecue/I-10 interchange Spinoff: Pecue and Highland Road intersection
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 9:45 am
quote:
They'll never 4-lane either of those roads so whatever they do at that intersection is useless.
You are wrong about that.
Moving more cars through is indeed problematic, but the intersection is poorly designed and very unsafe.
A third grader could design something better than that.
It would be criminal to not have that improvement ready when
the Pecue project opens up.
re: Pecue/I-10 interchange Spinoff: Pecue and Highland Road intersection
Posted by doubleb on 4/29/25 at 7:10 am
I can’t believe there is no guardrail at that pond.
The intersection needs modernization now, but Broome built new sidewalks all over BR first.
MovEBR was on a slow road.
The intersection needs modernization now, but Broome built new sidewalks all over BR first.
MovEBR was on a slow road.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/28/25 at 9:15 pm
The US did the same for the Vietnam War. They cut out student diferments. Ukraine isn’t doing anything new.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/28/25 at 9:13 pm
So J D Vance is discussing the notion that the war could continue for years. That isn’t good for Rusdia.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted by doubleb on 4/28/25 at 2:55 pm
Hee Haw
re: "Knew what pitch was coming"
Posted by doubleb on 4/28/25 at 1:45 pm
quote:
Side thought, if Frey had ran through 2nd base on that close play when ariel went to tag 2nd, instead of sliding, we might have plated a run there
We would have. I’ve seen that several times in the majors.
Unless for safety reasons college has a must slide rule.
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