Doug_H

Over The Cap says 2026 Carr's cap hit/dead money is $36.6M, and there are several times who's QB situation is at least unstable.

Free Agent QBs;
Vet Bridges/QB2--Kirk Cousins / Tyrod Taylor / Russel Wilson / Carson Wentz / Joe Flacco / Jimmy Garoppolo
Vet QB2--Marcus Mariota / Mitchell Trubisky / Kenny Pickett / Gardener Minshew / Trey Lance
QB1 likely--Malik Willis / Daniel Jones
Possible QB1 challengers--Zach Wilson / Jake Browning / Sam Howell

Trade Candidate QBs;
Mac Jones / Geno Smith / Derek Carr / Anthony Richardson / Spencer Rattler / Tua Tagovailoa / Kyler Murray / Justin Fields

Rookie Prospects;
-Fernando Mendoza is the only universally regarded 1st rd talent
-Ty Simpson / Drew Allar / Cade Clubnik / Garrett Nussmeier / Carson Beck all likely to not be drafted in 1st round but have potential to earn reps to compete for QB1 in camp

Raiders; #1 pick. 2026 QB-Geno Smith. New HC Klint Kubiak
-Geno underwhelmed and is a cut candidate. Pre-June 1st $18.5M dead money/$8M save in 2026, and $39.5M save in 2027 and post June1 cut looks to be the same. If traded they save 100%
-Kubiak had decent success with Carr in New Orleans and Carr expressed interest in a return to Raiders, but is Carr really better than Geno, if so how much is that worth? IMO it's not worth cutting Geno & paying him $18.5M to leave and give up a 7th rd pick to sign Carr to whatever amount, probably $25M ish with heavy incentives?
-1st option keep Geno to bridge this year paying him $26.5M and draft Fernando Mendoza, then cut Geno in 2027 free & clear not owing any $
-2nd option trade Geno for a late round pick, save all his money and use that late round pick (or later) and his money to trade to the Saints and sign Carr

Jets; #2,#16 picks. 2026 QB-Justin Fields then Tyrod Taylor
-Fields had 7TD-1INT & 62% completion but was still not effective enough to consistently move the offense & was benched after a 2-7 record. Likely a post June1 cut.
-Doubtful to draft a QB at #2 since no QB outside of Mendoza seems worthy of that pick
-Trade for Mac Jones possibly
-Sign Sam Howell or Jake Browning

Cardinals; #3 pick. 2026 QB-Kyler Murray. New HC
-Murray could be dealt or released, and use Jacoby Brisset as a bridge QB under contract for 2026 for cheap $5.4M
-Sign Howell or Browning, or trade for late round pick for someone like Richardson if they feel they could work with him

Titans; #4 pick. 2026 QB-Cam Ward. New HC Robert Saleh
-Ward was inconsistent but will likely be week 1 starter
-Russel Wilson makes sense here as a veteran mentor/backup
-Saleh was in San Fran last year and saw Mac Jones close up, so a trade for him is possible if he wants create a true QB1 competition with Ward

Browns; #6,#24 picks. 2026 QB-All of them. New HC Todd Monken
-Deshawn Watson, Shedeur Sanders, Dillon Gabriel all under contract
-Honestly have no clue what the Browns do, but Monken did say recently something about excited to work with Sanders.
-If Watson is healthy he's obviously your best option and you're paying him no matter what so might as well try him with the new staff
-Maybe try and dump Watson & Gabriel for whatever you can get and keep Shedeur and sign somebody like Tua if he's available or Cousins

Chiefs; #9 pick. 2026 QB-Mahomes might not be ready to start the season.
-Wentz makes sense here

Dolphins; #11 pick. 2026 QB-Tua Tagovvailoa. New HC Jeff Haley
-Tua is still under contract but was benched last year and could be dealt away
-Haley was DC in Green Bay and saw Malik Willis up close last year so that signing would make sense.

Vikings; #18 pick. 2026 QB-J.J.MCCarthy underwhelmed last season
-Cousins reunion is possible to potentially start/mentor for a year
-Carr / Flacco could also be options for a veteran that should be able to produce a solid amount with their offensive weapons

Panthers; #19 pick. 2026 QB-Bryce Young is still inconsistent but his 5th year option was picked up keeping him under contract through 2027
-I don't think they'll be any major changes here

Steelers; #21 pick. 2026 QB-Aaron Rodgers. New HC Mike McCarthy.
-Aaron Rodgers seems like he will come back
-Trey Lance was with McCarthy in Dallas in 24 so he could possibly be signed as backup

Falcons; No 1st rd pick. 2026 QB-Penix/Cousins. New HC Kevin Stefanski
-Cousins was released
-Penix has not yet proven as certified QB1 and might not be ready for week 1 after tearing his ACL for a 3rd time in November
-Trubisky makes sense here as an affordable free agent bridge starter QB for 2026 with potential for beyond. Low risk/high reward to not give up assets in a trade or pay a high contract

Colts; No 1st rd pick. 2026 QB-Daniel Jones
-Jones got off to a hot start before season ending injury, and he is not under contract for 2026 and likely won't be ready at the start of the season
-Resigning Jones makes sense but they will still need a formidable QB to possibly start several games beginning the season.
-Kenny Pickett / Zach Wilson are cheaper intriguing prospects here as short term QB1/backups that are former 1st rd picks that would seem to have higher ceilings & career resurgence potential a la Daniel Jones / Sam Darnold / Baker Mayfield / Geno Smith that we've seen in recent years

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The Recruit is much better than Night Agent

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I watched The Recruit and will continue if more seasons are made, but even in the realm of cinema it still just felt quite a bit unbelievable. Maybe I'm naive but it just seemed like waaaayy too much waaaayy too fast on a green recruit to be sent on their own and entrusted.
I can believe some of the internal politicing but the amount of backstabbing seemed a bit much
Also them not simply going to a doctor for adderal and worrying that much about a drug test seemed comical to me.

S1 overall was really good, but S1-E7 was freaking great! I have not re-watched S1 but I have put E7 a handful of times even to watch just 20-30min if that's all I got time for.

I put it up there with these others as one of my favorite TV episodes ever.

-True Detective S1-E4 "Who Goes There": Where Rust/McConaughey infiltrates the biker gang and they have the long single camera shot

-Game of Thrones S3-E9 "The Rains of Castamere": aka Red Wedding"

-Spartacus, Blood and Sand, S1-E10 "Party Favors": Up & down with emotions from the actors done in great storytelling.
-Spartacus, Blood and Sand, S1-E13 "Kill Them All": Again great writing and action, fantastic season finale

-The Pacific E2 "Guadalcanal (Basilone )": One of the most intense scenes I've ever watched/felt with their gunfight only about 10' away from each other. Legit edge of the seat and anxiety the whole time

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he injured himself and violated his contract and the saints would have taken him to arbitration and most likely would have won and he would have collected absolutely nothing

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What did he do that violated his contract?

Club up, possibly 2. Expect your 150 yard shot to play about 165, and that's before the wind. Seriously make yourself be long on the approach shot before clubbing down on the next hole.

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Wild for the owner to say existing staff hit the proverbial wall, then hire from within

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There are plenty cases of bad management holding back progression of middle management level employees, could be the case here, though I did not follow McDermott or the Bills very closely to know. But to hire from within you better hit right and not do like the Saints did with Dennis Allen.....

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JJM has shown absolutely nothing to state he’ll ever be better than Darnold.

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I'm not white knighting for McCarthy at all, I just think Darnold's 2024 season is the outlier in an otherwise average career.

You seem to have a fairly high opinion of Darnold, so what in Darnold's first season as starter makes you think he's head and shoulders over McCarthy based on what he did this first season as starter? Stats don't tell the entire story but I posted Darnold's first 4 years starting and they were in-line with McCarthy's this year.

Definitely Titans firing Vrabel. They traded away several of their more talented players, against Vrabel's wishes from what I remember, and then wonder why he had 2 down years in a row. We've seen the last couple of years the impact that coaches have developing players, particularly at QB.

McCarthy vs Darnold certainly looks terrible on the surface this season, but I think over the next 2 seasons we'll see the gap between them close significantly. McCarthy just had his first season as a starter which went badly but has some good plays mixed in.

Darnold was just above average for the year. His lone good year was 2024 which was his 7th season in the NFL, but prior that he had 6 seasons of sub par to bad QB play.

McCarthy
2025: 11TD/12INT, 57.6%, 72.6rtg

Darnold:
2018: 17TD/15INT, 57.7%, 77.6rtg
2019: 19TD/13INT, 61.9%, 84.3rtg
2020: 9TD/11INT, 59.6%, 72.7rtg
2021: 9TD/13INT, 59.9%, 71.9rtg

Wife enjoyed it more than I did, but it was geared more towards women.

SPOILERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!






Biggest issue I had is believing that she would date/love/marry/have a child with the brother of an absolute POS person that you thought was your friend but ultimately set you up to be raped on your 16th birthday!!!! No way you look at anybody in that family tree without thinking they are a POS.

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I can see Taylor situation being similar to SGJ when he was due to new deal, a nickel CB wanting outside CB money

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I saw on another site a projection of Taylor's contract to be 3yr/$33M. At first glance seems a little high, especially depending on guaranteed money, but also not outlandish and there's not much options on the market that are CLEARLY better than him for cheaper

Re-signing Blackmon is GREAT! Guy is a good starter at a very affordable rate, hopefully he heals up well.

Sanker started hot then plateaued a little but hopefully he continues to improve into year 2.

Reid is honestly the one that needs to improve from 25 to 26. He's paid well and didn't seem to be a much of a game changer and actually had a few costly bonehead penalties that experienced veterans should not be making

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A “protection package fee” on a used vehicle is not automatically a legal scam, but in many cases it functions like a dealer markup or junk fee — and if you don’t want it, you should push back, negotiate, or walk away.
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It wasn’t disclosed up front Federal rules (FTC’s Combating Auto Retail Scams rule) now require dealers to disclose the full vehicle price except for government fees — and optional add-ons must be clearly identified as optional. ? If a dealer adds something without your consent or hides it until signing, that’s a red flag for deceptive practices.

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Feels like it's dealer mark-up or junk fee.

Initial paperwork (not sure what its called, didn't have a title) he sent my wife had Sale Price the same as listed on website, +Protection Package New $1,895, + taxes,+fees, -down payment. When I saw it listed there I thought maybe my wife had spoke to them about extended warranty and that's what they had called it so I was already going to inquire as to exactly what it was.

Then he sent Buyer's Order and the Price of Unit was increased by $1,895 and they removed the line item of Protection Package. Seeing it that way really threw up a red flag because essentially they raised the vehicle price and that's when I called.

Y'all confirmed my thoughts, so thanks. I'm not paying that $1,895