re: Dawgs Basketball Season Thread // 17-5 (5-5) // Next: Wednesday 7PM vs Florida

despite the doom and gloomers we're still very much in good shape for the tourney. I think 3 more wins would put us solidly in bubble territory especially since we'd have a losing conference record which would suck, so wouldn't love our chances. 4 more wins puts us at .500 in the league but IMO we'd be solidly in and not on the bubble. 5 more wins and there's zero doubt .


Feb 11 (Wed) 7:00 Home Florida - L
Feb 14 (Sat) 3:30 Away Oklahoma - TU/W
Feb 17 (Tue) 9:00 Away Kentucky - L
Feb 21 (Sat) 3:30 Home Texas - TU
Feb 25 (Wed) 7:00 Away Vanderbilt - L.
Feb 28 (Sat) 3:30 Home South Carolina - W
Mar 3 (Tue) 6:30 Home Alabama - TU
Mar 7 (Sat) 3:30 Away Mississippi State - W

There are 3 definite Ls, and although we know they're coming in advance I'm sure people will complain anyway. SC and @MSU are the kind of games, like yesterday, that if we want to call ourselves a tourney team we absolutely must win so let's count those. I tend to put OU in that same boat but somehow they won at VU yesterday. Weird. Let's go ahead and call that a "should win" anyway. That's 3 wins.

So between Texas at home and Alabama at home, it'd be nice to win one of those. IMO that would be enough to make it. In this scenario we'd probably be seeded somewhere around ~12th in teh SECT. If we are seeded anywhere between 9-12 we're in great shape as those seeds get the dead bottom of the standings.

All in all, we are still very much in the mix and if I had to hazard a guess, I'd say taht Lunardi will still have us as solidly IN during his next projections. These next 3 games will suck for our fanbase because we're losing at least 2 of them, and then everyone will say the season is over and we have no chance. But our tourney chances aren't going to be decided in the next 3 games; it's those last 5 that are really going to make or break us.