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re: Why is the UT/OU line only at OU -2 right now? Is this a clever Vegas trap?
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:48 pm to Vols&Shaft83
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:48 pm to Vols&Shaft83
Exactly! You guys could've run 1 stretch play all day and still won the game.
0
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:52 pm to Phat Phil
quote:
4 out of 7 pundits at CBS just picked UT to win straight up
LINK
This literally means nothing.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:55 pm to Vols&Shaft83
quote:
BTW, BG's run defense was ranked 12 in the country last year, not exactly a pushover.
Huh? NCAA stats website shows BG finished last year ranked 99th in rushing defense and 11th in the MAC giving up 202.1 yds per game.
This post was edited on 9/10/15 at 4:04 pm
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:56 pm to mightysooner
Posted on 9/10/15 at 3:59 pm to skirpnasty
quote:
Any number off of nominal is significant when it comes to ATS. Vegas is really damn good at what they do. Specifically the away team favored by 1-3 covering 57.2% of the time. And the 61.2% is pretty big too, considering you could have gotten on this line at OU+1, and it's probably not finished moving.
You could make your case if the numbers were all over. But all 3 trends favor the same team. You take your noise, I'll take my statistics.
what
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:11 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Why is the UT/OU line only at OU -2?
I would bet OU or not bet it at all.
I got hosed last year in Vegas betting on UT against Ole Miss. Ole Miss was a 16.5 point favorite and covered easily.
I'm tired of waiting for Tennessee to "be back". I wouldn't wager a single penny on that team until they actually do something.
quote:
Is this a trap game?
Yes.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 4:12 pm to skirpnasty
quote:
When away teams are favored by 1-3 points, they win 61.2% of the time.
When away teams are favored by 1-3 points, they cover 57.2% of the time.
When the spread moves similar to +1 to -2 like it has, the team covers 52.9% of the time.
Nice info.
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