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Week 10 SoS Rankings
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:41 am
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:41 am
Using the FEI ELS metric, through Week 10.
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents.
Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
#1 Alabama - 2.23
#2 Mississippi State - 2.10
#3 Auburn - 2.09
#4 Ole Miss - 2.07
#5 Florida - 2.06
#6 Kentucky - 1.99
#8 Arkansas - 1.80
#9 Oklahoma - 1.78
#10 Texas A&M - 1.72
#13 South Carolina - 1.57
#15 Texas - 1.54
#18 Tennessee - 1.51
#21 LSU - 1.41
#23 Vanderbilt - 1.34
#25 Georgia - 1.25
#29 Missouri - 1.07
Other notables (top 10 AP Top 25):
#22 BYU - 1.38
#26 Miami - 1.25
#28 Notre Dame - 1.09
#30 USC - 1.05
#42 Wake Forest - 0.82
#49 Indiana - 0.73
#52 Houston - 0.70
#67 UCLA - 0.54
#69 Utah - 0.49
#79 Texas Tech - 0.39
Thoughts:
SEC teams are 9 out of the top 10. That is insane. And I think it's going to get even tighter as the season goes on. Alabama will not finish #1 in this metric. Auburn at a minimum will pass them at the end of the season.
But I also think LSU, Texas and Tennesse will make big jumps. LSU will make the biggest. They will surely finish in the top10, maybe top5. And the rest have a decent chance of rising also, because Missouri is the lowest but still plays Georgia. Kentucky also. Georgia has USC in addition to that. I won't be surprised if all 16 end up in the top20. I'm guessing there will be some gains by other teams but overall I think the 9 game conference schedule is EXTREMELY BRUTAL.
They should change that shite immediately, there is no benefit.
Someone asked me to do a committee playoff prediction, so here is the first week of every doing that. It's a model, not my own predictions and it's using F+ to make it's predictions as far as power scores and team strength goes.
I think Georgia will be #1, but I bet both Utah and Georgia fans would be happy if this turned out to be accurate there. Hopefully Kentucky doesn't drop that far, but this predicts 4 SEC teams in the top12 otherwise.
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents.
Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
#1 Alabama - 2.23
#2 Mississippi State - 2.10
#3 Auburn - 2.09
#4 Ole Miss - 2.07
#5 Florida - 2.06
#6 Kentucky - 1.99
#8 Arkansas - 1.80
#9 Oklahoma - 1.78
#10 Texas A&M - 1.72
#13 South Carolina - 1.57
#15 Texas - 1.54
#18 Tennessee - 1.51
#21 LSU - 1.41
#23 Vanderbilt - 1.34
#25 Georgia - 1.25
#29 Missouri - 1.07
Other notables (top 10 AP Top 25):
#22 BYU - 1.38
#26 Miami - 1.25
#28 Notre Dame - 1.09
#30 USC - 1.05
#42 Wake Forest - 0.82
#49 Indiana - 0.73
#52 Houston - 0.70
#67 UCLA - 0.54
#69 Utah - 0.49
#79 Texas Tech - 0.39
Thoughts:
SEC teams are 9 out of the top 10. That is insane. And I think it's going to get even tighter as the season goes on. Alabama will not finish #1 in this metric. Auburn at a minimum will pass them at the end of the season.
But I also think LSU, Texas and Tennesse will make big jumps. LSU will make the biggest. They will surely finish in the top10, maybe top5. And the rest have a decent chance of rising also, because Missouri is the lowest but still plays Georgia. Kentucky also. Georgia has USC in addition to that. I won't be surprised if all 16 end up in the top20. I'm guessing there will be some gains by other teams but overall I think the 9 game conference schedule is EXTREMELY BRUTAL.
They should change that shite immediately, there is no benefit.
Someone asked me to do a committee playoff prediction, so here is the first week of every doing that. It's a model, not my own predictions and it's using F+ to make it's predictions as far as power scores and team strength goes.
I think Georgia will be #1, but I bet both Utah and Georgia fans would be happy if this turned out to be accurate there. Hopefully Kentucky doesn't drop that far, but this predicts 4 SEC teams in the top12 otherwise.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 12:42 am
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:47 am to 3down10
looks close to correct.
if Bama played At auburn (we don't ).....then UGA in the SECCS game.
We'd either be ready, or crippled.
That's why the SEC is hard as fuk.
and FUK the big 10+6
if Bama played At auburn (we don't ).....then UGA in the SECCS game.
We'd either be ready, or crippled.
That's why the SEC is hard as fuk.
and FUK the big 10+6
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 12:55 am
Posted on 11/10/26 at 10:43 am to 1loyalbamafan
quote:
if Bama played At auburn (we don't ).....then UGA in the SECCS game.
Oh yeah, the SECCG is going to really throw some teams up there. I said Alabama wouldn't finish #1 in this metric, but if they make it to the SECCG then there is still a pretty good chance they finish #1 in SoS.
It's ridiculous and a 24 team playoff doesn't fix it either.
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