re: SAGARIN - Week 4

quote:

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I think it has some carryover data in there still..
but it will work it’s way out.

A&M for example has a win over LSU late last year that is helping them some imo. He may have team talent built in as a component as well.

There are clearly some faults if you look at just based on this years results, but it’s just a different perspective.

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Sagarin carries over data from the previous year for 5 or 6 weeks. I believe he carries the entire year over, so both Miami and A&M start the season penalized for example for finishing 5-7. There is no talent data in his algorithm.

At this point in the season his data is usually off a little but starts to tighten up in the next couple weeks.