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re: Inconvenient stats, regarding John Chavis

Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:44 pm to
Posted by Vood
Member since Dec 2007
8561 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Vood seriously thought that Houston Nutt was going to leave a preseason top 10 team for another offer.
What an idiot.
The only reason nutt came here is because we had enough talent for immediate success.


You better believe that if Ole Miss didn't step up and pay Nutt then he would have bolted to Auburn. Your the idiot if you don't think that this wont come up again after this season.

If you guys are as good as you keep saying you are going to be you better be prepared to jump to the 4 million dollar/year to keep him or he is going to bolt. Hell y'all are only paying him 500k/year more than Chizik and he makes 400k less than Petrino at Arkansas.
This post was edited on 8/15/09 at 1:48 pm
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

You better believe that if Ole Miss didn't step up and pay Nutt then he would have bolted to Auburn.

Nope.
All a clever ruse by Nutt's agent.
Posted by SLC
Hiwasse, AR
Member since Oct 2007
15522 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

How so?


Let's start with Talent. Below are rankings for each team's defensive recruits (not including athletes) from Rivals. As you see below, LSU has recruited better defensive players than TN the past 5 years. Chavis will have better players to coach so he should have more success at LSU.

2008
LSU 2008 Defense Avg is 3.63*
Chase Clement DE 4*
Lavar Edwards DE 3*
Chancey Aghayere DT 4*
Ryan Baker LB 4*
Kyle Prater LB 3*
Derrick Bryant DB 3*
Rockey Duplessis DB 3*
Karnell Hatcher DB 4*
Patrick Johnson DB 5*
Ryan St. Julien DB 3*
Brandon Taylor DB 4*

TN 2008 Defense Avg is 3.00
Willie Bohannon DE 3*
Steven Fowlkes DE 3*
Montori Hughes DT 2*
Herman Lathers LB 3*
Marlon Walls LB 4*
Gerald Williams LB 4*
StePhaun Raines DB 2*
Prentiss Waggner DB 3*



2007
LSU 2007 Defense Avg is 3.875*
Kentravis Aubrey DE 4*
Sidell Corley DE 4*
Joseph Barksdale DT 4*
Will Blackwell DT 4*
Drake Nevis DT 4*
Delvin Breaux DB 3*
Shomari Clemons DB 4*
Stefoin Francois DB 4*

TN 2007 Defense Avg is 3.73
Cory Hall DE 2*
Ben Martin DE 5*
Rae Sykes DE 4*
Rufus Williams DE 3*
William Brimfield DT 3*
Donald Langley DT 4*
Rolando Melancon 4*
Chris Donald LB 5*
Savion Frazier LB 3*
Chris Walker LB 4*
Deshaun Barnes DB 3*
Eric Berry DB 5*
C.J. Fleming DB 3*
Nevin McKenzie DB 4*
DeAngelo Willingham DB 4*



2006
LSU 2006 Defense Avg is 3.27*
Lazarius Levingston DE 3*
Charles Deas DT 4*
Al Woods DT 5*
Jacob Cutrera LB 3*
Derrick Odom LB 4*
Perry Riley LB 3*
Kelvin Sheppard LB 3*
Shomari Clemons DB 4*
Jai Eugene DB 4*
Danny McCray DB 3*
Jason Teague DB 3*

TN 2006 Avg is 3.11*
Walter Fisher DE 5*
Chase Nelson DE 3*
Victor Thomas DE 3*
Blake Garretson DT 3*
Jarrod Shaw DT 3*
Dorian Davis LB 2*
LaMarcus Thompson LB 3*
Gerald Williams LB 3*
Justin Garrett DB 3*


2005
LSU 2005 Defense Avg is 3.8*
Ricky Jean-Francois DE 4*
Al Jones DE 4*
Lyle Hitt DT 3*
Darry Beckwith LB 4*
Chris Hawkins DB 4*

TN 2005 Defense Avg 3.75*
Raymond Henderson DE 4*
Vladimir Richard DE 3*
Demonte Bolden DT 4*
Wes Brown DT 4*
Dan Williams DT 3*
Andre Mathis LB 4*
Rico McCoy LB 4*
Gerald Williams LB 4*
Marsalous Johnson DB 3*
Demetrice Morley DB 5*
Adam Myers-White DB 4*
Antonio Wardlow DB 3*



2004
LSU 2004 Defense Avg is 3.69*
Charles Alexander DE 4*
Tyson Jackson DE 3*
Tremaine Johnson DE 4*
Tim Washington DE 3*
Glenn Dorsey DT 4*
Marlon Favorite DT 4*
Claude Wroten DT 5*
Harry Coleman LB 3*
Quinn Johnson LB 3*
E.J. Kuale LB 4*
Luke Sanders LB 4*
Matt Stoltz LB 4*
Jeffrey Jack DB 3*
Craig Steltz DB 4*
Mario Stevenson DB 4*
Curtis Taylor DB 3*

TN 2004 Defense Avg 3.5*
Xavier Mitchell DE 4*
Antonio Reynolds DE 3*
Demonte Bolden DT 4*
Jesse Mahelona DT 5*
Robert Ayers LB 4*
Jerod Mayo LB 4*
Jonathan Hefney DB 4*
Ryan Karl DB 2*
Ellix Wilson DB 2*
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:54 pm to
Those aren't big enough of differences in average stars to sell your point.

Recruiting rankings are subjective evaluations of talent.
If these were as important as the bammers like to think they are then LSU wouldn't have lost 5 games this year. Wouldn't have lost to Arkansas two years in a row.
That being said, I would rather have this 4 star over that 2 star. and John Chavis over the Malleveto Monster.
Posted by SLC
Hiwasse, AR
Member since Oct 2007
15522 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

DeuceisLoose

quote:

I think you're secretly becoming an LSU fan.


No, I just do not think either Bama or OM will meet expectations.

If I'm wrong, well its not the first time.

For what it is worth, until hiring Hootie OM was likely my favorite fan base, probably still is. (Outside of AR that is)
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

For what it is worth, until hiring Hootie OM was likely my favorite fan base, probably still is. (Outside of AR that is)

homer.

Bama and State are the only teams in the division that won't be significantly improved.
Gonna be an interesting season.
Posted by SLC
Hiwasse, AR
Member since Oct 2007
15522 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Those aren't big enough of differences in average stars to sell your point.

Recruiting rankings are subjective evaluations of talent.
If these were as important as the bammers like to think they are then LSU wouldn't have lost 5 games this year. Wouldn't have lost to Arkansas two years in a row.
That being said, I would rather have this 4 star over that 2 star. and John Chavis over the Malleveto Monster.


I was actually surprised they were that close, it took so much time to put it together I went ahead and posted it anyway.

It is not great evidence of the talent difference. TN's defense the past few years has seemed soft, maybe you are onto something with Chavis.

Fortunately we will find out soon.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

t is not great evidence of the talent difference. TN's defense the past few years has seemed soft, maybe you are onto something with Chavis.

I mentioned the David Cutlciffe Theory.
I'm going to explain it.
While David Cutlcliffe was the head coach at Ole Miss, the Defense always played up or down to the need.

If we could only score 14 points, the defense would give up just 10. If we put 45 on someone the defense would give up 35.
(In 2003) Ole Miss was up 42 to 14 on bama in the third quarter and won 42 to 28. Ole Miss was up 43-14 on South Carolina in the third quarter and only won 43-40.
I think this is a Tennessee/Phil Fulmer thing. You'll notice a little bit of this with every coach and every team. The great coaches don't let this happen though.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:07 pm to
quote:


I was actually surprised they were that close, it took so much time to put it together I went ahead and posted it anyway.


I'm not. The "LSU has more talent than Tennessee" argument is essentially hogwash. They might have had slightly better talent, but it really isn't so much that warrants that much attention.
Posted by SLC
Hiwasse, AR
Member since Oct 2007
15522 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

I'm not. The "LSU has more talent than Tennessee" argument is essentially hogwash. They might have had slightly better talent, but it really isn't so much that warrants that much attention.


Then TN should have produced better.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

I'm not. The "LSU has more talent than Tennessee" argument is essentially hogwash. They might have had slightly better talent, but it really isn't so much that warrants that much attention.

I put in a decent bit of effort to find this trend... and LSU has way more talent than Tennessee does is the only argument anyone has given me.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Then TN should have produced better.

ding ding ding

Most of the LSU fans on this board are so stupid that they think I'm stupid.
Intelligence recognizes intelligence.
I know you two raise average IQ on this board a significant number of points.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Then TN should have produced better.


Chavis's defenses at Tennessee were pretty good in many years; but he also had some years where they redefined the word awful. He's a good DC, but on this site he tends to have quite a bit to much hype.

The thing is; LSU hired a few guys under him that are absolutely brilliant coaches at their positions; so they will see some legitimate improvement on defense regardless.
Posted by Maximus
Member since Feb 2004
81609 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

The "LSU has more talent than Tennessee" argument is essentially hogwash. They might have had slightly better talent, but it really isn't so much that warrants that much attention.


you have-nots and your rationalizing are so cute
Posted by Barry Badrinath
MISS'IPPI
Member since Mar 2008
6294 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:14 pm to
quote:


2008- Tennessee, 5-7, 6 ret starters, 16.8 ppg, 264 ypg
2007- Tennessee, 10-4, 5 ret starters, 27.3 ppg,404 ypg
2006- Tennessee, 9-4, 4 ret starters, 19.5 ppg, 328 ypg
2005- Tennessee, 5-6, 9 ret starters, 18.6 ppg, 298 ypg

2004-Tennessee, 10-3, 3 ret starters, 22.7 ppg, 356 ypg


These are the numbers that stood out with me.

Chavis only returned 6 or more starters on the Defensive side of the ball twice out of the 5 years you listed. Looks like the attrition was killing his defense. Add that to the fact those are some of the years Cutt was gone, and their offense was hit or miss.

How many defensive starters does OM have returning this year?
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

you have-nots and your rationalizing are so cute

Coming from you, being berated for bias is pretty laughable.
Posted by Maximus
Member since Feb 2004
81609 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:16 pm to
we're not that far away
we're not that far away
we're not that far away
we're not that far away

click those heels
Posted by geauxtigahs87
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2008
26671 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

I'm not. The "LSU has more talent than Tennessee" argument is essentially hogwash. They might have had slightly better talent, but it really isn't so much that warrants that much attention


We are slightly better. But the keyword is slightly. The impact I am most looking forward too, prob more than Chavis, is seeing how our secondary and dline look with new coaches. As good as we were under Pelini, it still looked like some fundamentals were missing. Earl Lane had a bigger impact on the recruiting trail and Mallory did pretty damn with the insane talent he had at the position. But there were way too many miscues and WRs left uncovered over the past couple years.
This post was edited on 8/15/09 at 2:20 pm
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26189 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

How many defensive starters does OM have returning this year?

8 not including a player who started in 07 who will be starting.
we have 7-8 on offense too.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47827 posts
Posted on 8/15/09 at 2:20 pm to
quote:


We are slightly better. But the keyword is slightly. The impact I am most looking forward too, prob more than Chavis, is seeing how our secondary and dline look with new coaches.


Brick Haley and Ron Cooper are both fantastic coaches. Probably two of the best coaches you'll find to coach Defensive Line and Defensive Backs. They should fix up LSU's defense quite a bit over the next few years.
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