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re: Arkansas vs Texas A&M at AT&T Stadium
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:12 pm to CFB Fan83
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:12 pm to CFB Fan83
quote:
Actually Vegas doesn’t predict any winner...just a betting line to halve the population of bets.
I know so many people who don't grasp this concept, even after it's explained. Your post is a breath of fresh air.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:18 pm to CrabInMyShoeMouth
Don’t get me wrong...analytics of how a team performs play a big part. However...there are very smart analysts on how the population will bet. They meet in the middle...and there’s your line.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:19 pm to bstew3006
quote:
I want to bet AM -21, but will stay away from it. Having said that, AM will boat race Ark.
A&M is very reliable against the spread this year.
NW State 45 points: won by 52
Clemson -11 points: lost by 2
ULM 26 points: won by 38
Alabama -27 points: lost by 22
Just going off of averages, if the spread is 21, A&M wins by 30.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:34 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
I think Arkansas covers on a back door TD or field goal.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 5:36 pm to CFB Fan83
Yep. Since I don't have time to watch all of the games, like most, I try to find the lines that I think have a lot of public perception built into them and go the other way. It's very easy to take advantage of this strategy on Thursday and Monday night NFL games.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 6:03 pm to General RL Bullard
Do you two fan bases like doing it at AT&T or would you rather home games? I don't like neutral site for conference games. Or OOC games. Just bowl games.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 6:15 pm to calcotron
quote:
Do you two fan bases like doing it at AT&T or would you rather home games? I don't like neutral site for conference games. Or OOC games. Just bowl games.
I can't stand it personally, partly because we play a home game in LR every year. Every other year we're playing two home games away from Fayetteville which just sounds stupid. The game in Jerry World helps some with exposure/recruiting I suppose, wouldn't have known with Bielema though because he didn't recruit TX hard.
Posted on 9/28/18 at 6:18 pm to CrabInMyShoeMouth
quote:
wouldn't have known with Bielema though because he didn't recruit TX hard
He dumb!
Posted on 9/28/18 at 6:32 pm to calcotron
quote:
He dumb!
Man, I know.
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