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re: Stat Model - #1 Bama vs #3 OSU (Title) (7 PM CST) (Jan 11)
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 441 yds (6.48 YPP on 68 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 300 yds (8.57 YPA on 35 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 141 yds (4.27 YPA on 33 plays)
I'd be extremely disappointed if we only gained 441 yards on their defense.
quote:
Ohio State Total Yards (YPP): 471 yds (6.53 YPP on 72 plays)
Ohio State Pass Yards (YPA): 262 yds (8.73 YPA on 30 plays)
Ohio State Rush Yards (YPA): 208 yds (4.96 YPA on 42 plays)
I like to think our offense would make it impossible for them to run 42 times. Score early, score often and get off the field on 3rd down.
This post was edited on 1/3/21 at 11:52 pm
1
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:56 pm to TideSaint
Honestly, I think the B1G skews the hell out of these numbers.
They basically played nobody in conference, but this doesn't know how to take that into account, and then their one big game they massacred a team with great stats by way more than their averages.
The fact that with all that we STILL have a winning margin......feel pretty good.
My general feeling is Ohio State has to bring their Clemson performance. If they do, it's a toss up, maybe even advantage them.
If Ohio State brings any other version of themselves from 2019, we're gonna win the ballgame.
We've basically brought the same consistent performance every game for the last 2 months, so I think it's pretty clear what we'll put on the field.
We know from past history with them that discounting a recent high water mark performance is not a good idea, though, so I'm working under the assumption we get their Clemson game.
They basically played nobody in conference, but this doesn't know how to take that into account, and then their one big game they massacred a team with great stats by way more than their averages.
The fact that with all that we STILL have a winning margin......feel pretty good.
My general feeling is Ohio State has to bring their Clemson performance. If they do, it's a toss up, maybe even advantage them.
If Ohio State brings any other version of themselves from 2019, we're gonna win the ballgame.
We've basically brought the same consistent performance every game for the last 2 months, so I think it's pretty clear what we'll put on the field.
We know from past history with them that discounting a recent high water mark performance is not a good idea, though, so I'm working under the assumption we get their Clemson game.
This post was edited on 1/4/21 at 12:01 am
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