quote:
Explain to me what is preposterous? The death rates of Covid-19 similar to the common flu but with a higher infection rate.

It’s a fact at this point as many people have died from Covid-19 in the US in 2 months compared to a to a seasonal rate of the flu.

So, do we disagree? Responding to the OP's contention that constantly comparing seasonal flu for a twelve month period to Covid's three months is preposterous, I wrote:

quote:
2017-2018 Influenza season killed about 60,000 over twelve months with a "burden" of 45,000,000 influenza infections. To compare the approximately 60,000 Covid19 deaths over the three months of February, March, and April is, as you wrote, preposterous.

Like you wrote, Covid19 is apparently more contagious than seasonal flu. Whether it's more or less deadly than seasonal flu is an open question. If we get 45,000,000 cases in a year we can compare its relative mortality with flu's.

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Posted by NoMansLand

Member since Jun 2017

1038 posts

Posted on 4/30/20 at 1:47 pm to Mr. Misanthrope

quote:
Whether it's more or less deadly than seasonal flu is an open question.

It’s definitely more deadly. 2 months (so far vs maybe a 6 month flu season). I edited the preposterous before you replied as I realized that was a quote & not your opinion.

My opinion is wave 1 ((Feb-Jul) will take 80k lives.
Wave 2 (Nov20–Feb21) MAY take 100k more. Agree if you believe we need to slowly open things up. Also believe that masks and social distancing are an integral part of our becoming normal.

I take this as the new normal. We NEED at this point to SLOWLY open things up. We also NEED to realize trade-offs.

This post was edited on 4/30/20 at 1:58 pm

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