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re: The IHME Model is Wrong
Posted on 4/30/20 at 1:08 pm to Mr. Misanthrope
Posted on 4/30/20 at 1:08 pm to Mr. Misanthrope
The death rates of Covid-19 similar to the common flu but with a higher infection rate.
It’s a fact at this point as many people have died from Covid-19 in the US in 2 months compared to a to a seasonal rate of the flu.
Keep living in your cocoon. The rest of us will deal with what plays out.
It’s a fact at this point as many people have died from Covid-19 in the US in 2 months compared to a to a seasonal rate of the flu.
Keep living in your cocoon. The rest of us will deal with what plays out.
This post was edited on 4/30/20 at 1:16 pm
1
Posted on 4/30/20 at 1:31 pm to NoMansLand
quote:
Explain to me what is preposterous? The death rates of Covid-19 similar to the common flu but with a higher infection rate.
It’s a fact at this point as many people have died from Covid-19 in the US in 2 months compared to a to a seasonal rate of the flu.
So, do we disagree? Responding to the OP's contention that constantly comparing seasonal flu for a twelve month period to Covid's three months is preposterous, I wrote:
quote:
2017-2018 Influenza season killed about 60,000 over twelve months with a "burden" of 45,000,000 influenza infections. To compare the approximately 60,000 Covid19 deaths over the three months of February, March, and April is, as you wrote, preposterous.
Like you wrote, Covid19 is apparently more contagious than seasonal flu. Whether it's more or less deadly than seasonal flu is an open question. If we get 45,000,000 cases in a year we can compare its relative mortality with flu's.
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