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re: If football season is canceled...

Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:40 pm to
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
23457 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

There really isn't a scenario where people just keep getting sick over and over unless it's another virus.


Or if it mutates, similar to the Spanish Flu.

quote:

The second wave of the 1918 pandemic was much deadlier than the first. The first wave had resembled typical flu epidemics; those most at risk were the sick and elderly, while younger, healthier people recovered easily.

By August, when the second wave began in France, Sierra Leone, and the United States, the virus had mutated to a much deadlier form.

The fact that most of those who recovered from first-wave infections had become immune showed that it must have been the same strain of flu, however the second wave was far more deadly. The most vulnerable were adults who were young and fit.


There's also a chance that it goes away like the seasonal flu and returns again next year (without a successful vaccine).

quote:

But if it is seasonal, it doesn’t mean Covid-19 goes away after the summer. “It likely isn’t just going to magically go away,” Grubaugh says. “Next winter might end up being the big winter.”

And if it is seasonal, it’s still dangerous. It would be like the flu, “except potentially with a higher case fatality rate,” Rasmussen says. “Which is definitely a problem because the seasonal flu kills 30,000 to 60,000 Americans every year. And even if it’s the same case fatality rate of seasonal flu, that still presents a substantial public health burden.”


Sorry to be a Debbie Downer.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
23018 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:52 pm to
quote:


Or if it mutates, similar to the Spanish Flu.


Yeah, another virus.

quote:

There's also a chance that it goes away like the seasonal flu and returns again next year (without a successful vaccine).


Talked about this in another thread. In that case, it would most likely be a shortened season.


This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 4:53 pm
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