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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 10/29/20 at 11:06 am to
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 11:06 am to
quote:

quote:
Two thirds of excess deaths during the analysis period (66.2%; 198,081) were attributed to COVID-19 and the remaining third to other causes

Lol.


Hey 808, do you have some consolidated post or thread going over your reasoning on the overestimating thing?

ETA: I see a post on this page saying "all the data are garbage" and that we know basically nothing. Is that your main basis?
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 11:10 am
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111597 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Hey 808, do you have some consolidated post or thread going over your reasoning on the overestimating thing?


All the CDC did is use their own existing data in TigerDoc’s post. It’s no surprise that it matched up. How many excess deaths not due to Covid? Subtract our current Covid counts from excess total deaths. Presto.

I am also suspicious of double counting of excess deaths in the case of the death certificate matching/harvesting.

ETA: We know that many of the Covid deaths are being labeled Covid 6+ weeks after the death. I have less than complete confidence that some of these aren’t being double counted. IOW, death on June 1st gets reported to CDC in week 2 of June. In week 3 of July, that death gets labeled a Covid death. Is the week 2 June death backed out?
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 11:25 am
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